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Trainer profile

Vaclav Luka Jr

382 runners in the last 5 seasons · 93 individual horses
As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
17–382
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=382
77 (20%)
Placed
0.69
n=381 · 0.57 incl. margin
−200.95
£1 level stake
n=382 at SP · −52.6%
£670k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.69).

Deterministic profile computed from 382 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 31 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Clement Lecoeuvre: 4.3% from 115
The read

The record is strongest at Deauville (AW) (8%, n=137), clear of the yard's 4.5% baseline. It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −49.20 to a £1 stake over 123 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Clement Lecoeuvre rides 30% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.3%, A/E 0.82). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.32 across 162 runners (1.9% strike, −135.10 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Handicap de Deauville at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2016, £34,559). The stable star of the record: Ideal King (FR) — 6 wins from 39 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.1%−0.4
n=123 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −49.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.5%+8.0
n=16 · A/E 2.67 · £1 +37.00
Debutants · first career start
1.6%−2.9
n=62 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −35.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.5
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10%+5.5
n=10 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +16.00
When favourite
22.2%
n=9 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −3.35
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.2%−0.3
n=48 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −33.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.5
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 11.1% vs 4.5% · n=45
At Deauville (AW) 8% vs 4.5% · n=137
With first-time headgear 0% vs 4.5% · n=38
At Longchamp (FR) 0% vs 4.5% · n=34
Over 1m – 1m1f 1.9% vs 4.5% · n=162
With debutants 1.6% vs 4.5% · n=62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 229 10 4.4% −151.45
Good to Soft 74 2 2.7% −62.50
Soft 43 3 7% +16.00
Good 21 1 4.8% +6.00
Heavy 13 1 7.7% −7.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (AW) 137 11 8% −18.75
Chantilly 136 4 2.9% −85.20
Saint-Cloud 45 1 2.2% −39.00
Longchamp (FR) 34 0 0% −34.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Compiegne (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Dieppe (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Aix-Les-Bains (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Vichy (FR) 3 1 33.3% +3.00
San Siro (ITY) 2 0 0% −2.00
Marseille Borely (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 21 0 0% −21.00
Class 3 14 1 7.1% −8.00
Class 2 9 1 11.1% +17.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 1.24 +0.65
2nd–3rd fav 50 6 12% 0.81 −13.40
4th–6th fav 94 5 5.3% 0.68 −30.60
7th+ in betting 227 3 1.3% 0.41 −157.60
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ideal King (FR) 27 3 8 16 Jan 26
Star Rock (FR)from M Delzangles 17 1 4 29 Sep 26
Wakai Go (CZE) 17 0 3 2 Aug 26
Prewitt (IRE) 15 0 2 16 Oct 25
Piemont (IRE) 10 3 4 4 Oct 26
Quartz Du Houley (FR)from C Escuder 9 0 3 27 Oct 26
Memento Mori (IRE) 9 1 4 14 Sep 26
Matt Machine (IRE)then Markus Geisler 9 0 2 12 Oct 23
Mowaeva (FR)from Andrea Marcialis · then M Boutin 9 0 0 31 Mar 23
Awaiting Christmas (FR)from D Guillemin 8 0 3 15 Oct 26
Jawwal (FR)from H-F Devin 8 1 3 4 Oct 26
Mirissa (IRE) 8 0 3 9 Feb 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 93 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrea Marcialis (2) and H-F Devin (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for F Vermeulen (2) and M Boutin (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
7734040134323
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
30% of all rides
4.3% SR · A/E 0.82
RiderRWSR£1
Clement Lecoeuvre 115 5 4.3% −33.90
A Madamet 36 2 5.6% −25.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
70
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£2.28m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 11 wins
Wireless (FR) — Grand Handicap de Deauville (3yo+) (Straight) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2016
£34,559
Troizilet (FR) — Grand Handicap de l'Inauguration de ParisLongchamp (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2018
£30,973
Rousse (GB) — Prix du Brionnais (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2018
£24,336

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sidestep (AUS) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 9% of 654 runs since 2008 (65 horses).
Anodin (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (274 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.
Stormy Jail (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 6.7% of 30 runs since 2008 (3 horses).
Outstrip (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,284 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 634. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 264.
Pedro The Great (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,233 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Profitable (IRE) 26.7% · 4–15
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,436 runs since 2008 (358 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,058 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,058 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 October 2009 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Piemont (IRE)J: Tony Piccone Qatar Prix du Festival des NationsClass 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 15/2
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Star Rock (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix De La Chambre Du DucClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 40/1
10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Piemont (IRE)J: Tony Piccone Prix De Saint-nicolasClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 5/2F
04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Memento Mori (IRE)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Bois FrancClass 3 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran F 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Vaclav Luka Jr's strike rate?
Vaclav Luka Jr has won 17 of 382 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Vaclav Luka Jr do best at?
Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 137 runners (8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Vaclav Luka Jr?
Clement Lecoeuvre, with 115 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.3%).
Is Vaclav Luka Jr in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Vaclav Luka Jr's Fair A/E?
0.69, from 381 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 31 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).