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Trainer profile

M J Polglase

420 runners in our archive record, 2005–2006 · 45 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2006 98% of runners on the flat
Archive record 2005–2006
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 2 Jan 2005 to 2 Jun 2006. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
13–420
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=420
52 (12%)
Placed
0.59
Fair A/E
n=419 · 0.50 incl. margin
−196.67
£1 level stake
n=420 at SP · −46.8%
£83,827
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out 420 runners in our archive record (2005–2006), almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.59).

Deterministic profile computed from 420 archived runs (archive record 2005–2006) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Luke Fletcher: 4.4% from 68
The read

It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (0% over 45 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Luke Fletcher rode 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.4%, A/E 0.88). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 44 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard at trips under 6f: Fair A/E 0.25 across 78 runners (1.3% strike, −66.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.1%−1.0
n=94 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −55.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Dean McKeown 9.1% vs 3.1% · n=55
At Lingfield (AW) 0% vs 3.1% · n=45
On Good going 0% vs 3.1% · n=44
At Wolverhampton (AW) 5.5% vs 3.1% · n=73
At Southwell (AW) 4.9% vs 3.1% · n=123 · A/E 0.78
At trips under 6f 1.3% vs 3.1% · n=78 · A/E 0.25
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 411 13 3.2% −187.67
Hurdle 8 0 0% −8.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 245 10 4.1% −80.67
Good to Firm 65 1 1.5% −53.00
Good 44 0 0% −44.00
Good to Soft 27 1 3.7% −14.00
Soft 22 0 0% −22.00
Firm 12 1 8.3% +22.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 123 6 4.9% −12.67
Wolverhampton (AW) 73 4 5.5% −19.00
Lingfield (AW) 45 0 0% −45.00
Catterick 12 0 0% −12.00
Leicester 11 0 0% −11.00
Beverley 11 0 0% −11.00
Musselburgh 11 0 0% −11.00
Yarmouth 11 0 0% −11.00
Redcar 9 0 0% −9.00
Newcastle 9 0 0% −9.00
Pontefract 9 1 11.1% +4.00
Hamilton 8 0 0% −8.00
Thirsk 8 0 0% −8.00
Ayr 7 0 0% −7.00
Carlisle 7 1 14.3% +27.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 138 6 4.3% −32.00
Class 5 120 4 3.3% −24.00
Class 4 68 1 1.5% −56.00
Class 7 66 2 3% −56.67
Class 2 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 3 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
2nd–3rd fav 34 6 17.6% 1.27 +0.33
4th–6th fav 98 1 1% 0.14 −86.00
7th+ in betting 282 6 2.1% 0.69 −105.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Alpaga Le Jomage (IRE) 31 1 6 18 May 06
Pawn In Life (IRE)then Michael Attwater 30 2 9 31 May 06
Piccleyes (GB)then Alan McCabe 27 2 3 2 Jun 06
Twilight Avenger (IRE)then Mark Brisbourne 25 0 1 2 Jun 06
Black Oval (GB)then S Parr 23 0 2 19 Dec 05
Marengo (GB) 23 0 0 5 Nov 05
Hamburg Springer (IRE)then Colin Teague 21 1 1 21 Dec 05
Kirkhammerton (IRE)then Sue Smith 20 2 5 31 May 06
No Time (IRE)then Jamie Osborne 14 0 1 23 May 06
Cerebus (GB)then Alan McCabe 13 0 4 7 Feb 06
Tally (IRE)then David Bridgwater 12 0 3 24 May 05
Cornus (GB)then Jamie Osborne 11 0 2 17 Feb 06
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 25 have since run for another yard, most often for Alan McCabe (10) and Jamie Osborne (3); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 2005–2006
JFMAMJJASOND
5422410004000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderLuke Fletcher
16% of all rides
4.4% SR · A/E 0.88
RiderRWSR£1
Luke Fletcher 68 3 4.4% −16.00
Dean McKeown 55 5 9.1% +26.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
13
Archived wins
£83,827
Prize money
2006
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Verite (GB) — Edwards Homes E.B.F. Maiden Stakes Chester · Jun 2005 · Class 4
£5,538
Solomon's Mine (USA) — Jamaican Flight Handicap Pontefract · Mar 2005 · Class 5
£4,076
Ockums Razor (IRE) — littlewoodspoker.com Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Feb 2006 · Class 5
£3,886
Notable horses
Pawn In Life (IRE) Piccleyes (GB) Kirkhammerton (IRE) Alpaga Le Jomage (IRE) Hamburg Springer (IRE) Dasheena (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Orpen (USA) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 9% of 6,507 runs since 2005 (525 horses). Weakest on Firm going: 5.2% from 116.
Midhish (GB) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 4.2% of 332 runs since 2005 (55 horses).
Piccolo (GB) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 7.9% of 9,146 runs since 2005 (498 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 367.
Dr Fong (USA) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,540 runs since 2005 (462 horses).
Never So Bold (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 3.4% of 89 runs since 2005 (12 horses).
Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 8.6% of 15,174 runs since 2005 (931 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 398.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 420 · newest first

The latest 50 of 420 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 2 June 2006.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Jun 06 Catterick Twilight Avenger (IRE)J: Charlotte Kerton Ellery Hill Rating Related Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th 40/1
02 Jun 06 Catterick Cuesta Canyon (IRE)J: Charlotte Kerton Ellery Hill Rating Related Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 9th 33/1
02 Jun 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Ockums Razor (IRE)J: Darryll Holland Combine Business With Pleasure Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 10/3F
02 Jun 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Piccleyes (GB)J: Eddie Ahern Take Control With wbx.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 10/1
31 May 06 Southwell (AW) Pawn In Life (IRE)J: Derek Nolan Sponsor A Race At Southwell HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 8/1
31 May 06 Southwell (AW) Luscivious (GB)J: J-P Guillambert Racing This Weekend Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 10/1
31 May 06 Beverley Cora Pearl (IRE)J: Franny Norton Supabed Quality Paper Bedding HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good · 13 ran 11th 33/1
31 May 06 Southwell (AW) Kirkhammerton (IRE)J: Adam Carter BBC Radio Nottingham Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 11/2
23 May 06 Lingfield (AW) No Time (IRE)J: Frankie Dettori lingfield-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 11/2
23 May 06 Lingfield (AW) Ockums Razor (IRE)J: Eddie Ahern Arena Leisure PLC Claiming StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 8/1
20 May 06 Thirsk Obscene (GB)J: Darryll Holland Darron And Paula's Wedding Day HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Heavy · 16 ran 9th 12/1
20 May 06 Thirsk Theoretical (GB)J: Dean McKeown European Breeders Fund Carlton Miniott Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 10/1
18 May 06 Carlisle No Time (IRE)J: Dean McKeown Book Now For Music Night 8th July HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 17th 28/1
18 May 06 Carlisle Piccleyes (GB)J: Dean McKeown Dobies For Vauxhall HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 20/1
18 May 06 Carlisle Alpaga Le Jomage (IRE)J: Franny Norton Pink Ladies Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 4/1
18 May 06 York Flushed (GB)J: Dean McKeown GNER 10th Birthday E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 3 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 66/1
16 May 06 Southwell (AW) Kirkhammerton (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Ladbrokes Freephone 0800 524 524 Banded StakesClass 7 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 5/1
13 May 06 Lingfield Dasheena (GB)J: Natalia Gemelova Lingfield Park Trials Day HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 11th 25/1
13 May 06 Beverley Captivate (GB)J: Adam Carter Coachman Laser Tourer of The Year Selling StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 8th 14/1
13 May 06 Beverley Cuesta Canyon (IRE)J: Dean McKeown Coachman Laser Tourer of The Year Selling StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M J Polglase's strike rate?
M J Polglase has won 13 of 420 runners between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
Which course does M J Polglase do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 73 runners (5.5%) between 2005 and 2006. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M J Polglase?
Luke Fletcher, with 68 runners between 2005 and 2006 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.4%).
What is M J Polglase's Fair A/E?
0.59, from 419 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2006. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.