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Trainer profile

Michael Herrington

1,282 runners in the last 5 seasons · 67 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 2.9% of 348 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2022
154–1,282
Wins / Runs
12%
Strike rate
n=1,282
436 (34%)
Placed
1.17
Fair A/E
n=1,280 · 0.99 incl. margin
−111.75
£1 level stake
n=1,282 at SP · −8.7%
£1.63m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
17.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 260 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.17).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,282 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Aug 35.4% when favourite Tom Eaves: 7.7% from 337 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (21.6%, n=37), clear of the yard's 12% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 6.7% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.94). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 11.7% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +4.50 to a £1 stake over 188 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Tom Eaves rides 26% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (7.7% vs 12%, A/E 0.92). The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (19.1%, n=68). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 1.7% over 60 runners, 10.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.80 across 185 runners (6.5% strike, −88.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Good Earth (IRE) — 13 wins from 78 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.3%−2.7
n=107 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −33.96
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.7%−5.3
n=45 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −25.62
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−12.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10%−2.0
n=60 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −20.75
When favourite
35.4%
n=113 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +8.65
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.7%−0.3
n=188 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +4.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With David Probert 22.4% vs 12% · n=58
In Class 2 1.7% vs 12% · n=60
On last-time-out winners 19.9% vs 12% · n=156
At Leicester 21.6% vs 12% · n=37
On Good to Soft going 19.1% vs 12% · n=68
Off a 31-60-day break 6.5% vs 12% · n=185
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,279 154 12% −108.75
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 836 95 11.4% −150.04
Good to Firm 169 27 16% +7.13
Good 138 10 7.2% −59.00
Good to Soft 68 13 19.1% +103.33
Soft 57 7 12.3% −8.42
Heavy 14 2 14.3% −4.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 347 53 15.3% +24.55
Wolverhampton (AW) 213 20 9.4% −75.38
Newcastle (AW) 174 12 6.9% −62.04
Doncaster 62 8 12.9% −11.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 56 7 12.5% −18.17
Yarmouth 44 5 11.4% +34.50
Redcar 41 3 7.3% −9.30
Beverley 40 5 12.5% −4.30
Leicester 37 8 21.6% +13.80
York 36 3 8.3% −3.50
Kempton (AW) 34 2 5.9% −24.00
Pontefract 20 3 15% −3.62
Newmarket 16 5 31.3% +6.21
Carlisle 14 2 14.3% +6.00
Nottingham 14 5 35.7% +27.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 602 71 11.8% −62.18
Class 5 317 40 12.6% −23.90
Class 4 201 31 15.4% +62.83
Class 3 98 11 11.2% −28.00
Class 2 60 1 1.7% −56.50
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 132 43 32.6% 1.27 +1.77
2nd–3rd fav 277 49 17.7% 1.09 −27.52
4th–6th fav 414 44 10.6% 1.22 +9.00
7th+ in betting 459 18 3.9% 1.05 −95.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Good Earth (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 75 12 30 12 Oct 26
Kodebreaker (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 68 4 25 13 Jan 26
Soames Forsyte (GB)from Kevin Philippart De Foy 53 7 15 17 Oct 26
Powdering (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 49 8 19 19 Oct 26
Araifjan (GB)from Robert Cowell 47 2 15 16 Sep 25
Yoshimi (IRE)from Richard Fahey 42 7 13 3 Jan 26
Anif (IRE)from David Evans 42 4 12 10 Apr 25
Badri (GB)from Julie Camacho 41 6 16 2 Oct 26
Catch Cunningham (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 37 3 13 6 Feb 26
Feel The Need (GB)from David O'Meara 36 4 11 9 Oct 26
Papa Cocktail (IRE)from Stella Barclay 36 4 16 5 Oct 26
Bay Of Naples (IRE)from Mark Johnston 36 1 13 20 Apr 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 67 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 53 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alice Haynes (6) and Kevin Ryan (6); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
3 from 14
Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
161015715141415111077
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTom Eaves
26% of all rides
7.7% SR · A/E 0.92
RiderRWSR£1
Tom Eaves 337 26 7.7% −120.60
Dylan Hogan 119 16 13.4% +28.37
Jason Hart 97 16 16.5% +11.46
Connor Planas 59 7 11.9% +15.50
David Probert 58 13 22.4% +26.63
Andrea Pinna 40 4 10% −9.00
Jack Mitchell 34 5 14.7% −0.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
255
Archived wins
£2.28m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 49 wins
Good Earth (IRE) — Sky Bet Sunday Series Sprint Handicap Sandown · Aug 2023 · Class 3
£20,616
Down To The Kid (IRE) — SBK: No Casino Just Sports Handicap Southwell (AW) · Feb 2026 · Class 4
£18,319
Good Earth (IRE) — cavani.co.uk The Sartorial Sprint Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2023 · Class 3
£16,200
Notable horses
Good Earth (IRE) Street Poet (IRE) Steelriver (IRE) Anif (IRE) Powdering (IRE) Soames Forsyte (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Ribchester (IRE) 14.1% · 12–85
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,744 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.1% from 213.
Acclamation (GB) 16% · 12–75
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 5.9% · 4–68
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,934 runs since 2008 (386 horses).
Charm Spirit (IRE) 12.5% · 7–56
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,807 runs since 2008 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 134. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.
Siyouni (FR) 13.2% · 7–53
Progeny have won 13% of 8,321 runs since 2008 (975 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 454.
Lawman (FR) 16% · 8–50
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,418 runs since 2008 (730 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,465 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,465 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 November 2009 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Rambuso Creek (IRE)J: Toby Moore Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 7/1
19 Oct 26 Pontefract Powdering (IRE)J: David Probert British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 40/1
19 Oct 26 Pontefract Lady Roxby (GB)J: Rossa Ryan British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 4/1
17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Soames Forsyte (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 15/2
16 Oct 26 Haydock Irish Nectar (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Shape Engineering Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 1st 7/4F
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Quiet Soul (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 12/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) New Image (GB)J: Darragh Keenan attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 5/1
14 Oct 26 Nottingham Rambuso Creek (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 3/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Raging Raj (IRE)J: David Probert Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 16th 15/2
13 Oct 26 Leicester Irish Nectar (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Join Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 1st 9/2J
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Good Earth (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 22/1
10 Oct 26 York Optician (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Sky Bet Price Boosts Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 15th 20/1
09 Oct 26 York Feel The Need (GB)J: Donagh Murphy Pj Staffing Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 6th 12/1
09 Oct 26 York Nikovo (GB)J: Jason Hart William Hill Gold Weekend Autumn Mile Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 16th 40/1
07 Oct 26 Nottingham Rambuso Creek (IRE)J: Jack Nicholls Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 15/2
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dream Illusion (GB)J: Jason Hart bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 9/2
05 Oct 26 Pontefract Papa Cocktail (IRE)J: Jason Hart Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 3 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 11th 14/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) New Image (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 13/8F
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Between Me And U (GB)J: David Probert Appleby Mall Accountants Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 5/2F
02 Oct 26 Ascot Badri (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds BetMGM Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 14th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Herrington's strike rate?
Michael Herrington has won 154 of 1,282 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Herrington do best at?
Leicester by strike rate: 8 wins from 37 runners (21.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Herrington?
Tom Eaves, with 337 runners since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (7.7%).
Is Michael Herrington in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael Herrington's Fair A/E?
1.17, from 1,280 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).