Mme Ambre Molins
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (85 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.9% (n=85, Fair A/E 1.27). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 7.1% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.31 and +44.60 to a £1 stake over 378 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. G Pannier supplies 6% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.6%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2017→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,152 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,152 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 September 2017 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mme Ambre Molins's strike rate?
- Mme Ambre Molins has won 85 of 1,152 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mme Ambre Molins do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 15 wins from 157 rides (9.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mme Ambre Molins ride most for?
- G Pannier, with 72 rides since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.6%).
- Is Mme Ambre Molins in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mme Ambre Molins's Fair A/E?
- 1.11, from 1,149 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.