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Trainer profile

Leonard Paul Flynn

125 runners in the last 5 seasons · 32 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–125
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=125
8 (6%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=125 · 0.75 incl. margin
+48.00
£1 level stake
n=125 at SP · +38.4%
£29,431
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 125 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.5%
The read

The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (6.3%, n=32). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.60 across 73 runners (1.4% strike, −62.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.4
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.5%+1.1
n=57 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +105.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 6.3% vs 2.4% · n=32
Over 1m5f – 2m 5.1% vs 2.4% · n=39
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 2.4% · n=43
With claiming riders up 3.5% vs 2.4% · n=57 · A/E 1.30
In Hurdle races 1.4% vs 2.4% · n=73 · A/E 0.60
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 7.5% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 73 1 1.4% −62.00
Flat 30 1 3.3% −19.00
NH Flat 17 1 5.9% +134.00
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 49 1 2% −38.00
Soft 37 1 2.7% +114.00
Good to Soft 22 0 0% −22.00
Heavy 15 1 6.7% −4.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 20 0 0% −20.00
Cork 18 0 0% −18.00
Tramore 10 0 0% −10.00
Tipperary 9 1 11.1% +142.00
Galway 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 7 2 28.6% +15.00
Killarney 7 0 0% −7.00
Thurles 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Curragh 4 0 0% −4.00
Ballinrobe 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
4th–6th fav 17 1 5.9% 1.34 −6.00
7th+ in betting 103 2 1.9% 1.14 +59.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.4% completed · 78 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 5 60% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 73 75.3% 2 1 15 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Eaglewood (IRE) 14 1 2 7 Nov 26
Timeonourside (IRE) 13 1 1 11 Jun 25
Positive Mindset (IRE) 9 0 1 14 Aug 25
Good Bye Milan (IRE)from C Byrnes · then Gillian Scott 6 1 2 4 Jul 25
Coconoir (IRE) 6 0 0 11 Aug 22
Nunya (IRE) 5 0 0 1 Oct 26
Tillyiver (IRE) 5 0 0 28 May 26
Benruben (IRE)from P J F Murphy 5 0 0 7 Aug 23
As Na Scamaill (IRE) 5 0 0 3 Jun 23
Nebraska Brave (IRE) 4 0 0 10 Apr 26
Somerset Hill (IRE)from P M J Doyle 4 0 0 23 Aug 25
Nostra Casa (IRE)from Paul W Flynn 4 0 0 21 Jun 25
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul W Flynn (2); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000070500600
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Phillip Enright 24 0 0% −24.00
Mr C J Shine 9 1 11.1% +142.00
Shane Fitzgerald 9 0 0% −9.00
Wesley Joyce 7 1 14.3% +4.00
Danny Mullins 7 1 14.3% +4.00
Tom Kelly 6 0 0% −6.00
Sean O'Keeffe 4 0 0% −4.00
Ryan Treacy 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr J C Canavan 3 0 0% −3.00
Conor Brassil 3 0 0% −3.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 2 0 0% −2.00
Cian Quirke 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
4
Archived wins
£43,911
Prize money
2024
Best season · 3 wins
All The Chimneys (IRE) — Littleton Handicap Chase Thurles · Nov 2021
£8,555
Timeonourside (IRE) — Thank You To All Our Sponsors Apprentice Handicap (47-65) Gowran Park · May 2024
£6,490
Good Bye Milan (IRE) — Golf At Gowran Park Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2) Gowran Park · Oct 2024
£6,195
Notable horses
Eaglewood (IRE) Timeonourside (IRE) All The Chimneys (IRE) Good Bye Milan (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Free Eagle (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,417 runs since 2019 (190 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 131.
Smooth Daddy (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 7.4% of 336 runs since 2022 (27 horses).
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,888 runs since 2013 (685 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Malinas (GER) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,960 runs since 2010 (419 horses).
Milan (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,883 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Ocovango (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,015 runs since 2019 (308 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 188 · newest first

The latest 50 of 188 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 November 2018 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Eaglewood (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran F 4/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Heddon Street (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap6f · Yielding · 17 ran 13th 66/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Nunya (IRE)J: J J Slevin Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 15th 66/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Eaglewood (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/2
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Heddon Street (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap5f · Yielding · 20 ran 17th 80/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Eaglewood (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Novice Hurdle19f · Good · 9 ran 5th 125/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Eaglewood (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran 9th 10/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Gc Star Speed (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran PU 250/1
11 Jul 26 Limerick Dc Diva (GB)J: Gavin Ryan Ei Electronics Handicap (0-60)6.5f · Good · 14 ran 14th 80/1
10 Jul 26 Cork Eaglewood (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Kelkab Ltd. Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Good · 23 ran 14th 40/1
10 Jul 26 Cork Gc Star Speed (IRE)J: Philip Donovan DNG John Ryan Auctioneer Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 20 ran PU 500/1
02 Jul 26 Limerick Ishan (FR)J: Shane Fitzgerald Munster Suite At Limerick Races Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)22.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 66/1
19 Jun 26 Limerick Dc Diva (GB)J: James Ryan Twilight Racing Summer Series Maiden (Div 2)7f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 250/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Ishan (FR)J: Shane Fitzgerald Bulmers Berries Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)16.5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 40/1
28 May 26 Limerick Tillyiver (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Great National South Court Hotel And Dial A Bus Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 15 ran 7th 100/1
19 May 26 Cork Dc Diva (GB)J: Jack Cleary Cork Racecourse Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 11th 50/1
14 May 26 Clonmel Ishan (FR)J: Phillip Enright Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 8th 14/1
10 May 26 Cork Tillyiver (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 14th 250/1
10 Apr 26 Wexford Nebraska Brave (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Wexfordwalkingtrails.ie (C & G) Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 150/1
19 Mar 26 Cork Nebraska Brave (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Kearney's Coaches Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Leonard Paul Flynn's strike rate?
Leonard Paul Flynn has won 3 of 125 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Leonard Paul Flynn in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Leonard Paul Flynn's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 125 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).