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Jockey profile

Jordan Canavan

109 rides in the last 5 seasons · 56 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–109
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=109
17 (16%)
Placed
0.55
Fair A/E
n=109 · 0.44 incl. margin
−96.17
£1 level stake
n=109 at SP · −88.2%
£52,864
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.55).

Deterministic profile computed from 109 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming: 2.9%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −92.17 to a £1 stake over 105 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well on Soft going (7.7%, n=39) and over 2m5f – 3m (6.3%, n=32). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.66 across 60 rides (3.3% strike, −51.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
1.9%−0.9
n=52 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −47.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.8
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.9%+0.1
n=105 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −92.17
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.2%+0.4
n=63 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −54.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 7.7% vs 2.8% · n=39
Over 2m5f – 3m 6.3% vs 2.8% · n=32
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2.8% · n=38
On Good going 0% vs 2.8% · n=31
On first rides for the horse 1.9% vs 2.8% · n=52 · A/E 0.57
In Hurdle races 3.3% vs 2.8% · n=60 · A/E 0.66
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 60.6% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 60 2 3.3% −51.67
Chase 35 1 2.9% −30.50
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 39 3 7.7% −26.17
Good 31 0 0% −31.00
Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Soft 17 0 0% −17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00
Clonmel 12 1 8.3% −7.67
Cork 10 0 0% −10.00
Tramore 10 1 10% −5.50
Thurles 10 0 0% −10.00
Wexford 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 8 1 12.5% −4.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Ballinrobe 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.90 −0.67
2nd–3rd fav 13 2 15.4% 1.19 −4.50
4th–6th fav 22 0 0% 0.00 −22.00
7th+ in betting 69 0 0% 0.00 −69.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.2% completed · 95 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 35 68.6% 3 2 6 0 0
Hurdle 60 93.3% 0 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Colesberg (IRE) 6 0 2 28 Sep 26
Aclass (IRE) 6 1 3 30 May 26
Maxxum (IRE) 6 1 1 7 May 22
Urbs Intacta Manet (IRE) 4 0 2 3 Nov 26
Reve Inoui (IRE) 4 0 0 11 Sep 26
Doyenotheline (IRE) 4 0 0 17 Apr 22
Jackmoon (FR) 3 0 3 7 Jun 26
Party Pack (IRE) 3 0 0 30 May 26
Ladyeze Man (IRE) 3 0 1 15 Jan 26
Willywampus (IRE) 3 0 2 26 Nov 22
Sidetracked (GB) 3 0 0 8 Jun 22
Ned The Smith (IRE) 3 0 0 6 Jun 22
All 56 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
01080000000110
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJ P Flavin
32% of all rides
2.9% SR · A/E 0.39
TrainerRWSR£1
J P Flavin 35 1 2.9% −30.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
7
Archived wins
£105k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 2 wins
Iconic Lady (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle Thurles · Mar 2019
£8,008
Aclass (IRE) — 2026 Group Package Deals Online Beginners Chase Tramore · Nov 2025
£6,490
Dontdooddson (FR) — Sky Sports Racing Launching In 2019 Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Clonmel · Nov 2018
£6,468
Notable horses
Earths Furies (IRE) Aclass (IRE) Maxxum (IRE) Dontdooddson (FR) Clubs Are Trumps (IRE) Iconic Lady (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Flemensfirth (USA) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,292 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Westerner (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,864 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,551 runs since 2013 (464 horses).
Scorpion (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,324 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,385 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Kingston Hill (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,661 runs since 2019 (207 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 168.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 227 · newest first

The latest 50 of 227 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 January 2015 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Quinta Dourada (IRE)T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 13th 80/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Urbs Intacta Manet (IRE)T: J P Flavin Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 2nd 4/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Duty Bound (GB)T: J P Flavin William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran 8th 14/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Urbs Intacta Manet (IRE)T: J P Flavin Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 11/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Colesberg (IRE)T: J P Flavin Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 4th 6/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Reve Inoui (IRE)T: J P Flavin Lodge At Ashford Castle Handicap Steeplechase23f · Yielding · 16 ran 5th 20/1
16 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Colesberg (IRE)T: J P Flavin Frank Gillane Memorial Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 20/1
03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Le Vent D'ex (FR)T: Michael Winters Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 12th 125/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Ray Gun (USA)T: J P Flavin Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 100/1
04 Jul 26 Bellewstown Soldier Saint (IRE)T: Mark Edmund McCrory Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 15/2
03 Jul 26 Wexford Ellis Brittle (IRE)T: J P Flavin Shamrock Enterprises Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 10th 100/1
30 Jun 26 Wexford Duty Bound (GB)T: J P Flavin Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase23f · Good · 12 ran 5th 11/1
09 Jun 26 Sligo Soldier Saint (IRE)T: Mark Edmund McCrory Crawford Tiles And More Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 9/2
07 Jun 26 Punchestown Jackmoon (FR)T: J P Flavin TRM Supporting Every Stride Of The Journey Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 9/2
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Dontdooddson (FR)T: Darren Collins Bulmers Berries Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)16.5f · Good · 16 ran 7th 8/1
30 May 26 Tramore Party Pack (IRE)T: J P Flavin Get A Free Month Trial Of Racing TV Now racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Good · 15 ran 7th 12/1
30 May 26 Tramore Aclass (IRE)T: J P Flavin Racing TV Handicap Chase22f · Good · 11 ran 5th 7/1
15 May 26 Kilbeggan Colesberg (IRE)T: J P Flavin CK Interiors Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 16 ran 7th 10/1
13 May 26 Punchestown Urbs Intacta Manet (IRE)T: J P Flavin Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)24f · Good · 18 ran 11th 33/1
19 Apr 26 Tramore Aclass (IRE)T: J P Flavin Core Bullion Traders Handicap Chase21.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jordan Canavan's strike rate?
Jordan Canavan has won 3 of 109 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Jordan Canavan in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jordan Canavan's Fair A/E?
0.55, from 109 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).