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Jockey profile

Mme Ambre Molins

1,152 rides in the lifetime window · 633 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
85–1,152
Wins / Runs
7.4%
Strike rate
n=1,152
250 (22%)
Placed
1.11
n=1,149 · 0.93 incl. margin
−119.50
£1 level stake
n=1,151 at SP · −10.4%
£1.59m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (85 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,152 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 21.5% when favourite G Pannier: 5.6% from 72 LTO winners: 12.9% Rides the favourite in 6% of races
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.9% (n=85, Fair A/E 1.27). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 7.1% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.31 and +44.60 to a £1 stake over 378 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. G Pannier supplies 6% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.6%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.1%−0.3
n=630 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −173.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
12.9%+5.5
n=85 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −10.60
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.1%−0.3
n=378 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +44.60
When favourite
21.5%
n=65 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −11.80
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.3%−0.1
n=942 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −113.20
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.2%−1.2
n=569 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −72.70
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With F Rossi 16.7% vs 7.4% · n=66
With Tim Donworth 16.2% vs 7.4% · n=37
On last-time-out winners 12.9% vs 7.4% · n=85
With new recruits 3% vs 7.4% · n=135
With Carina Fey 12.9% vs 7.4% · n=31
With headgear back on 2.6% vs 7.4% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 529 31 5.9% −73.90
Good to Soft 201 9 4.5% −120.10
Soft 198 21 10.6% +62.00
Good 125 12 9.6% +21.00
Heavy 93 10 10.8% −15.70
Good to Firm 6 2 33.3% +7.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (AW) 340 22 6.5% −74.70
Chantilly 301 20 6.6% −9.40
Saint-Cloud 180 9 5% −90.10
Longchamp (FR) 157 15 9.6% +59.70
Dieppe (FR) 21 2 9.5% −14.20
Lyon Parilly (FR) 20 0 0% −20.00
Compiegne (FR) 16 1 6.3% +5.30
Clairefontaine (FR) 16 2 12.5% +22.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 12 2 16.7% −6.00
Vichy (FR) 11 1 9.1% −7.20
Strasbourg (FR) 9 1 11.1% +8.00
Moulins (FR) 9 1 11.1% −3.00
Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 8 1 12.5% −2.10
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Marseille Borely (FR) 7 2 28.6% +6.20

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 28 3 10.7% +27.00
Class 4 27 4 14.8% +1.50
Class 1 6 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 71 17 23.9% 1.00 −6.30
2nd–3rd fav 119 23 19.3% 1.38 +25.40
4th–6th fav 253 23 9.1% 1.13 −31.30
7th+ in betting 708 22 3.1% 0.98 −107.30
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mia Grande (IRE) 17 1 7 14 Apr 26
Born To Win (FR) 16 2 4 4 Jun 26
Coronado (FR) 13 0 3 19 Oct 26
Le Gardolot (FR) 12 1 3 25 Sep 26
With Zest (FR) 9 0 0 18 Jun 26
Kayrat (IRE) 9 0 1 11 May 23
Shikami (IRE) 9 2 2 4 Feb 21
Wedgewood Pearl (FR) 8 2 4 19 Oct 26
Lilas Trezy (FR) 8 1 3 9 Oct 26
Americano (FR) 8 0 1 30 Jan 26
Dulini (GB) 8 2 5 20 Jun 25
Markus (FR) 7 2 3 5 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 633 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 14
Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
63438981098125
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardG Pannier
6% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 0.97
TrainerRWSR£1
G Pannier 72 4 5.6% +14.30
F Rossi 66 11 16.7% −8.50
J Parize 61 5 8.2% +8.40
N Clement 44 3 6.8% −21.30
P De Chevigny 43 5 11.6% +12.40
Tim Donworth 37 6 16.2% +0.40
S Morineau 31 2 6.5% −17.80
Carina Fey 31 4 12.9% +12.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
85
Archived wins
£1.59m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 22 wins
Freja (FR) — Prix Paris Turf - Prix Francois Andre - Grand Prix Female Jockeys (Handicap) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2024
£23,043
Shielding (USA) — Prix de la Place des Vosges (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course: 2nd Post) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2021
£22,321
Wedgewood Pearl (FR) — Prix du Palais Bourbon (Handicap) (Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2026
£22,130

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Toronado (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,848 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.
Goken (FR) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,044 runs since 2008 (244 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 244. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.2% from 198.
Sommerabend (GB) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,181 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.5% from 105.
Elusive City (USA) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,418 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,121.
Anodin (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,405 runs since 2008 (274 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.
Dabirsim (FR) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,127 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 142.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,152 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,152 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 September 2017 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Maya Chop (FR)T: J Parize Prix De La Chaussee7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 11/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Chiprana (FR)T: Vaclav Luka Jr Prix Des Biches11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 11/1
13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Trabuco (FR)T: P De Chevigny Prix De Bolivar12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 9/1
13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Born To Win (FR)T: S Morineau Prix De Secretan12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 14th 50/1
09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Orlovka (FR)T: M Lehmann Prix Du Carrefour Du Vivier CoraxClass 4 · 7f · Very Soft · 16 ran 3rd 22/1
07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Zenadia (FR)T: C Plisson Prix De Senlis6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 28/1
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Sociando (FR)T: J Planque Prix De Champagne8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 7/1
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Markus (FR)T: G Pannier Prix De La Chapelle-Saint-AubinClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 6/1
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Ellyra (FR)T: P De Chevigny Prix D'allonnes9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 22/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Antinea (FR)T: M Krebs Prix Du DaboClass 4 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 14th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme Ambre Molins's strike rate?
Mme Ambre Molins has won 85 of 1,152 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme Ambre Molins do best at?
Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 15 wins from 157 rides (9.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mme Ambre Molins ride most for?
G Pannier, with 72 rides since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.6%).
Is Mme Ambre Molins in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mme Ambre Molins's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 1,149 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).