Paul & Oliver Cole
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98).
The record is strongest at Goodwood (24%, n=50) and Newmarket (21.6%, n=37) — all clear of the yard's 13.4% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.43). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −66.97 to a £1 stake over 103 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mohammed Tabti rides 18% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (10.4% vs 13.4%, A/E 0.75). The yard also reads well on Soft going (28.9%, n=38). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes at Goodwood (Aug 2023, £170,130). The stable star of the record: Leap Abroad (IRE) — 5 wins from 23 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 855 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 855 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2020 to 4 August 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Paul & Oliver Cole's strike rate?
- Paul & Oliver Cole has won 71 of 531 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Paul & Oliver Cole do best at?
- Goodwood by strike rate: 12 wins from 50 runners (24%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Paul & Oliver Cole?
- Mohammed Tabti, with 96 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (10.4%).
- What is Paul & Oliver Cole's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 531 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.