Mohammed Tabti
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (40 rides). Rides mostly for Iain Jardine — 60% of rides in the window.
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.85), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.30). Iain Jardine supplies 60% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.7%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (25%, n=32) and on Good to Soft going (20%, n=40). The market has also underrated the rider over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 1.27 across 77 rides (15.6% strike, +26.83 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 6.4% over 125 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Oct.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 482 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 482 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 September 2018 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mohammed Tabti's strike rate?
- Mohammed Tabti has won 44 of 380 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mohammed Tabti do best at?
- Musselburgh by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 rides (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mohammed Tabti ride most for?
- Iain Jardine, with 228 rides since 2022 — 60% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (12.7%).
- What is Mohammed Tabti's Fair A/E?
- 0.97, from 379 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.