Skip to content
Trainer profile

P T Flavin

152 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2021 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–152
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=152
23 (15%)
Placed
0.77
Fair A/E
n=152 · 0.59 incl. margin
−69.50
£1 level stake
n=152 at SP · −45.7%
£56,131
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77).

Deterministic profile computed from 152 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well on Good going (7%, n=43). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 0% over 30 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.3
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
8.3%+5.0
n=12 · A/E 3.68 · £1 +17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 5.53 · £1 +3.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.5%−1.8
n=67 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −33.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 7% vs 3.3% · n=43
Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 3.3% · n=30
Over 1m5f – 2m 5.9% vs 3.3% · n=51
At Tramore 6.1% vs 3.3% · n=33
With claiming riders up 1.5% vs 3.3% · n=67 · A/E 0.33
With a new jockey booking 2.1% vs 3.3% · n=97 · A/E 0.57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 97 3 3.1% −77.50
Chase 44 2 4.5% +19.00
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 49 1 2% −40.00
Good 43 3 7% −3.50
Good to Firm 22 0 0% −22.00
Heavy 21 0 0% −21.00
Good to Soft 13 1 7.7% +21.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 33 2 6.1% −22.50
Cork 13 0 0% −13.00
Wexford 11 0 0% −11.00
Downpatrick 11 1 9.1% +23.00
Kilbeggan 10 0 0% −10.00
Wexford 10 1 10% −1.00
Killarney 10 1 10% +19.00
Clonmel 10 0 0% −10.00
Thurles 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Punchestown 6 0 0% −6.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 3.04 +2.50
2nd–3rd fav 15 1 6.7% 0.65 −9.00
4th–6th fav 25 1 4% 0.62 −16.00
7th+ in betting 110 2 1.8% 0.67 −47.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
73% completed · 141 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 44 50% 8 1 13 0 0
Hurdle 97 83.5% 2 1 11 0 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lake Return (IRE) 34 1 10 12 Dec 13
Miracle Cure (IRE)from Venetia Williams 14 0 2 6 Jul 18
Big Dano (IRE) 11 1 2 16 Jul 13
Kizzy O (IRE)from Michael Hourigan 11 0 2 31 May 13
Midnight Molly (GB)from John Spearing 9 0 0 13 Aug 15
Garuda Flyer (IRE) 9 0 0 23 May 13
Oily Colman (IRE) 8 0 0 16 Oct 10
Mrs Pops (IRE) 7 0 0 10 Nov 20
Sean Og Katy (IRE)from Laurence James Butler 7 0 0 17 Aug 13
Colenso (GB)from Andrew Balding · then J P Flavin 6 3 3 31 May 19
Brooklyn Balance (IRE)then J P Flavin 5 0 2 21 Aug 20
Street Value (IRE)then J P Flavin 4 0 1 28 Dec 20
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for J P Flavin (4); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0009160009000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Declan Bates 11 0 0% −11.00
J J Slevin 10 1 10% −1.00
Danny Mullins 10 2 20% +0.50
Tom Doyle 9 1 11.1% +20.00
Brian O'Connell 9 0 0% −9.00
Phillip Enright 9 0 0% −9.00
Mark Enright 7 0 0% −7.00
E J O'Connell 7 1 14.3% +27.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 4 0 0% −4.00
J R Barry 4 0 0% −4.00
M P Butler 4 0 0% −4.00
Richard Deegan 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
9
Archived wins
£111k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Majella's Boy (IRE) — Fay Bookmakers Handicap Chase (0-116) Kilbeggan · Sep 2006
£10,020
Colenso (GB) — BetVictor Guaranteed Run For Your Money Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Tramore · May 2019
£9,240
Oily Colman (IRE) — Goggin & Buckley (Mares) Handicap Hurdle (74-116) Cork · Jul 2006
£8,983
Notable horses
Colenso (GB) Oily Colman (IRE) Majella's Boy (IRE) Lake Return (IRE) Big Dano (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bob's Return (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Whipper (USA) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,595 runs since 2008 (395 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 513. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.7% from 1,127.
Loup Sauvage (USA) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 5.5% of 437 runs since 2008 (75 horses).
Luso (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
New Approach (IRE) 30% · 3–10
Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,792 runs since 2008 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.
Garuda (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.5% of 262 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 256 · newest first

The latest 50 of 256 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 1 January 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Jan 21 Tramore Doyouthinkso (GB)J: Hugh Morgan Core Bullion Traders Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 20/1
28 Dec 20 Limerick Street Value (IRE)J: Ian Power Future Ticketing Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran 3rd 250/1
28 Nov 20 Fairyhouse Street Value (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Kettles Country House Supporting Fingal Ravens GAA Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Soft · 17 ran 11th 400/1
13 Nov 20 Fairyhouse Street Value (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Easyfix Equine Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 11th 40/1
10 Nov 20 Fairyhouse Mrs Pops (IRE)J: Mr B Lawless fairyhouse.ie (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran PU 16/1
30 Oct 20 Dundalk (AW) Allergictologic (IRE)J: Mark Enright Crowne Plaza Hotel Dundalk Maiden (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 125/1
28 Oct 20 Punchestown Street Value (IRE)J: Phillip Enright BETDAQ 2% Commission Exchange Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 14th 20/1
23 Oct 20 Sligo Mrs Pops (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Benbulben Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 80/1
01 Oct 20 Clonmel Mrs Pops (IRE)J: J J Slevin Carrick-On-Suir Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 40/1
29 Aug 20 Wexford Mrs Pops (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Extra Places On The BoyleSports App Mares Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)20f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 16/1
21 Aug 20 Kilbeggan Brooklyn Balance (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Hurley Family Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 10/1
14 Aug 20 Tramore Brooklyn Balance (IRE)J: Mr B O'Neill Tramore Racecourse Directors Flat Race16f · Good · 12 ran 5th 12/1
02 Aug 20 Cork Brooklyn Balance (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Dromahane Flat Race19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 14/1
10 Jul 20 Kilbeggan Brooklyn Balance (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Mullingar Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 16/1
26 Jun 20 Tipperary Brooklyn Balance (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Emly (C & G) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 200/1
17 Mar 20 Wexford Allieyf (GB)J: Darragh O'Keeffe M2 Construction, Wexford Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Heavy · 14 ran SU 11/1
20 Feb 20 Thurles Doyouthinkso (GB)J: Miss Evanna McCutcheon Connolly's Red Mills (Ladies Pro/Am) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 4/1
19 Feb 20 Punchestown Mrs Pops (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Ten Weeks To Punchestown Festival Mares Maiden Hurdle22f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 66/1
19 Feb 20 Punchestown Allieyf (GB)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Final Festival Ticket Deal Ends Soon Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 100/1
01 Jan 20 Tramore Doyouthinkso (GB)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Go Power Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P T Flavin's strike rate?
P T Flavin has won 5 of 152 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P T Flavin do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 2 wins from 33 runners (6.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is P T Flavin's Fair A/E?
0.77, from 152 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).