Anthony Middleton
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.75).
The record is strongest at Towcester (15.1%, n=53), clear of the yard's 5.8% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.35). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −42.00 to a £1 stake over 102 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. James Banks rode 17% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.9% vs 5.8%, A/E 0.91). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.9% over 52 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Tooka (GB) — 5 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Dec–Jan.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 676 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 676 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 November 2006 to 10 May 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Anthony Middleton's strike rate?
- Anthony Middleton has won 38 of 656 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Anthony Middleton do best at?
- Towcester by strike rate: 8 wins from 53 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Anthony Middleton?
- James Banks, with 112 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.9%).
- What is Anthony Middleton's Fair A/E?
- 0.75, from 656 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.