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Trainer profile

Tim Donworth

444 runners in the last 5 seasons · 127 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
45–444
Wins / Runs
10.1%
Strike rate
n=444
133 (30%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=444 · 0.80 incl. margin
−143.50
£1 level stake
n=444 at SP · −32.3%
£1.33m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (31 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 444 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug Fresh horses: 11.9% 21.4% when favourite Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux: 9.5% from 116 New recruits: 12.9% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races
The read

It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (3.3% over 61 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 5.5% (n=91, Fair A/E 0.63). Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux rides 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.5%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good going (17.1%, n=41). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 6.3% over 111 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix de Place des Vosges at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2025, £29,752). Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.9%+1.8
n=118 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −22.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.9%+2.8
n=31 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +10.80
Debutants · first career start
5.5%−4.6
n=91 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −45.30
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.8%−2.3
n=51 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −23.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
21.4%
n=42 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −15.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.5%−1.6
n=71 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −33.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6.7%−3.4
n=89 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −23.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 17.8% vs 10.1% · n=45
At Saint-Cloud 3.3% vs 10.1% · n=61
On Good going 17.1% vs 10.1% · n=41
With Mme Ambre Molins 16.2% vs 10.1% · n=37
With debutants 5.5% vs 10.1% · n=91
On Good to Soft going 6.3% vs 10.1% · n=111
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 154 20 13% −36.70
Good to Soft 111 7 6.3% −76.90
Soft 104 8 7.7% −36.50
Good 41 7 17.1% +6.60
Heavy 32 2 6.3% −11.00
Good to Firm 2 1 50% +11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville 121 11 9.1% −27.40
Chantilly (FR) 121 16 13.2% −33.30
Longchamp (FR) 77 6 7.8% −16.80
Saint-Cloud 61 2 3.3% −54.45
Clairefontaine (FR) 8 1 12.5% −1.20
Toulouse (FR) 6 1 16.7% −2.50
La Teste De Buch (FR) 5 1 20% −2.25
Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Vittel (FR) 4 1 25% −0.75
Compiegne (FR) 4 1 25% +3.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Nantes (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Salon-de-Provence (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Craon (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 92 6 6.5% −26.50
Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 4 7 3 42.9% +9.50
Class 2 5 1 20% −2.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 44 10 22.7% 0.83 −13.40
2nd–3rd fav 103 18 17.5% 1.05 −13.70
4th–6th fav 149 15 10.1% 1.24 −8.40
7th+ in betting 148 2 1.4% 0.39 −108.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Skylight Brochard (HOL) 31 3 13 4 Oct 26
Far Beyond (IRE) 13 1 2 19 May 26
Saxon Girl (FR) 13 2 6 5 Apr 26
Jusearth Fal (FR)then Mathieu Pitart 11 1 4 20 Sep 26
Dulini (GB)then Mme Armony Tinchon 11 2 5 3 Oct 25
Aleksine (FR)then Francois Monfort 11 0 3 4 May 25
Mon Ricin (FR)from F Monnier 9 3 6 3 Oct 26
Bejar (FR)from Brian Beaunez · then Kevin Plisson 9 1 2 3 May 26
Zambezi (FR) 8 0 5 14 Sep 26
Scorch (GER) 8 1 2 27 Mar 25
Kit De Cerisy (FR) 8 4 4 15 Dec 23
Trinquette (FR) 7 0 1 14 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 127 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Peter Chapple-Hyam (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1213160618141386911
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGuillaume Trolley De Prevaux
26% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 1.01
RiderRWSR£1
Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux 116 11 9.5% −48.40
Cristian Demuro 83 9 10.8% −29.80
Aurelien Lemaitre 76 9 11.8% −9.30
Mme Ambre Molins 37 6 16.2% +0.40
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
48
Archived wins
6
Pattern / graded wins
£1.36m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 12 wins
Mon Ricin (FR) — Qatar Prix de Place des Vosges (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course: 2nd Post) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2025
£29,752
Ocean Vision (IRE) — Prix de la Vallee d'Auge () (2yo) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2022 · Listed
£25,210
Ocean Vision (IRE) — Prix de Pontarme () (3yo) (New Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2023 · Listed
£24,336
Notable horses
Kit De Cerisy (FR) Skylight Brochard (HOL) Mon Ricin (FR) Ocean Vision (IRE) Saxon Girl (FR) Dulini (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mehmas (IRE) 9.8% · 5–51
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Zarak (FR) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,965 runs since 2008 (326 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 11% from 363. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 21.1% from 242. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7% from 201.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,145 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.
Zelzal (FR) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,665 runs since 2008 (238 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Saxon Warrior (JPN) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,877 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.9% from 928. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.9% from 135.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 453 · newest first

The latest 50 of 453 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 October 2021 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Bubble Gum (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Casimir Delamarre9f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 12/1
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Raffaelle (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Chapelle9f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 11/1
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Knuckle (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix De La Ville De RamonvilleClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/2F
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Daytripper (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix Des Briques Du Capitole8f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 15/2
15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Australips (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Chene De La Basse Pommeraie9f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 18/1
14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Trinquette (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Grand Prix Anjou Bretagne - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage8f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 9/1
13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Aventino (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Passage Feydeau8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 9/2
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Indian Belle (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix D'allonnes9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Skylight Brochard (HOL)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Qatar Grand Handicap des Flyers Presente par RMCClass 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 14th 4/1
03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Mon Ricin (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Qatar Prix De La Place Des VosgesClass 1 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 12th 33/1
28 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Peintresse (IRE)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Grand Criterium De BordeauxClass 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 6/4
27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Deseo (IRE)J: Mme Coralie Pacaut Prix De Longpre8f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 6/4
24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Sono Io (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De Choisy Au Bac8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 7/1
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Jusearth Fal (FR)J: Glen Meury Prix De L'afasec (Prix De La Grotte Aux Cristaux)7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/4F
18 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Moon Orbit (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix Tenebreuse7.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 10/1
15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Indian Belle (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix De Carlepont9f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 16/1
14 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Zambezi (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin La Coupe De Marseille - Arqana10f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 13/8F
14 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Bubble Gum (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix Henri Rossi10f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 4/5F
14 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Freeze The Moment (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix Sky Lawyer9f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 11/4F
13 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Aventino (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Place D'estienne D'orvesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Donworth's strike rate?
Tim Donworth has won 45 of 444 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Donworth do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 16 wins from 121 runners (13.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tim Donworth?
Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux, with 116 runners since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.5%).
Is Tim Donworth in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tim Donworth's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 444 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).