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Trainer profile

James McAuley

765 runners in the last 5 seasons · 101 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2024 99% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
47–765
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=765
176 (23%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=765 · 0.63 incl. margin
−308.35
£1 level stake
n=765 at SP · −40.3%
£634k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.78).

Deterministic profile computed from 765 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Aug 15.9% when favourite Shane Foley: 7.8% from 129 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −101.50 to a £1 stake over 237 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Shane Foley rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.8%, A/E 0.86). The yard also reads well on Soft going (11.3%, n=115). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Habitat' Handicap at Curragh (May 2023, £29,500). The stable star of the record: Tawaazon (IRE) — 6 wins from 15 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.9%−1.2
n=61 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −25.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.5%−0.6
n=73 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −35.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.1
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.1
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.5%−1.6
n=22 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −20.27
When favourite
15.9%
n=44 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −23.35
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.1%−1.0
n=237 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −101.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 11.3% vs 6.1% · n=115
With Gary Carroll 12.5% vs 6.1% · n=32
With Colin Keane 11% vs 6.1% · n=82
With Dylan Browne McMonagle 0% vs 6.1% · n=32
With Robert Whearty 0% vs 6.1% · n=32
With C&D winners 9.6% vs 6.1% · n=208
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 754 47 6.2% −297.35
Hurdle 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 462 23 5% −286.45
Good 116 7 6% −33.00
Soft 115 13 11.3% +62.00
Heavy 29 2 6.9% −17.40
Good to Soft 27 1 3.7% −22.50
Good to Firm 16 1 6.3% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 447 23 5.1% −271.45
Bellewstown 48 5 10.4% +3.10
Gowran Park 38 2 5.3% −19.25
Navan 36 3 8.3% −6.00
Naas 32 2 6.3% −4.00
Leopardstown 26 1 3.8% −16.50
Fairyhouse 24 0 0% −24.00
Down Royal 20 2 10% +18.00
Sligo 17 3 17.6% +8.25
Laytown (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Curragh 12 3 25% +38.00
Tipperary 11 1 9.1% −6.00
Limerick 9 0 0% −9.00
Ballinrobe 9 1 11.1% −4.50
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 50 7 14% 0.56 −29.35
2nd–3rd fav 112 15 13.4% 0.94 −30.00
4th–6th fav 245 10 4.1% 0.53 −148.50
7th+ in betting 358 15 4.2% 1.20 −100.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tai Sing Yeh (IRE)from J F Levins · then Denis Gerard Hogan 41 5 17 16 Feb 24
Sister Lola (IRE)from Edward Lynam · then Adrian Sexton 36 0 5 27 Oct 23
Dalvey (GB)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Noel C Kelly 31 2 7 13 Dec 23
Scarlet Dancer (IRE)from Richard Fahey · then John C McConnell 31 0 9 15 Aug 23
Eglish (GB)from Adrian McGuinness 23 0 6 20 Oct 23
Beleaguerment (IRE)from John C McConnell 23 2 3 27 Jan 23
Rocky Dreams (GB)from Denis Gerard Hogan 19 2 3 15 Nov 23
Finke River (GB) 16 1 4 29 Sep 23
The 60 most-raced of 101 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 54 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Denis Gerard Hogan (10) and Adrian McGuinness (4); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

32 have since run for another yard, most often for John C McConnell (6) and Noel C Kelly (5); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
561051088941020
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane Foley
17% of all rides
7.8% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
Shane Foley 129 10 7.8% −65.50
Colin Keane 82 9 11% −11.17
J M Sheridan 59 5 8.5% −17.88
W J Lee 59 6 10.2% +0.00
James Ryan 52 1 1.9% −47.50
Dylan Browne McMonagle 32 0 0% −32.00
Gary Carroll 32 4 12.5% +43.00
Robert Whearty 32 0 0% −32.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
81
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.05m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 24 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tawaazon (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Habitat' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · May 2023
£29,500
Gaspar (IRE) — Phil Sweeney Memorial Chase Thurles · Jan 2008 · Grade 3
£20,832
Sister Rosetta (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Down Royal · Jun 2022
£13,865

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 12.5% · 6–48
Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,019 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Kodiac (GB) 5.4% · 2–37
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,515 runs since 2008 (1,664 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Slade Power (IRE) 0% · 0–36
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,936 runs since 2008 (207 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.4% from 125.
Dansili (GB) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,841 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Divine Prophet (AUS) 0% · 0–31
Progeny have won 9.6% of 293 runs since 2008 (20 horses).
Muhaarar (GB) 13.3% · 4–30
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,770 runs since 2008 (410 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,515 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,515 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 April 2007 to 16 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James McAuley's strike rate?
James McAuley has won 47 of 765 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James McAuley do best at?
Bellewstown by strike rate: 5 wins from 48 runners (10.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James McAuley?
Shane Foley, with 129 runners since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (7.8%).
What is James McAuley's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 765 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).