Mohammed Tabti
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (49 rides). Rides mostly for Iain Jardine — 47% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Musselburgh (16.1%, n=31), clear of the rider's 10.6% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.5% (n=73, Fair A/E 1.15). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 10.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.18 and +38.58 to a £1 stake over 183 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Iain Jardine supplies 47% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.7% vs 10.6%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22.9%, n=35) and on Good to Soft going (19.1%, n=47). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 6.6% over 181 rides, 4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 482 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 482 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 September 2018 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mohammed Tabti's strike rate?
- Mohammed Tabti has won 51 of 482 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mohammed Tabti do best at?
- Musselburgh by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 rides (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mohammed Tabti ride most for?
- Iain Jardine, with 228 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (12.7%).
- What is Mohammed Tabti's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 480 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.