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Jockey profile

Molly Gunn

344 rides in the last 5 seasons · 131 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
24–344
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=344
65 (19%)
Placed
1.09
n=339 · 0.92 incl. margin
−2.77
£1 level stake
n=344 at SP · −0.8%
£186k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.9%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09). Rides mostly for Tony Carroll — 70% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 344 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Tony Carroll: 8.7% from 241 Claiming: 7.2%
The read

It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (2.5% over 80 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.8% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.47). Tony Carroll supplies 70% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (11.4%, n=70) and on Good going (11.8%, n=34). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 1.4% over 71 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Three Dons (IRE) — 6 wins from 18 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.8%−3.2
n=130 · A/E 0.74 · £1 +18.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.9%+10.9
n=28 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −6.27
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
1.8%−5.2
n=55 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −46.50
When favourite
27.3%
n=11 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −2.52
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.2%+0.2
n=332 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +9.23
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−7.0
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 1.4% vs 7% · n=71
At Wolverhampton (AW) 2.5% vs 7% · n=80
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 11.4% vs 7% · n=70
At trips under 6f 2.4% vs 7% · n=42
On Good going 11.8% vs 7% · n=34
Off a 61-180-day break 2.6% vs 7% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 202 10 5% −38.75
Good to Firm 54 4 7.4% −29.75
Good 34 4 11.8% +85.00
Soft 20 2 10% −5.00
Good to Soft 16 2 12.5% −1.50
Heavy 14 2 14.3% −8.77
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 80 2 2.5% −60.00
Brighton 41 4 9.8% −3.00
Lingfield (AW) 40 3 7.5% +8.50
Southwell (AW) 30 2 6.7% +25.00
Kempton (AW) 26 2 7.7% +10.00
Newcastle (AW) 15 1 6.7% −11.25
Bath 15 0 0% −15.00
Leicester 11 4 36.4% +24.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Windsor 10 0 0% −10.00
Salisbury 7 0 0% −7.00
Nottingham 7 0 0% −7.00
Chepstow 7 1 14.3% +1.50
Ffos Las 7 2 28.6% −1.77
Lingfield 5 1 20% −1.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 249 21 8.4% −16.27
Class 5 71 1 1.4% +10.00
Class 4 15 2 13.3% +12.50
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 0.90 −2.52
2nd–3rd fav 40 6 15% 1.02 −10.25
4th–6th fav 93 9 9.7% 1.17 +74.00
7th+ in betting 200 6 3% 1.16 −64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Three Dons (IRE) 18 6 9 28 Oct 25
Autumn Angel (IRE) 16 1 5 22 Nov 25
River Wharfe (GB) 15 3 5 6 Aug 26
Poetic Force (IRE) 12 1 5 29 Apr 25
Sir Titan (GB) 11 1 2 24 Oct 24
Hurricane Alert (GB) 11 0 0 9 Jul 24
Fighting Chance (GB) 11 0 1 10 Apr 24
Voltaic (GB) 10 2 3 7 Aug 25
Beau Geste (IRE) 10 1 2 4 Jun 24
Lord Clenaghcastle (IRE) 9 1 1 10 Jan 24
Equion (GB) 8 0 0 15 Aug 26
Tortured Soul (GB) 6 0 0 2 Nov 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 131 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1412308144130700
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardTony Carroll
70% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 1.14
TrainerRWSR£1
Tony Carroll 241 21 8.7% −24.77
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
24
Archived wins
£187k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 10 wins
Poetic Force (IRE) — unibetracing Cheltenham Preview Tonight Apprentice Handicap Kempton (AW) · Mar 2023 · Class 4
£6,281
Autumn Angel (IRE) — Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1) Southwell (AW) · Jan 2024 · Class 6
£5,234
Sir Titan (GB) — Stay Golden With Betmgm Safer Gambling Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2024 · Class 6
£5,234

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Showcasing (GB) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,664 runs since 2014 (1,000 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.
Fast Company (IRE) 28.6% · 6–21
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,603 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Dark Angel (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,241 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 961.
Aqlaam (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11.7% of 2,398 runs since 2013 (139 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 8.5% from 118.
Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 348 · newest first

The latest 50 of 348 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 April 2021 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Sep 26 Chester Lc Tiffen (GB)T: Lisa Williamson HRS Cladding Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 18/1
28 Aug 26 Ffos Las Lc Tiffen (GB)T: Lisa Williamson K P Tyres Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Molly Gunn's strike rate?
Molly Gunn has won 24 of 344 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Molly Gunn do best at?
Brighton by strike rate: 4 wins from 41 rides (9.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Molly Gunn ride most for?
Tony Carroll, with 241 rides since 2022 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (8.7%).
Is Molly Gunn in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Molly Gunn's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 339 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).