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Jockey profile

Oliver Williams

185 rides in the lifetime window · 90 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2011 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
7–185
Wins / Runs
3.8%
Strike rate
n=185
33 (18%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=185 · 0.51 incl. margin
−23.17
£1 level stake
n=185 at SP · −12.5%
£43,265
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60).

Deterministic profile computed from 185 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming: 3.9%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.62 and −18.17 to a £1 stake over 180 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The record read poorly on Soft going — 0% over 33 rides, 3.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.37 across 53 rides (1.9% strike, −48.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.6%−0.2
n=83 · A/E 0.70 · £1 +56.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
27.3%+23.5
n=11 · A/E 1.98 · £1 +7.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
2.5%−1.3
n=40 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 3.06 · £1 +6.33
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.9%+0.1
n=180 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −18.17
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.3%−0.5
n=61 · A/E 0.68 · £1 +45.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 0% vs 3.8% · n=33
With Malcolm Jefferson 7.3% vs 3.8% · n=41
In Class 5 1.9% vs 3.8% · n=53 · A/E 0.37
On Good going 5.5% vs 3.8% · n=73 · A/E 0.80
Off a 15-30-day break 4.8% vs 3.8% · n=63 · A/E 0.60
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 111 4 3.6% −59.17
Chase 47 1 2.1% −42.00
NH Flat 26 2 7.7% +79.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 73 4 5.5% +42.33
Good to Soft 35 1 2.9% −1.00
Soft 33 0 0% −33.00
Good to Firm 28 2 7.1% −15.50
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 22 1 4.5% −16.00
Wetherby 20 1 5% −12.50
Market Rasen 19 1 5.3% −14.67
Southwell 17 2 11.8% −8.00
Catterick 17 0 0% −17.00
Doncaster 9 0 0% −9.00
Bangor-on-Dee 8 0 0% −8.00
Newcastle 7 0 0% −7.00
Uttoxeter 7 0 0% −7.00
Towcester 6 0 0% −6.00
Hexham 6 0 0% −6.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Musselburgh 4 0 0% −4.00
Huntingdon 4 1 25% +97.00
Perth 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 99 4 4% −46.50
Class 5 53 1 1.9% −48.67
Class 6 23 2 8.7% +82.00
Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 3 33.3% 1.66 +4.33
2nd–3rd fav 25 1 4% 0.26 −19.00
4th–6th fav 51 2 3.9% 0.58 −9.50
7th+ in betting 100 1 1% 0.39 +1.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
71.5% completed · 158 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 47 61.7% 2 3 12 1 0
Hurdle 111 75.7% 2 0 22 1 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Newgate (UAE) 11 2 5 9 Dec 09
Bayfirth (IRE) 6 0 2 27 Nov 09
The Panama Kid (IRE) 6 2 4 21 Mar 09
Theredballoon (GB) 5 1 1 13 Apr 11
Young Buddy (GB) 5 0 0 3 Dec 09
Vital Spark (GB) 5 1 2 14 Jun 09
Good Line (IRE) 5 1 1 14 Apr 09
Lawgiver (IRE) 5 0 1 26 Dec 08
Radical Bay (GB) 4 0 0 23 Feb 10
Cadwell (GB) 4 0 0 23 Oct 09
Kingston-Banker (GB) 4 0 2 1 May 09
Able Dara (GB) 4 0 0 7 Apr 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 90 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00462002500640
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMalcolm Jefferson
22% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 0.69
TrainerRWSR£1
Malcolm Jefferson 41 3 7.3% −26.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
14
Archived wins
£69,732
Prize money
2008
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
The Panama Kid (IRE) — E.B.F. 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) Sedgefield · Nov 2008 · Class 4
£4,436
Vital Spark (GB) — Cleanevent Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase Southwell · Jul 2008 · Class 4
£3,578
Good Line (IRE) — Carlsberg Novices' Hurdle Cartmel · Jul 2008 · Class 4
£3,578
Notable horses
Newgate (UAE) Vital Spark (GB) The Panama Kid (IRE) Massasoit (IRE) Wilhewispa (GB) Theredballoon (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Presenting (GB) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Jade Robbery (USA) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 11.4% of 404 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Karinga Bay (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 260 · newest first

The latest 50 of 260 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2005 to 13 April 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Apr 11 Southwell Theredballoon (GB)T: Chris Bealby Golf And Racing At Southwell Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 10/1
16 Mar 11 Huntingdon Bennynthejets (IRE)T: Chris Bealby Bob Brown Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 5/2J
16 Mar 11 Huntingdon Theredballoon (GB)T: Chris Bealby Bet On The Cheltenham Festival Totejackpot Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 4th 9/1
23 Feb 11 Doncaster Theredballoon (GB)T: Chris Bealby Look Out For The coral.co.uk Green Tick Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 4th 25/1
06 Oct 10 Towcester Pollen Jock (IRE)T: Chris Bealby Tipzone At gg.com 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 5th 33/1
29 Jun 10 Stratford Another Grand (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Bernadette's Restaurant Stratford-on-avon Juvenile Claiming HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 18/1
20 Jun 10 Hexham Rahood (IRE)T: F Jestin 40 Live Football Markets At Totesport.com Conditional Jockeys' Selling HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 12 ran PU 125/1
14 Jun 10 Sedgefield Lindseyfield Lodge (IRE)T: Robert Johnson John Wade Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 27f · Good · 12 ran PU 33/1
14 Jun 10 Sedgefield Another Grand (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Paxtons Powering Ahead With Case IH Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 5th 100/1
05 Jun 10 Hexham Another Grand (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Great North Run Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran PU 20/1
24 Apr 10 Market Rasen Keen Warrior (GB)T: Charles Smith Market Rasen Racecourse Facebook Friends Wanted Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 15/2
22 Apr 10 Uttoxeter General Simara (GB)T: Tony Carroll Morgan Developments Support Children's Adventure Farm Trust Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th 50/1
18 Apr 10 Ascot Tannenberg (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Fatboy Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 33/1
11 Apr 10 Southwell Theredballoon (GB)T: Chris Bealby Mansfield Chad Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 4/1
11 Apr 10 Southwell Hermano Cordobes (IRE)T: Penny Buckley Mansfield Chad Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 10/1
17 Mar 10 Huntingdon Theredballoon (GB)T: Chris Bealby 32Red.com Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 16 ran 1st 100/1
14 Mar 10 Towcester Macamoto (IRE)T: Chris Bealby Betfair Training Series Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 17 ran PU 25/1
07 Mar 10 Sedgefield Just Waz (USA)T: Richard Whitaker Ice Fresh Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 14 ran PU 18/1
05 Mar 10 Doncaster Pollen Jock (IRE)T: Chris Bealby Sportingbet.com Conditional Jockeys' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 150/1
23 Feb 10 Southwell Radical Bay (GB)T: Nicholas Pomfret Ring 01636 814481 To Sponsor A Race Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Oliver Williams's strike rate?
Oliver Williams has won 7 of 185 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Oliver Williams's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 185 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).