What is Mr Conor Smith's strike rate?

Mr Conor Smith has won 25 of 251 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mr Conor Smith do best at?

Exeter by strike rate: 3 wins from 36 rides (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mr Conor Smith ride most for?

Linda Blackford, with 92 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.6%).

What is Mr Conor Smith's Fair A/E?

1.14, from 251 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr Conor Smith

251 rides in the lifetime window · 107 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2020 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

25–251

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=251

76 (30%)

Placed

1.14

Fair A/E

n=251 · 0.98 incl. margin

−17.79

£1 level stake

n=251 at SP · −7.1%

£144k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.14).

Deterministic profile computed from 251 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr Linda Blackford: 7.6% from 92 First rides: 11.2%

The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.7% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.90). Linda Blackford supplied 37% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (7.6% vs 10%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Heavy going (15.4%, n=39) and off a 31-60-day break (14.3%, n=49). The market has also underrated the rider over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 1.54 across 82 rides (13.4% strike, +51.60 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.6% over 38 rides, 7.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Chase races: Fair A/E 0.62 across 54 rides (5.6% strike, −26.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.2%+1.2

n=107 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −13.49

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.8%+4.8

n=27 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +2.75

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.3%−3.7

n=63 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

41.7%

n=12 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +0.71

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.5%−0.5

n=243 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −28.29

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.7%−4.3

n=53 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −6.09

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.0

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Kevin Bishop 19% vs 10% · n=42

On Good to Soft going 2.6% vs 10% · n=38

On Heavy going 15.4% vs 10% · n=39

In Chase races 5.6% vs 10% · n=54

Off a 31-60-day break 14.3% vs 10% · n=49

Over 2m5f – 3m 13.4% vs 10% · n=82

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 167 19 11.4% +18.71

Chase 54 3 5.6% −26.50

NH Flat 29 3 10.3% −9.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 93 10 10.8% −22.45

Soft 63 8 12.7% +18.91

Heavy 39 6 15.4% +7.75

Good to Soft 38 1 2.6% −4.00

Good to Firm 17 0 0% −17.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 36 3 8.3% +10.10

Wincanton 28 3 10.7% −6.50

Chepstow 26 4 15.4% +5.50

Newton Abbot 25 0 0% −25.00

Taunton 13 1 7.7% −10.80

Ffos Las 10 2 20% +18.50

Towcester 10 4 40% +30.50

Uttoxeter 10 3 30% +7.16

Stratford 9 1 11.1% −2.50

Worcester 9 0 0% −9.00

Leicester 6 0 0% −6.00

Ludlow 6 1 16.7% +7.00

Cheltenham 6 0 0% −6.00

Bangor-on-Dee 5 1 20% +12.00

Aintree 5 1 20% −1.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 103 12 11.7% −10.24

Class 5 97 10 10.3% +21.95

Class 6 21 2 9.5% −7.00

Class 3 17 1 5.9% −9.50

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 16 6 37.5% 1.46 +0.71

2nd–3rd fav 47 5 10.6% 0.67 −19.50

4th–6th fav 92 11 12% 1.51 +25.00

7th+ in betting 96 3 3.1% 0.99 −24.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.4% completed · 221 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 54 70.4% 1 3 11 0 1

Hurdle 167 79.6% 6 1 26 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kayf Charmer (GB) 17 4 9 20 Dec 18

Mountain Of Mourne (IRE) 17 2 6 15 Nov 17

Tara Tavey (IRE) 14 4 7 12 Apr 16

Steel Express (IRE) 13 1 4 8 Apr 18

Lets Go Dutchess (GB) 11 2 6 26 Jun 18

Thats Yer Man (IRE) 7 0 1 22 Apr 15

Chance Encounter (IRE) 7 0 3 16 Jun 14

The Wee Midget (GB) 6 1 3 28 Sep 15

Wolfe Mountain (IRE) 6 0 0 17 Mar 15

Shades Of Autumn (IRE) 6 0 1 16 Oct 14

Somerset Jem (GB) 5 1 1 12 Feb 18

Always Bold (IRE) 5 2 3 18 Mar 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 107 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

514151370020061113

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardLinda Blackford

37% of all rides
7.6% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

Linda Blackford 92 7 7.6% −4.75

Philip Hobbs 43 4 9.3% −29.49

Kevin Bishop 42 8 19% +23.45

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£144k

Prize money

2016

Best season · 11 wins

Tara Tavey (IRE) — Birthday Girls' Celebration Mares' Handicap Hurdle Towcester · Mar 2015 · Class 3

£6,498

Just Spot (GB) — Bathwick Tyres Novices' Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Dec 2017 · Class 4

£4,549

Tara Tavey (IRE) — Greens Norton Handicap Hurdle Towcester · Mar 2016 · Class 4

£4,549

Notable horses

Kayf Charmer (GB) Tara Tavey (IRE) Mountain Of Mourne (IRE) Lets Go Dutchess (GB) Always Bold (IRE) Steel Express (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 24.3% · 9–37

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,744 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Mountain High (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,245 runs since 2008 (184 horses).

Craigsteel (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.

Anshan (GB) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.

Helissio (FR) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,145 runs since 2008 (106 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 207.

Baryshnikov (AUS) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 5.7% of 562 runs since 2008 (70 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 251 · newest first

The latest 50 of 251 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 April 2013 to 6 January 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Jan 20 Ayr Mountains Con (IRE)T: Mrs Caroline McCaldin Book For The Coral Scottish Grand National Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 80/1

07 Oct 19 Tipperary Canadian Honey (IRE)T: Mrs Caroline McCaldin Season Finale Flat Race20f · Yielding · 8 ran 7th 50/1

26 Dec 18 Down Royal Ujumpthelastuwin (GB)T: J G Cosgrave Down Royal Corporation Of Horsebreeders (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 14th 33/1

26 Dec 18 Down Royal Puff My Pistons (IRE)T: James H Black Toals Bookmakers Hunters Chase22f · Yielding · 11 ran PU 50/1

20 Dec 18 Exeter Kayf Charmer (GB)T: Linda Blackford Jockey Club Catering Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Heavy · 17 ran 3rd 8/1

25 Nov 18 Exeter Kayf Charmer (GB)T: Linda Blackford Smarkets Betting Exchange Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 1st 33/1

26 Jun 18 Newton Abbot Lets Go Dutchess (GB)T: Kevin Bishop Champion Groundworks Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 10/3

15 Jun 18 Newton Abbot Kayf Charmer (GB)T: Linda Blackford Racing Partnership Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 9/1

14 Jun 18 Uttoxeter Lets Go Dutchess (GB)T: Kevin Bishop ST14 Construction Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 12/1

31 May 18 Ffos Las Kayf Charmer (GB)T: Linda Blackford Walters Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 12/1

27 May 18 Uttoxeter Lets Go Dutchess (GB)T: Kevin Bishop Drive Home With James Summers Signal 1 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 14 ran 4th 20/1

16 May 18 Newton Abbot Lets Go Dutchess (GB)T: Kevin Bishop Wellbeing Show Here On Saturday 2 June Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran F 17/2

10 May 18 Worcester Torrent Des Mottes (FR)T: Alexandra Dunn Racegoers Club 50th Anniversary Selling HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 6/1

08 May 18 Exeter Rowley Park (IRE)T: Linda Blackford Cleave Lustleigh Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 8th 28/1

08 May 18 Exeter Celtic Style (IRE)T: Linda Blackford Horse And Groom Heavitree Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 4th 100/1

22 Apr 18 Wincanton Lets Go Dutchess (GB)T: Kevin Bishop Royal Bath & West Show Society Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 20/1

08 Apr 18 Exeter Steel Express (IRE)T: Linda Blackford Grand National Betting At 188bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 5/1

27 Mar 18 Hereford Just Spot (GB)T: Kevin Bishop myracing.com For Grand National Tips Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

22 Mar 18 Chepstow Kayf Charmer (GB)T: Linda Blackford National Federation Of Roofing Contractors Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

21 Mar 18 Chepstow Steel Express (IRE)T: Linda Blackford Benham Architects Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Conor Smith's strike rate?: Mr Conor Smith has won 25 of 251 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr Conor Smith do best at?: Exeter by strike rate: 3 wins from 36 rides (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr Conor Smith ride most for?: Linda Blackford, with 92 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.6%).
What is Mr Conor Smith's Fair A/E?: 1.14, from 251 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.