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Trainer profile

Tim Fitzgerald

513 runners in the lifetime window · 88 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2021
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
33–513
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=513
122 (24%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=512 · 0.73 incl. margin
−162.37
£1 level stake
n=513 at SP · −31.7%
£248k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). Debutants are a strength: 16% on first career starts (31 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 513 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Mar Brian Hughes: 5.5% from 73 New recruits: 6.7% Claiming riders: 7%
The read

Debutants strike at 16.1% (n=31, Fair A/E 2.82), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=128, Fair A/E 0.56). Brian Hughes rode 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.5%, A/E 0.58). The record read poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 81 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.00 across 51 runners (0% strike, −51.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was French Hollow (GB) — 6 wins from 32 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Dec–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.1%−3.3
n=128 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −87.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.7%+0.3
n=45 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
16.1%+9.7
n=31 · A/E 2.82 · £1 +36.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.4%−3.0
n=29 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
26.1%
n=23 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −6.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7%+0.6
n=114 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −35.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 16.1% vs 6.4% · n=31
In Hurdle races 0% vs 6.4% · n=81
On last-time-out winners 14.3% vs 6.4% · n=35
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 6.4% · n=51
With horses switching code 0% vs 6.4% · n=38
Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 6.4% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 322 23 7.1% −64.87
Hurdle 81 0 0% −81.00
Chase 65 6 9.2% −20.00
NH Flat 45 4 8.9% +3.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 154 12 7.8% −47.17
Good 144 8 5.6% −24.50
Good to Soft 70 1 1.4% −62.50
Good to Firm 68 5 7.4% −19.00
Soft 66 6 9.1% −9.00
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −0.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 61 5 8.2% −5.67
Catterick 32 1 3.1% −24.50
Newcastle (AW) 31 2 6.5% −19.50
Market Rasen 31 3 9.7% +1.50
Southwell (AW) 23 3 13% −9.00
Newcastle 23 1 4.3% −18.00
Beverley 21 2 9.5% −9.25
Sedgefield 19 0 0% −19.00
Wetherby 18 2 11.1% −8.50
Lingfield (AW) 17 2 11.8% +9.00
York 16 1 6.3% +51.00
Doncaster 15 0 0% −15.00
Southwell 13 0 0% −13.00
Carlisle 11 3 27.3% +25.00
Hexham 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 156 9 5.8% −61.50
Class 6 155 11 7.1% −51.92
Class 4 143 11 7.7% −6.75
Class 3 30 1 3.3% −24.00
Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 31 8 25.8% 0.90 −5.67
2nd–3rd fav 71 7 9.9% 0.64 −33.00
4th–6th fav 157 12 7.6% 1.06 −31.70
7th+ in betting 254 6 2.4% 0.79 −92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Warfare (GB)from Kevin Ryan · then Seb Spencer 37 3 9 26 Sep 17
Rainford Glory (IRE)from Richard Fahey 33 1 9 20 Feb 17
French Hollow (GB) 32 6 14 16 Nov 12
Mr Syntax (IRE)then Chris Grant 28 2 17 13 Jun 14
Acrai Rua (IRE)from Kevin M Prendergast 21 3 4 20 Jul 15
River Danube (GB) 18 0 2 29 Aug 10
Kastela Stari (GB) 17 0 3 15 Oct 16
Inchnadamph (GB) 15 0 1 10 Jul 10
Comeragh King (GB) 14 1 3 4 Aug 13
Obboorr (GB)from John Wainwright · then James Given 12 2 7 8 Oct 16
Hardanger (IRE) 12 0 1 19 Jul 11
Vicentio (GB) 11 0 0 11 Jul 10
The 60 most-raced of 88 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Stephen Michael Hanlon (4) and John Wainwright (3); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Craig Lidster (4) and Paula Smith (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1488504894638
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBrian Hughes
14% of all rides
5.5% SR · A/E 0.58
RiderRWSR£1
Brian Hughes 73 4 5.5% −39.50
Barry McHugh 59 6 10.2% −7.67
Dougie Costello 35 4 11.4% −5.50
Miss Harriet Dukes 31 2 6.5% −17.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
43
Archived wins
£379k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Inchnadamph (GB) — totesportgames.com Handicap Doncaster · Nov 2007 · Class 2
£16,193
Inchnadamph (GB) — Silks Bistro Handicap Newmarket · Aug 2005 · Class 3
£9,627
Muritz (GB) — Prix de Carrieres-Sous-Bois (Claimer) (3yo) (Moyenne Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2020
£8,051
Notable horses
French Hollow (GB) Inchnadamph (GB) Warfare (GB) Acrai Rua (IRE) Masque Of Anarchy (IRE) Mr Syntax (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beat Hollow (GB) 10.9% · 6–55
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,028 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Soviet Star (USA) 8.1% · 3–37
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,621 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 160. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 320.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 3% · 1–33
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,562 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Rock Hopper (GB) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 6.6% of 411 runs since 2008 (50 horses).
Dansili (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,841 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 711 · newest first

The latest 50 of 711 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2005 to 13 November 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Runshaw Lane (GB)J: Ryan Sexton Coral Proud To Support British Racing EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 100/1
13 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Masque Of Anarchy (IRE)J: Ryan Sexton Betway Casino Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 7/1
26 Oct 21 Catterick Runshaw Lane (GB)J: Shane Gray British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 4/1
25 Oct 21 Newcastle (AW) Masque Of Anarchy (IRE)J: Oisin McSweeney Heed Your Hunch At Betway HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 10/3
15 Oct 21 Newcastle (AW) Your Choice (GB)J: Tony Hamilton DFE Electrical Commercial & Domestic Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 13th 28/1
09 Oct 21 York Sandbeck (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Coral Beaten-By-A-Length Free Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 28/1
27 Sep 21 Newcastle (AW) Masque Of Anarchy (IRE)J: Oisin McSweeney Arc Weekend On Sky Sports Racing HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 1st 3/1J
13 Sep 21 Thirsk Bobby Dalton (GB)J: Tony Hamilton Ideal Conference & Events Venue At ThirskRaces NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 7th 28/1
08 Sep 21 Carlisle Divine Connection (GB)J: Oisin McSweeney Cummersdale Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 14/1
08 Sep 21 Carlisle Sandbeck (GB)J: Oisin McSweeney British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 1st 18/1
28 Aug 21 Beverley Masque Of Anarchy (IRE)J: Oisin McSweeney Future Stars Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 1st 11/4F
28 Aug 21 Redcar Bobby Dalton (GB)J: David Allan Celebrate The Life Of Ann Allport EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 40/1
20 Aug 21 Newcastle (AW) Straffan (IRE)J: Connor Murtagh Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 11th 25/1
20 Aug 21 Newcastle (AW) Under Your Breath (GB)J: Tony Hamilton Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 8th 5/1
20 Aug 21 Newcastle (AW) Your Choice (GB)J: Connor Murtagh Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 9th 22/1
20 Aug 21 Newcastle (AW) Divine Connection (GB)J: Oisin McSweeney Read Hollie Doyle's Column On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 15/2
20 Aug 21 Newcastle (AW) Masque Of Anarchy (IRE)J: Oisin McSweeney Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 2nd 10/3F
11 Aug 21 Beverley Bobby Dalton (GB)J: Tony Hamilton Pure Broadband EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 150/1
02 Aug 21 Newcastle (AW) Bobby Dalton (GB)J: Tony Hamilton Dave Robson Memorial/Irish Stallion Farms EBF Restricted Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 12th 33/1
02 Aug 21 Newcastle (AW) Masque Of Anarchy (IRE)J: Oisin McSweeney MansionBet Bet 10 Get 20 Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 1st 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Fitzgerald's strike rate?
Tim Fitzgerald has won 33 of 513 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Fitzgerald do best at?
Market Rasen by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tim Fitzgerald?
Brian Hughes, with 73 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.5%).
What is Tim Fitzgerald's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 512 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).