Skip to content
Jockey profile

Mr J P Flavin

40 rides in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Aug 2010 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–40
Wins / Runs
2.5%
Strike rate
n=40
5 (13%)
Placed
0.31
Fair A/E
n=40 · 0.25 incl. margin
−37.50
£1 level stake
n=40 at SP · −93.8%
£4,903
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 2.6%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.5
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.5
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −2.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.6%+0.1
n=38 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −35.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
4%+1.5
n=25 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −22.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 26 1 3.8% −23.50
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Good 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Soft 5 1 20% −2.50
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ludlow 5 0 0% −5.00
Hereford 4 1 25% −1.50
Plumpton 2 0 0% −2.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00
Sedgefield 2 0 0% −2.00
Catterick 2 0 0% −2.00
Chepstow 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Down Royal 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Tramore 2 0 0% −2.00
Newcastle 1 0 0% −1.00
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 17 0 0% −17.00
Class 5 9 1 11.1% −6.50
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.67 −2.50
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
7th+ in betting 25 0 0% 0.00 −25.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.2% completed · 31 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 5 60% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 26 76.9% 0 1 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Axinit (GER) 4 1 3 10 Feb 08
Kyles Prince (IRE) 3 0 0 11 Feb 08
Red Star Boy (IRE) 2 0 0 29 May 09
Tempting Paradise (IRE) 2 0 0 22 Feb 08
Lake Return (IRE) 1 0 0 13 Aug 10
Vivid Rainbow (IRE) 1 0 0 7 May 10
Cappawhite Lass (IRE) 1 0 0 26 May 09
Top Brass (IRE) 1 0 0 20 May 09
Ballywooden King (IRE) 1 0 0 19 May 09
Schindlers Maze (IRE) 1 0 0 4 May 09
Leatham's Lane (IRE) 1 0 0 4 May 09
Killogan Lass (IRE) 1 0 0 11 Oct 08
All 33 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
070·0··000··
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Evan Williams 26 1 3.8% −23.50
Henry De Bromhead 2 0 0% −2.00
James H Black 2 0 0% −2.00
P T Flavin 2 0 0% −2.00
Richard Brabazon 2 0 0% −2.00
Michael Smith 1 0 0% −1.00
William Delahunty 1 0 0% −1.00
David Evans 1 0 0% −1.00
C P Coyle 1 0 0% −1.00
Myles Coughlan 1 0 0% −1.00
C A McBratney 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
13
Archived wins
£87,199
Prize money
2006
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Red Perk (IRE) — David & Clare April Fools' Wedding Day Handicap Chase Wetherby · Apr 2006 · Class 3
£6,506
Pass Me By (GB) — News & Star Novices' Chase Carlisle · Apr 2006 · Class 3
£6,506
Jodante (IRE) — David Keith Memorial Handicap Chase Fakenham · Apr 2006 · Class 4
£5,205
Notable horses
Axinit (GER) Jodante (IRE) Red Perk (IRE) Move Over (IRE) Soviet Sceptre (IRE) Mickmacmagoole (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Linamix (FR) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,571 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 156. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.4% from 129. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.8% from 418. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.3% from 113.
In The Wings (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,518 runs since 2008 (110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 231. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.4% from 114.
Accordion (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).
Grand Lodge (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,359 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 250. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 182.
Oscar Schindler (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.1% of 718 runs since 2008 (82 horses).
Pairumani Star (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.7% of 208 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 230 · newest first

The latest 50 of 230 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 13 August 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Aug 10 Tramore Lake Return (IRE)T: P T Flavin Waterford & Tramore Directors Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Firm · 16 ran 12th 20/1
07 May 10 Wexford Vivid Rainbow (IRE)T: William Delahunty Broomhill Point Flat Race16f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 8th 25/1
29 May 09 Tramore Red Star Boy (IRE)T: Richard Brabazon Tramore Racecourse Supporters Flat Race16f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 7th 13/2
26 May 09 Tipperary Cappawhite Lass (IRE)T: Myles Coughlan Monard (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Soft · 18 ran 17th 40/1
20 May 09 Sedgefield Top Brass (IRE)T: James H Black Carpet Time Group Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 13 ran 9th 11/1
19 May 09 Punchestown Ballywooden King (IRE)T: C A McBratney Blackhall Flat Race16f · Heavy · 22 ran 8th 33/1
08 May 09 Wexford Red Star Boy (IRE)T: Richard Brabazon Broomhill Point Flat Race16f · Yielding · 15 ran 4th 12/1
04 May 09 Down Royal Leatham's Lane (IRE)T: C P Coyle Winged Love (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 20 ran 16th 25/1
04 May 09 Down Royal Schindlers Maze (IRE)T: James H Black Cemex Hunters Chase23f · Yielding · 12 ran 7th 20/1
11 Oct 08 Fairyhouse Killogan Lass (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead fairyhouseracecourse.ie Mares Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 13th 14/1
04 Oct 08 Gowran Park The Rinnashark (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Proair Heat Recovery Inh Flat Race16f · Good · 18 ran 15th 25/1
30 Sep 08 Tralee Oily Colman (IRE)T: P T Flavin Sherry Fitzgerald Handicap Chase (0-95)20f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran PU 16/1
26 Mar 08 Newcastle The Gay Gordons (GB)T: Michael Smith St. James Place Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 15 ran PU 200/1
20 Mar 08 Ludlow Turkish Sultan (IRE)T: Evan Williams Racing Post 'Hands And Heels' Series Selling Hurdle (Con/Am)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 5th 16/1
10 Mar 08 Taunton Limit (GER)T: Evan Williams Landlord's Day Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 9/2
09 Mar 08 Warwick Indian Star (GER)T: David Evans Racing UK Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 2nd 20/1
28 Feb 08 Ludlow Caislean Na Deirge (IRE)T: Evan Williams Pertemps People Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 5th 6/1
25 Feb 08 Hereford Mickmacmagoole (IRE)T: Evan Williams Pertemps People Development Group Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 6th 15/8F
25 Feb 08 Hereford Camden Four (IRE)T: Evan Williams Pertemps Spark Of Brilliance 'National Hunt' Mdn Hdl (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 16 ran 14th 66/1
25 Feb 08 Hereford Brenin Cwmtudu (GB)T: Evan Williams Pertemps Spark Of Brilliance 'National Hunt' Mdn Hdl (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 16 ran 4th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr J P Flavin's strike rate?
Mr J P Flavin has won 1 of 40 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr J P Flavin's Fair A/E?
0.31, from 40 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).