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Trainer profile

Lee Smyth

147 runners in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2024 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–147
Wins / Runs
3.4%
Strike rate
n=147
19 (13%)
Placed
0.68
Fair A/E
n=147 · 0.54 incl. margin
−61.05
£1 level stake
n=147 at SP · −41.5%
£61,810
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.68).

Deterministic profile computed from 147 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.6%
The read

The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 31 runners, 3.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.69 across 96 runners (4.2% strike, −20.05 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Adams Barbour (IRE) — 7 wins from 48 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.6%+0.2
n=28 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +39.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.4
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
50%
n=6 · A/E 1.80 · £1 +2.95
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%+0.2
n=84 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −67.80
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 8.1% vs 3.4% · n=37
On Good going 0% vs 3.4% · n=31
On Standard (AW) going 4.2% vs 3.4% · n=96 · A/E 0.69
At Dundalk (AW) 4.2% vs 3.4% · n=95 · A/E 0.70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 96 4 4.2% −20.05
Good 31 0 0% −31.00
Soft 12 1 8.3% −2.00
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 95 4 4.2% −19.05
Navan 11 1 9.1% −1.00
Bellewstown 10 0 0% −10.00
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Down Royal 7 0 0% −7.00
Curragh 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Laytown (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 1.66 +1.95
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 26 1 3.8% 0.50 −16.00
7th+ in betting 108 1 0.9% 0.34 −41.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Adams Barbour (IRE) 26 3 6 16 Feb 24
Silver Nemo (IRE)from Shaun Keightley 25 0 3 21 Jun 24
Spirituoso (GB)from George Margarson 21 2 7 2 Dec 22
Just Another (IRE)from Les Eyre 11 0 0 8 Jun 24
Astral Beat (IRE)from William Knight 10 0 0 19 Jul 24
Adapt To Dan (IRE)from Mark Fahey 10 0 1 7 Jul 23
King's View (IRE)from Patrick J McKenna 8 0 0 7 Jul 23
Lily Of The Glen (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness · then Miss Natalia Lupini 6 0 2 7 Oct 22
Sense Of Romance (IRE)from James Tate 6 0 0 12 Jul 22
The Gray Chapter (IRE) 5 0 0 26 Jan 24
Gianh River (IRE)from S M Duffy · then Thomas Dowling 4 0 0 12 Apr 24
Riliya (IRE)from John C McConnell 4 0 0 15 Aug 22
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from S M Duffy (2); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Thomas Dowling (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
92513000008000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Siobhan Rutledge 28 1 3.6% −26.00
Jack Kearney 25 1 4% −15.00
Luke McAteer 13 1 7.7% −8.80
Joe Doyle 13 1 7.7% +54.00
Killian Leonard 10 0 0% −10.00
Chris Hayes 7 1 14.3% −4.25
Danny Sheehy 6 0 0% −6.00
Wesley Joyce 5 0 0% −5.00
Sorcha Woods 4 0 0% −4.00
Rory Cleary 4 0 0% −4.00
Colin Keane 3 0 0% −3.00
Leigh Roche 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
48
Archived wins
£397k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 7 wins
Spirituoso (GB) — Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (45-65) Dundalk (AW) · Mar 2022
£8,850
My Brother (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden Sligo · Jun 2016
£8,303
Polly Glide (IRE) — British Stallion Studs Captain J C Stewart Ebf Fillies' Handicap Hamilton · Jun 2018 · Class 4
£8,022
Notable horses
Adams Barbour (IRE) Cheers Buddy (IRE) Norville (IRE) Duncan Of Scotland (IRE) Ty Rock Brandy (IRE) Spirituoso (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Elzaam (AUS) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,508 runs since 2008 (371 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.
Markaz (IRE) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 9.6% of 997 runs since 2008 (66 horses).
Charm Spirit (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,801 runs since 2008 (338 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 133. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,212 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.5% from 120. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Cotai Glory (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,898 runs since 2008 (388 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,386. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 414.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,899 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,010 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,010 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2008 to 19 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Jul 24 Down Royal Astral Beat (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Proparamedics Handicap (47-65)5f · Good · 12 ran 12th 20/1
21 Jun 24 Down Royal Silver Nemo (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Laura Nicholas Memorial Handicap (47-65)7f · Good · 13 ran 10th 50/1
21 Jun 24 Down Royal Astral Beat (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy G Dunlop Electrical Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 80/1
08 Jun 24 Navan Silver Nemo (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap (47-70)5f · Good · 16 ran 14th 28/1
08 Jun 24 Navan Just Another (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap (47-70)5f · Good · 16 ran 11th 125/1
13 Apr 24 Dundalk (AW) Purring Along (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 40/1
12 Apr 24 Dundalk (AW) Gianh River (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Friday 12th July Ladies Day At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65)7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 125/1
12 Apr 24 Dundalk (AW) Silver Nemo (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Grand National Lucky Dip At BetVictor Handicap (47-65)5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 20/1
05 Apr 24 Dundalk (AW) Gianh River (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Gateway Hotel Dundalk Race & Stay Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 125/1
05 Apr 24 Dundalk (AW) Silver Nemo (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Gateway Hotel Dundalk Race & Stay Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1
22 Mar 24 Dundalk (AW) Astral Beat (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Sky Bet Request A Bet Handicap (47-65)5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 40/1
16 Feb 24 Dundalk (AW) Adams Barbour (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 8/1
14 Feb 24 Dundalk (AW) Gianh River (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy Put The Fun In Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 66/1
14 Feb 24 Dundalk (AW) Adams Barbour (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Put The Fun In Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 20/1
31 Jan 24 Dundalk (AW) Silver Nemo (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 25/1
26 Jan 24 Dundalk (AW) Gianh River (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 150/1
26 Jan 24 Dundalk (AW) The Gray Chapter (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Join Us On Our Social Channels Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 100/1
26 Jan 24 Dundalk (AW) Adams Barbour (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65)5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 16/1
26 Jan 24 Dundalk (AW) Astral Beat (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65)5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 25/1
16 Jan 24 Dundalk (AW) Silver Nemo (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Gateway Hotel Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)6f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lee Smyth's strike rate?
Lee Smyth has won 5 of 147 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lee Smyth do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 95 runners (4.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Lee Smyth's Fair A/E?
0.68, from 147 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).