Mr C McConnell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). Rides mostly for John C McConnell — 85% of rides in the window.
First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=70, Fair A/E 0.33). John C McConnell supplies 85% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (9.1%, n=44). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 0% over 38 rides, 5pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 237 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 237 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 June 2020 to 25 May 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mr C McConnell's strike rate?
- Mr C McConnell has won 8 of 160 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mr C McConnell do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 53 rides (7.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mr C McConnell ride most for?
- John C McConnell, with 136 rides since 2022 — 85% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.9%).
- What is Mr C McConnell's Fair A/E?
- 1.04, from 160 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.