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Trainer profile

Paul & Oliver Cole

531 runners in the last 5 seasons · 81 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2025 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
71–531
Wins / Runs
13.4%
Strike rate
n=531
212 (40%)
Placed
0.98
n=531 · 0.84 incl. margin
−106.80
£1 level stake
n=531 at SP · −20.1%
£2.02m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
19.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 531 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 36.9% when favourite Mohammed Tabti: 10.4% from 96 Sends off the favourite in 12% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Goodwood (24%, n=50) and Newmarket (21.6%, n=37) — all clear of the yard's 13.4% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.43). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −66.97 to a £1 stake over 103 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mohammed Tabti rides 18% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (10.4% vs 13.4%, A/E 0.75). The yard also reads well on Soft going (28.9%, n=38). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes at Goodwood (Aug 2023, £170,130). The stable star of the record: Leap Abroad (IRE) — 5 wins from 23 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.8%−5.6
n=103 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −66.97
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−13.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
13.8%+0.4
n=58 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +5.75
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.4%−9.0
n=45 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −36.62
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.1%−2.3
n=18 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −4.50
When favourite
36.9%
n=65 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −3.66
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.2%−2.2
n=125 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −25.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12%−1.4
n=50 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +8.13

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 28.9% vs 13.4% · n=38
With Luke Morris 0% vs 13.4% · n=34
With Tom Marquand 24.4% vs 13.4% · n=45
At Goodwood 24% vs 13.4% · n=50
With first-time headgear 4.4% vs 13.4% · n=45
At Newmarket 21.6% vs 13.4% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 180 16 8.9% −97.14
Good 131 22 16.8% +17.23
Good to Firm 111 13 11.7% −35.16
Good to Soft 52 8 15.4% −18.48
Soft 38 11 28.9% +19.75
Heavy 18 1 5.6% +8.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 68 7 10.3% −27.05
Windsor 53 9 17% +11.75
Goodwood 50 12 24% +35.55
Newbury 38 6 15.8% +1.18
Newmarket 37 8 21.6% +18.37
Lingfield (AW) 34 2 5.9% −28.30
Chelmsford City (AW) 27 3 11.1% −10.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 27 2 7.4% −14.17
Ascot 23 2 8.7% −18.17
Southwell (AW) 13 1 7.7% −9.50
Epsom Downs 13 1 7.7% −3.50
Chepstow 13 0 0% −13.00
Nottingham 12 2 16.7% −4.62
Newcastle (AW) 11 1 9.1% −8.12
Newmarket 11 2 18.2% +3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 159 21 13.2% −65.41
Class 4 144 25 17.4% −6.40
Class 6 61 5 8.2% −17.00
Class 2 60 4 6.7% −40.97
Class 3 51 10 19.6% +20.85
Class 1 50 6 12% +8.13

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 75 26 34.7% 1.06 −3.66
2nd–3rd fav 159 29 18.2% 1.05 −17.44
4th–6th fav 188 13 6.9% 0.80 −33.70
7th+ in betting 109 3 2.8% 0.69 −52.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Geelong (FR) 26 2 12 11 May 24
Hurtle (IRE) 21 1 7 16 Jun 25
Thunder Ball (GB)then Brian Toomey 20 2 10 25 Sep 24
Leap Abroad (IRE) 17 4 9 13 May 24
Deacs Delight (GB) 17 1 4 4 Sep 23
Maverick Style (GB) 16 1 2 19 Sep 24
Hurricane Power (IRE) 15 1 5 24 Oct 24
Great Chieftain (IRE)then Oliver Cole 14 5 9 24 May 25
Many A Star (IRE)from Brian Meehan · then Jamie Osborne 14 3 8 27 Aug 23
Eleftheria (IRE) 13 2 4 7 Nov 24
Splendent (IRE) 13 2 5 23 Apr 24
Jack Darcy (IRE) 13 2 5 15 Oct 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 81 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Oliver Cole (14); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00611211411131419710
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMohammed Tabti
18% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 0.75
RiderRWSR£1
Mohammed Tabti 96 10 10.4% −36.67
Tom Marquand 45 11 24.4% +29.85
David Probert 34 6 17.6% −8.00
Luke Morris 34 0 0% −34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
111
Archived wins
6
Pattern / graded wins
£2.60m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 24 wins
Sumo Sam (GB) — Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 2) Goodwood · Aug 2023 · Group 2
£170,130
Jack Darcy (IRE) — Lucien Barriere Grand Prix de Deauville (3yo+) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2023 · Group 2
£100,885
Royal Scotsman (IRE) — Richmond Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2022 · Group 2
£85,065

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gleneagles (IRE) 21.4% · 12–56
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,561 runs since 2008 (445 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 283.
Australia (GB) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,659 runs since 2008 (565 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,086 runs since 2008 (563 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 158.
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,634 runs since 2008 (842 horses).
Nathaniel (IRE) 25% · 5–20
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,085 runs since 2008 (635 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.5% from 325.
Gregorian (IRE) 23.5% · 4–17
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,946 runs since 2008 (164 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 116.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 855 · newest first

The latest 50 of 855 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2020 to 4 August 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Jul 25 Windsor Arran (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Fitzdares Sprint Series HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 7/1
10 Jul 25 Epsom Downs Rockstar Icon (IRE)J: Luke Morris Betfred Nifty 50 HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 13/2
19 Jun 25 Ascot Afentiko (IRE)J: Warren Fentiman Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str)Class 2 · 8f · Good To Firm · 30 ran 11th 28/1
17 Jun 25 Ascot American Gulf (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Coventry Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 13th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul & Oliver Cole's strike rate?
Paul & Oliver Cole has won 71 of 531 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul & Oliver Cole do best at?
Goodwood by strike rate: 12 wins from 50 runners (24%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul & Oliver Cole?
Mohammed Tabti, with 96 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (10.4%).
What is Paul & Oliver Cole's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 531 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).