No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.5%+5.1
n=8 · A/E 1.93 · £1 +5.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
33.3%+25.9
n=3 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −1.20
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−7.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −3.20
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−7.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle2428.3%−9.20
NH Flat200%−2.00
Chase100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft9111.1%+4.00
Heavy600%−6.00
Good5120%−3.20
Good to Firm400%−4.00
Soft300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield400%−4.00
Newcastle400%−4.00
Catterick300%−3.00
Wetherby200%−2.00
Musselburgh2150%−0.20
Huntingdon200%−2.00
Kelso200%−2.00
Market Rasen200%−2.00
Sandown100%−1.00
Uttoxeter11100%+12.00
Cheltenham100%−1.00
Doncaster100%−1.00
Leopardstown100%−1.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 41400%−14.00
Class 5400%−4.00
Class 33133.3%−1.20
Class 1200%−2.00
Class 22150%+11.00
Class 6200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5120%0.62−3.20
2nd–3rd fav200%0.00−2.00
4th–6th fav600%0.00−6.00
7th+ in betting1417.1%2.76−1.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m13215.4%+1.80
2m1f – 2m4f1200%−12.00
2m5f – 3m100%−1.00
Over 3m100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps10220%+4.80
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners900%−9.00
8-10 runners7228.6%+7.80
14-16 runners500%−5.00
17+ runners500%−5.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 19 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
St Matthew (USA) — Betfairpoker.com Handicap Hurdle Haydock · Nov 2005 · Class 2
£43,841
Royal Emperor (IRE) — Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Haydock · Feb 2006 · Grade 2
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,410 runs since 2008 (394 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 256. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 132.
Swain (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.4% of 552 runs since 2008 (40 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 135.
Accordion (IRE)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).
Alzao (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.2% of 381 runs since 2008 (42 horses).
Efisio (GB)50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,142 runs since 2008 (73 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.2% from 121.
Trans Island (GB)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9% of 4,741 runs since 2008 (295 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 400 · newest first
The latest 50 of 400 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 11 March 2008.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Padge Whelan's strike rate?
Padge Whelan has won 2 of 27 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Padge Whelan·SR 7.4%·A/E 0.72
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