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Trainer profile

Miss Nicole McKenna

139 runners in the lifetime window · 19 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2018
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–139
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=139
22 (16%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=139 · 0.72 incl. margin
−71.50
£1 level stake
n=139 at SP · −51.4%
£97,747
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 139 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.3
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.3
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.3%+4.0
n=12 · A/E 1.69 · £1 +3.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4%−0.3
n=50 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −18.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 4.3% · n=31
In Hurdle races 2.3% vs 4.3% · n=44
Off a 8-14-day break 6.5% vs 4.3% · n=31
With horses switching code 2.3% vs 4.3% · n=43
With a new jockey booking 5.5% vs 4.3% · n=73 · A/E 1.53
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 86 5 5.8% −25.50
Hurdle 44 1 2.3% −37.00
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 38 2 5.3% −12.00
Standard (AW) 29 1 3.4% −12.00
Good 28 0 0% −28.00
Heavy 19 2 10.5% −7.50
Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% −2.00
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 26 1 3.8% −9.00
Down Royal 22 1 4.5% −11.00
Curragh 20 3 15% +12.50
Navan 12 0 0% −12.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00
Ayr 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Downpatrick 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Sligo 2 1 50% +5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.60 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
4th–6th fav 30 2 6.7% 0.91 −10.00
7th+ in betting 99 3 3% 1.01 −56.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rattling Jewel (GB)from J J Lambe · then Joseph Patrick O'Brien 25 3 8 24 Nov 17
Sir Ector (USA)from J J Lambe · then J J Lambe 23 1 5 27 Jan 18
Modern Tutor (GB)from J J Lambe 22 1 4 8 Dec 17
King Christophe (IRE)from P J Prendergast · then R K Watson 15 1 3 3 Mar 17
Don't Be Hasty (IRE)from David Harry Kelly · then J J Lambe 9 0 0 3 Nov 17
Blue Skimmer (IRE)from P J Prendergast · then J J Lambe 8 0 2 31 Jan 18
Cinder Rua (IRE)from J J Lambe 7 0 0 17 Mar 17
Ellas Ma (IRE)from John W Nicholson 5 0 0 6 Dec 17
Princess Harriet (IRE)from J H Scott 5 0 0 2 Sep 17
Infrontofthejudge (IRE)from J J Lambe 4 0 0 2 Jul 16
Sang Tiger (GER)from M G Quinn · then J J Lambe 3 0 0 5 Aug 17
Elusive Gent (IRE)from J J Lambe 3 0 0 23 May 16
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J J Lambe (8) and P J Prendergast (4); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for J J Lambe (4) and Patrick J McKenna (2); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00110817079000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Wayne Lordan 28 2 7.1% −10.50
Liam McKenna 18 0 0% −18.00
W J Lee 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Jonathan Burke 6 0 0% −6.00
Denis Linehan 5 0 0% −5.00
Danny Mullins 5 0 0% −5.00
Robbie Colgan 4 0 0% −4.00
Declan McDonogh 4 0 0% −4.00
Killian Leonard 4 1 25% +11.00
Kevin Manning 3 0 0% −3.00
Donagh O'Connor 3 0 0% −3.00
Dylan Hogan 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
6
Archived wins
£97,747
Prize money
2017
Best season · 4 wins
Rattling Jewel (GB) — Hanlon Concrete Handicap Curragh · May 2017
£15,990
Rattling Jewel (GB) — TRM Supporting Global Champions Handicap Curragh · Jun 2017
£10,780
Rattling Jewel (GB) — Rte Radio One Handicap (60-95) Curragh · Jun 2016
£10,455
Notable horses
Rattling Jewel (GB) Sir Ector (USA) Modern Tutor (GB) King Christophe (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Royal Applause (GB) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Dynaformer (USA) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 14.6% of 1,776 runs since 2008 (154 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 20.6% from 199. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.3% from 169.
Selkirk (USA) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.
Duke Of Marmalade (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,539 runs since 2012 (307 horses).
Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Arcano (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,647 runs since 2014 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 147.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 139 · newest first

The latest 50 of 139 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2016 to 31 January 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Jan 18 Down Royal Blue Skimmer (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Sean Graham Bookmakers Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 20 ran 13th 66/1
27 Jan 18 Fairyhouse Sir Ector (USA)J: Liam McKenna Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 25/1
27 Dec 17 Limerick Sir Ector (USA)J: Ricky Doyle Roches Feeds Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 18 ran 3rd 25/1
16 Dec 17 Newcastle (AW) Blue Skimmer (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Betway Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 16/1
16 Dec 17 Newcastle (AW) Noble Aussie (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Betway Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 33/1
10 Dec 17 Punchestown Sir Ector (USA)J: Liam McKenna 3 For 2 Festival Tickets At punchestown.com Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 25/1
08 Dec 17 Dundalk (AW) Modern Tutor (GB)J: Shane Crosse Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 40/1
06 Dec 17 Dundalk (AW) Ellas Ma (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Maiden12f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1
24 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Rattling Jewel (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap (Plus 10)7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 20/1
24 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Ellas Ma (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Dundalk Stadium Business Club 2018 Fillies Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 100/1
12 Nov 17 Navan Sir Ector (USA)J: Paul Townend Meath Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle (80-116)22f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 8th 8/1
03 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Rattling Jewel (GB)J: Kevin Manning Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Handicap6f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 25/1
03 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Ellas Ma (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Floodlit Friday Nights Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1
03 Nov 17 Down Royal Don't Be Hasty (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Allianz Handicap Hurdle (80-102)24f · Soft · 20 ran 11th 50/1
25 Oct 17 Navan Ellas Ma (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Come Racing Again Sunday 12th November Maiden13f · Heavy · 11 ran 9th 50/1
25 Oct 17 Navan Rattling Jewel (GB)J: Chris Hayes Like Navan On Facebook Handicap6f · Heavy · 12 ran 11th 14/1
12 Oct 17 Thurles Killala (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Devils Bit 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 18th 50/1
08 Oct 17 Navan Sir Ector (USA)J: Killian Leonard Irish Cesarewitch (Premier Handicap)16f · Soft · 24 ran 20th 33/1
08 Oct 17 Navan Rattling Jewel (GB)J: Kevin Manning Waterford Testimonial Stakes (listed)6f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 33/1
07 Oct 17 Fairyhouse Don't Be Hasty (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Special Offers At www.fairyhouse.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)20f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 13th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Nicole McKenna's strike rate?
Miss Nicole McKenna has won 6 of 139 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss Nicole McKenna's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 139 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).