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Trainer profile

Richard Brabazon

138 runners in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago 96% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
10–138
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=138
37 (27%)
Placed
0.87
n=138 · 0.68 incl. margin
−58.55
£1 level stake
n=138 at SP · −42.4%
£134k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 138 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8.5%
The read

The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (11.5%, n=52) and on Good going (10.4%, n=48). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.61 across 60 runners (5% strike, −23.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Korbous (IRE) — 5 wins from 47 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.5%−0.7
n=31 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −17.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.2
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
15.4%
n=13 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −6.05
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.5%+1.3
n=47 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −2.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 11.5% vs 7.2% · n=52
On Good going 10.4% vs 7.2% · n=48
With a new jockey booking 4.6% vs 7.2% · n=65
On Soft going 10% vs 7.2% · n=40
Over 6f – 7f 5% vs 7.2% · n=60
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 132 9 6.8% −58.05
Hurdle 6 1 16.7% −0.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 48 5 10.4% −23.05
Soft 40 4 10% +9.00
Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Standard (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Firm 5 1 20% +0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 43 3 7% −25.75
Naas 12 1 8.3% −7.50
Navan 10 0 0% −10.00
Leopardstown 10 1 10% −4.50
Dundalk (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Gowran Park 9 1 11.1% +20.00
Killarney 7 1 14.3% −1.50
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Down Royal 2 1 50% +2.20
Laytown (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 3 18.8% 1.09 −4.55
2nd–3rd fav 32 3 9.4% 0.73 −16.00
4th–6th fav 43 3 7% 0.95 −20.00
7th+ in betting 47 1 2.1% 0.70 −18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gordon Bennett (IRE)then Peter Fahey 33 3 11 5 Nov 25
Fair Damsel (IRE)then Cian Collins 19 2 6 26 Feb 26
God Knows (IRE)then P Sweeney 15 2 6 4 Jul 25
Portmagee (IRE)then Adrian McGuinness 10 0 1 12 Oct 23
Apple Of His Eye (IRE) 10 1 3 8 Oct 22
Wing Glider (IRE) 8 0 0 6 Sep 25
Let's Believe (IRE) 8 0 2 30 Oct 23
Gilts (IRE) 7 1 1 8 Oct 26
Yquem (IRE)from John S O'Donoghue 6 1 4 23 Aug 26
Grigal (IRE) 5 0 1 21 Apr 24
Spirit Of Indalo (IRE) 4 0 0 3 May 26
Tide Of Fortune (IRE) 3 0 1 27 Jun 26
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·0000141451750·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Gary Carroll 27 3 11.1% −14.75
Jamie Powell 16 2 12.5% −6.30
Leigh Roche 12 0 0% −12.00
Seamie Heffernan 10 1 10% −2.00
Colin Keane 8 0 0% −8.00
Robert Whearty 6 0 0% −6.00
Shane O'Callaghan 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Jack Cleary 5 1 20% +24.00
Siobhan Rutledge 5 0 0% −5.00
Yudish Geerdharry 4 0 0% −4.00
N G McCullagh 3 0 0% −3.00
Dylan Browne McMonagle 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
41
Archived wins
£511k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Gordon Bennett (IRE) — William Hill Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2022
£26,550
Placere (IRE) — Thalgo Ladies Derby Handicap (60-100) Curragh · Jul 2012
£13,650
Lightening Stricks (IRE) — Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Apr 2011
£13,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 9.1% · 3–33
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,369 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Free Eagle (IRE) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,399 runs since 2008 (189 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 130.
Dragon Pulse (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,260 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 570. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.
Divine Prophet (AUS) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 9.6% of 293 runs since 2008 (20 horses).
Mehmas (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Epaulette (AUS) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 505 · newest first

The latest 50 of 505 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 April 2005 to 8 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Yquem (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Class Grass Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 4th 6/1
03 Jun 26 Curragh Tide Of Fortune (IRE)J: Gary Carroll TRI Equestrian Maiden6.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 2nd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard Brabazon's strike rate?
Richard Brabazon has won 10 of 138 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Brabazon do best at?
Curragh by strike rate: 3 wins from 43 runners (7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Richard Brabazon in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Richard Brabazon's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 138 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).