What is R P Burns's strike rate?

R P Burns has won 8 of 170 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does R P Burns do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 31 runners (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for R P Burns?

Nicola Burns, with 85 runners since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9.4%).

Is R P Burns in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is R P Burns's Fair A/E?

1.23, from 170 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

R P Burns

170 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses

As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 91% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

8–170

Wins / Runs

4.7%

Strike rate

n=170

22 (13%)

Placed

1.23

Fair A/E

n=170 · 0.95 incl. margin

−89.50

£1 level stake

n=170 at SP · −52.6%

£80,018

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.23). With a claiming rider up the record reads 6% (113 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 170 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 25 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Nicola Burns: 9.4% from 85 Claiming riders: 6.2%

The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 31 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Nicola Burns rides 50% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.4% vs 4.7%, A/E 1.83) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (13.5%, n=37). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 35 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Davorin (JPN) — 5 wins from 26 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.8%−2.9

n=55 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −44.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.9%+1.2

n=17 · A/E 2.20 · £1 −6.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.7

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−4.7

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%+7.8

n=8 · A/E 3.20 · £1 +5.00

When favourite

50%

n=2 · A/E 3.46 · £1 +3.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.2%+1.5

n=113 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −45.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 13.5% vs 4.7% · n=37

With Nicola Burns 9.4% vs 4.7% · n=85

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 4.7% · n=35

At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 4.7% · n=31

On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 4.7% · n=31

With a new jockey booking 1.4% vs 4.7% · n=72

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 155 8 5.2% −74.50

Chase 8 0 0% −8.00

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 55 4 7.3% −30.00

Good 45 2 4.4% −23.50

Standard (AW) 31 0 0% −31.00

Heavy 21 2 9.5% +13.00

Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 31 0 0% −31.00

Gowran Park 22 1 4.5% −9.00

Leopardstown 15 1 6.7% −8.00

Curragh 15 1 6.7% −6.50

Killarney 12 0 0% −12.00

Cork 10 2 20% +18.00

Navan 9 0 0% −9.00

Bellewstown 8 0 0% −8.00

Limerick 8 2 25% +5.00

Roscommon 7 0 0% −7.00

Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00

Ballinrobe 5 0 0% −5.00

Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00

Galway 4 0 0% −4.00

Listowel 4 1 25% +7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2 1 50% 3.46 +3.00

2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.98 −4.50

4th–6th fav 21 3 14.3% 1.69 +3.00

7th+ in betting 138 3 2.2% 0.87 −91.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Deuteronomy (IRE) 48 4 8 1 Oct 26

Genuine Jim (IRE) 21 2 4 15 Oct 26

Carvalhal (IRE)from Michael Dods 16 1 5 1 Sep 26

The Blue Panther (IRE)from Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch · then Aidan Melia 9 1 2 6 Aug 26

Sioux Grit (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 9 0 0 30 Jun 26

Grey Leader (IRE)from Joseph G Murphy 6 0 0 28 Jul 26

Sister Lily (IRE) 6 0 0 23 Jan 26

Neddies Boy (IRE)from Peter Fahey · then R P Cody 6 0 0 26 Jan 24

Ha Long Bay (IRE)from Adrian Paul Keatley 6 0 1 16 Jan 24

Bilbo Bagins (IRE)from Adrian Murray 6 0 1 17 Jul 22

Marta's Prince (IRE)from H-A Pantall 5 0 0 20 Oct 26

Kathleen Gold (IRE) 5 0 1 15 Jul 24

All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Adrian Murray (3) and Kieran P Cotter (2); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Aidan Melia (2); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0007714005500

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNicola Burns

50% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 1.83

RiderRWSR£1

Nicola Burns 85 8 9.4% −4.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£493k

Prize money

2006

Best season · 7 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Davorin (JPN) — Crown Paints Handicap (Premier) Curragh · Sep 2005

£35,805

Davorin (JPN) — Bulmers Handicap (60-100) Gowran Park · Aug 2005

£17,903

Zaffaran Star (IRE) — Galway City Vintners Novice Chase Galway · Sep 2007

£14,648

Notable horses

Davorin (JPN) Deuteronomy (IRE) Mahrajaan (USA) Zaffaran Star (IRE) Genuine Jim (IRE) Lagniappe (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Acclamation (GB) 8.3% · 4–48

Progeny have won 10% of 19,693 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Galileo Gold (GB) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,028 runs since 2008 (174 horses).

Profitable (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,423 runs since 2008 (357 horses).

El Kabeir (USA) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,231 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 173. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 10.1% from 426. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.7% from 348.

Al Kazeem (GB) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,263 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.2% from 127. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7% from 415.

Buratino (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,880 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 652 · newest first

The latest 50 of 652 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Marta's Prince (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 16th 33/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Genuine Jim (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 16th 50/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Marta's Prince (IRE)J: Nicola Burns DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 13th 28/1

01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 7th 14/1

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Yorkshire Myth (GB)J: Nicola Burns BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 16th 28/1

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 6th 50/1

05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div II)10f · Good · 21 ran 9th 33/1

01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Carvalhal (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Apprentice Handicap8f · Yielding · 16 ran 16th 18/1

06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) The Blue Panther (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Carnival de Leop Handicap7f · Good · 17 ran 16th 22/1

01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Marta's Prince (IRE)J: James Ryan Ardilaun Hotel Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 80/1

28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Grey Leader (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Caulfield Industrial Handicap8.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 17th 22/1

25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Tote Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 20/1

25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) The Blue Panther (IRE)J: Nicola Burns O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap (Div II)7f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 12/1

15 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Start Your Free Month Trial At racingtv.com Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 40/1

15 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) The Blue Panther (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Executive Helicopters Handicap8f · Good · 13 ran 9th 33/1

13 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Grey Leader (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Killarney Glamping Handicap8f · Good · 8 ran 7th 18/1

13 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Marta's Prince (IRE)J: James Ryan Killarney Glamping Handicap8f · Good · 8 ran 5th 100/1

12 Jul 26 Dundalk (AW) Fleetfootsoldier (IRE)J: Nicola Burns QuinnBet Handicap (0-60)8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 33/1

11 Jul 26 Navan Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Handicap (0-60)10f · Good · 12 ran 5th 20/1

02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Carvalhal (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Ploughman Bar And Grill Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 10th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is R P Burns's strike rate?: R P Burns has won 8 of 170 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R P Burns do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 31 runners (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for R P Burns?: Nicola Burns, with 85 runners since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9.4%).
Is R P Burns in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is R P Burns's Fair A/E?: 1.23, from 170 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.