What is Michael O'Hare's strike rate?

Michael O'Hare has won 33 of 397 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael O'Hare do best at?

Naas by strike rate: 6 wins from 37 runners (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael O'Hare?

A E Lynch, with 107 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (8.4%).

What is Michael O'Hare's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 397 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael O'Hare

397 runners in the lifetime window · 39 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2016 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

33–397

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=397

86 (22%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=397 · 0.73 incl. margin

−187.87

£1 level stake

n=397 at SP · −47.3%

£329k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (94 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 397 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Jul Fresh horses: 11.7% 34.2% when favourite A E Lynch: 8.4% from 107 Claiming riders: 8.4% Sent off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Naas (16.2%, n=37) and Punchestown (16.1%, n=31) — all clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. It is weakest at Fairyhouse (0% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 11.7% (n=94, Fair A/E 1.38). A E Lynch rode 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.4%, A/E 0.83). The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 2.9% over 68 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.49 across 100 runners (4% strike, −79.10 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Martinstown Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle at Punchestown (Apr 2009, £18,554). Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.7%+3.4

n=94 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −19.88

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−8.3

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Debutants · first career start

11.5%+3.2

n=26 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −10.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

35%+26.7

n=20 · A/E 3.32 · £1 +12.38

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−8.3

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

When favourite

34.2%

n=38 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +6.92

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.4%+0.1

n=131 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −32.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%+2.8

n=18 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Fairyhouse 0% vs 8.3% · n=36

At Naas 16.2% vs 8.3% · n=37

At Punchestown 16.1% vs 8.3% · n=31

Off a 31-60-day break 2.9% vs 8.3% · n=68

Over 2m5f – 3m 4% vs 8.3% · n=100

In Class 4 2.9% vs 8.3% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 272 22 8.1% −121.64

NH Flat 65 7 10.8% −25.26

Chase 59 4 6.8% −39.97

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 130 15 11.5% −14.84

Heavy 105 9 8.6% −46.00

Good 89 6 6.7% −69.03

Good to Soft 38 2 5.3% −26.50

Good to Firm 30 1 3.3% −26.50

Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Navan 61 5 8.2% −26.87

Downpatrick 38 5 13.2% −24.36

Naas 37 6 16.2% −1.50

Fairyhouse 36 0 0% −36.00

Punchestown 31 5 16.1% +21.00

Down Royal 25 2 8% −12.50

Leopardstown 14 0 0% −14.00

Limerick 14 0 0% −14.00

Thurles 12 0 0% −12.00

Wetherby 12 3 25% −0.30

Cork 11 1 9.1% +4.00

Clonmel 11 1 9.1% −5.00

Uttoxeter 9 1 11.1% −7.17

Galway 9 1 11.1% +0.00

Sedgefield 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 34 1 2.9% −31.80

Class 5 24 3 12.5% −12.34

Class 1 18 2 11.1% −5.00

Class 3 8 1 12.5% −2.50

Class 6 6 1 16.7% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 46 15 32.6% 1.40 +11.25

2nd–3rd fav 82 14 17.1% 1.34 +5.88

4th–6th fav 125 2 1.6% 0.23 −102.00

7th+ in betting 144 2 1.4% 0.40 −103.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.6% completed · 331 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 59 57.6% 5 2 18 0 0

Hurdle 272 86.8% 5 4 26 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Montana Slim (IRE)from J Larkin 33 2 9 30 Mar 16

Sweet Shock (GER)then Ms Frances Slevin 29 4 7 31 Oct 13

Turner Brown (IRE)from J Larkin 26 4 10 29 Oct 12

Bale O'shea (IRE)then Neil McKnight 25 4 9 1 Mar 14

Accordion To Paddy (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 24 2 5 27 Apr 14

Windwood Lad (GB)from A J McNamara 19 2 5 20 Oct 13

Henro Boy (IRE) 18 1 5 10 Jun 11

Special Bar (IRE) 15 1 2 4 May 15

Strandfield Bay (IRE)then Sharon Watt 15 0 1 31 Oct 13

Mike Mccann (IRE)then S McParlan 14 2 4 10 Oct 15

Mooney's Cottage (IRE) 13 0 1 17 Mar 14

Vincent Pipe (IRE) 12 0 2 27 May 11

All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J Larkin (6); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for S McParlan (5) and J Larkin (2); 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9944014132801703

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderA E Lynch

27% of all rides
8.4% SR · A/E 0.83

RiderRWSR£1

A E Lynch 107 9 8.4% −51.87

Robbie Colgan 67 8 11.9% −30.97

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£329k

Prize money

2012

Best season · 9 wins

Montana Slim (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Punchestown · Apr 2009

£18,554

Montana Slim (IRE) — Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Grade C) Naas · Oct 2009 · Grade C

£18,554

Sweet Shock (GER) — Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (grade C) Naas · Oct 2010 · Grade C

£18,525

Notable horses

Sweet Shock (GER) Turner Brown (IRE) Bale O'shea (IRE) Gold Ability (IRE) Montana Slim (IRE) Accordion To Paddy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Accordion (IRE) 6.9% · 4–58

Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).

Lahib (USA) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,699 runs since 2008 (176 horses).

Presenting (GB) 3.3% · 1–30

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Sholokhov (IRE) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,260 runs since 2008 (420 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Bob Back (USA) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).

Helissio (FR) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,145 runs since 2008 (106 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 207.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 397 · newest first

The latest 50 of 397 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 November 2008 to 10 December 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Dec 16 Navan Brother Gold (IRE)J: Brian O'Connell Drogheda Handicap Hurdle (80-109)22f · Yielding To Soft · 22 ran 17th 33/1

12 Nov 16 Naas Brother Gold (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Call Paddy Power For Free On 1800 721 821 Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 20th 50/1

29 Oct 16 Ayr Bank Man (IRE)J: Rachael Blackmore Tennent's Black T Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 6/1

29 Oct 16 Ayr Brother Gold (IRE)J: Rachael Blackmore Tennent's Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 33/1

14 Jul 16 Killarney (IRE) Bank Man (IRE)J: A E Lynch Europe Hotel & Resort Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 8th 12/1

30 Mar 16 Downpatrick Montana Slim (IRE)J: A E Lynch Toals Bookmakers Aintree Chat After The Last Race Beginners Chase21.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran PU 20/1

12 Mar 16 Limerick Montana Slim (IRE)J: Rachael Blackmore Bet Now On Every Cheltenham Race At Coral.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24f · Heavy · 14 ran 9th 8/1

14 Feb 16 Navan Montana Slim (IRE)J: A E Lynch Davis Civil Engineering Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 16/1

23 Jan 16 Navan Montana Slim (IRE)J: David Mullins Simonstown Handicap Chase (0-109)24f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 4th 5/1

28 Dec 15 Limerick Montana Slim (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Guinness Veterans Handicap Chase22f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 9/4F

10 Oct 15 Fairyhouse Mike Mccann (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Jurys Inn Cheltenham Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 11th 10/1

10 Oct 15 Fairyhouse Some Pride (IRE)J: E O'Connell Shelbourne Fc Race Day Celebrating 120 Years Today Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 16 ran 12th 12/1

10 Oct 15 Fairyhouse Brother Gold (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Bobbyjo Bistro Great Value Food Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 10th 14/1

26 Sep 15 Navan Brother Gold (IRE)J: A E Lynch Albany Hurdle22f · Good · 5 ran 5th 12/1

26 Sep 15 Navan Some Pride (IRE)J: David Mullins N.i. Childrens Hospice Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Good · 27 ran 23rd 10/1

26 Sep 15 Navan Mike Mccann (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Racing Again Wednesday 7th October Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 22 ran 20th 12/1

03 Aug 15 Cork Brother Gold (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan Ticket Sales Online At corkracecourse.ie Flat Race19f · Yielding · 12 ran 1st 14/1

03 Aug 15 Cork Some Pride (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan Take A Selfie At Cork Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (80-109)19f · Yielding · 19 ran 12th 16/1

03 Aug 15 Cork Cracking Man (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan At The Races Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 15 ran 11th 20/1

21 Jul 15 Ballinrobe Brother Gold (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan John Madden & Sons Flat Race17f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael O'Hare's strike rate?: Michael O'Hare has won 33 of 397 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael O'Hare do best at?: Naas by strike rate: 6 wins from 37 runners (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael O'Hare?: A E Lynch, with 107 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (8.4%).
What is Michael O'Hare's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 397 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.