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Trainer profile

Mark Pattinson

329 runners in the last 5 seasons · 22 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2022
16–329
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=329
62 (19%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=328 · 0.80 incl. margin
−99.50
£1 level stake
n=329 at SP · −30.2%
£160k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 329 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
The read

It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (0% over 50 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (7.9%, n=38). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 32 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.41 across 129 runners (2.3% strike, −98.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Perfect Symphony (IRE) — 5 wins from 76 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.3%−2.6
n=44 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −31.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.9
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2%−2.9
n=49 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −37.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Kempton (AW) 0% vs 4.9% · n=50
In Class 4 0% vs 4.9% · n=32
With C&D winners 7.9% vs 4.9% · n=76
Off a 15-30-day break 2.3% vs 4.9% · n=129
With claiming riders up 2% vs 4.9% · n=49
On Good to Firm going 7.9% vs 4.9% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 306 15 4.9% −87.50
Hurdle 20 1 5% −9.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 218 9 4.1% −53.00
Good 40 3 7.5% −8.00
Good to Firm 38 3 7.9% −12.50
Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Soft 15 1 6.7% −8.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 104 5 4.8% +2.00
Kempton (AW) 50 0 0% −50.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 47 3 6.4% −1.00
Brighton 28 4 14.3% +4.50
Sandown 11 1 9.1% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 10 1 10% +3.00
Epsom 10 0 0% −10.00
Windsor 10 1 10% +1.00
Fontwell 9 1 11.1% +2.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Yarmouth 5 0 0% −5.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Ascot 5 0 0% −5.00
Chepstow 5 0 0% −5.00
Bath 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 211 12 5.7% −22.50
Class 5 80 4 5% −39.00
Class 4 32 0 0% −32.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 22 2 9.1% 0.62 −10.50
4th–6th fav 99 12 12.1% 1.74 +39.00
7th+ in betting 203 2 1% 0.35 −123.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rainbow Sign (GB) 56 4 15 15 Oct 26
Nubough (IRE)from Iain Jardine 45 3 14 18 Sep 26
Perfect Symphony (IRE)from Sophie Leech 34 1 5 2 May 24
Ray's The One (GB)from Gary Moore 31 2 4 29 Aug 25
Nasim (GB)from Michael Appleby 21 2 5 3 Dec 25
Forca Timao (IRE)from Richard Hannon 19 1 2 7 Oct 26
The Organiser (GB)from Edward Bethell 17 1 3 15 Oct 26
Dream By Day (GB)from Kevin Philippart De Foy 13 0 0 8 Jul 25
Penfolds Grange (GB)from Harry Eustace 12 0 4 23 Sep 26
Mapogo (GB)from George Boughey 10 0 0 23 Apr 25
Kwiz (IRE) 10 0 0 10 Jan 24
Bubbles Wonky (IRE)from Tim Easterby 9 1 4 27 Sep 26
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Appleby (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
30411360157305
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJoshua Bryan
11% of all rides
2.7% SR · A/E 0.43
RiderRWSR£1
Joshua Bryan 37 1 2.7% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
29
Archived wins
£254k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 7 wins
Our Oystercatcher (GB) — Betway Handicap Sandown · Aug 2019 · Class 5
£5,175
Ray's The One (GB) — John And Maryanne Birch Memorial Handicap Hurdle Fontwell · Dec 2022 · Class 5
£4,684
Briac (FR) — Smarkets Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Sandown · Feb 2018 · Class 4
£4,549
Notable horses
Perfect Symphony (IRE) Rainbow Sign (GB) Nubough (IRE) Briac (FR) Ray's The One (GB) Nasim (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Adaay (IRE) 7.1% · 4–56
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,957 runs since 2008 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 497.
Kodiac (GB) 6.7% · 3–45
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Dandy Man (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,925 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Mount Nelson (GB) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since 2008 (538 horses).
Coach House (IRE) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,478 runs since 2008 (145 horses).
Galileo Gold (GB) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,021 runs since 2008 (174 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 577 · newest first

The latest 50 of 577 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 December 2016 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Dalmally (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 6/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton The Organiser (GB)J: Kieren Fox Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 4th 12/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Rainbow Sign (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 1st 9/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Forca Timao (IRE)J: Kieren Fox Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 20/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton The Organiser (GB)J: Kieren Fox Matchbook Monthly Bet- Builder Rebate Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 25/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton Rainbow Sign (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 5/1
27 Sep 26 Epsom Bubbles Wonky (IRE)J: Kieren Fox Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 16/1
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Penfolds Grange (GB)J: Kieren Fox Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 2nd 10/1
18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Nubough (IRE)J: Kieren Fox Jjx Logistics Going The Distance Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 20/1
10 Sep 26 Epsom Daring Legend (GB)J: Kieren Fox Flat Out Flat Glass Solutions Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 18/1
09 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Penfolds Grange (GB)J: Alfie Redman Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 8th 16/1
08 Sep 26 Leicester Forca Timao (IRE)J: Alfie Redman Your Move Estate Agents Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 10/1
01 Sep 26 Brighton Rainbow Sign (GB)J: Tyler Heard Download The Matchbook App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 4th 12/1
29 Aug 26 Windsor Bubbles Wonky (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Play The Matchbook Match 6 Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 3/1J
24 Aug 26 Brighton Dalmally (GB)J: Thomas Greatrex Streamline Taxis Always Going The Distance Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 9/2
24 Aug 26 Brighton The Organiser (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Ian Carnaby Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 13/2
22 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Daring Legend (GB)J: Kieren Fox Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 8/1
20 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Nubough (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Air Cool Engineering Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 66/1
17 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Forca Timao (IRE)J: Alfie Redman Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
06 Aug 26 Sandown Bubbles Wonky (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Community Fund For Elmbridge Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mark Pattinson's strike rate?
Mark Pattinson has won 16 of 329 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Pattinson do best at?
Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 47 runners (6.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Mark Pattinson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mark Pattinson's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 328 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).