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Jockey profile

Paolo Sirigu

206 rides in the lifetime window · 123 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jun 2018 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
12–206
Wins / Runs
5.8%
Strike rate
n=206
44 (21%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=206 · 0.68 incl. margin
−98.45
£1 level stake
n=206 at SP · −47.8%
£102k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 206 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Marco Botti: 5.3% from 76
The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.51 and −69.50 to a £1 stake over 123 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Marco Botti supplied 37% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 0.64). The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (12.7%, n=63) and over 1m – 1m1f (10.8%, n=37). The record read poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 39 rides, 5.8pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Refuse Colette (IRE) — 5 wins from 14 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.3%−2.5
n=123 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −69.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.3%+7.5
n=15 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −11.70
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−5.8
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
When favourite
42.9%
n=7 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +0.30
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−5.8
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mick Quinn 17.5% vs 5.8% · n=40
Off a 15-30-day break 12.7% vs 5.8% · n=63
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 5.8% · n=39
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 5.8% · n=39
At trips under 6f 0% vs 5.8% · n=34
Over 1m – 1m1f 10.8% vs 5.8% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 70 2 2.9% −32.00
Good to Firm 55 5 9.1% −9.50
Good 38 2 5.3% −28.50
Soft 20 1 5% −16.25
Good to Soft 19 1 5.3% −17.20
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +6.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Yarmouth 24 7 29.2% +26.80
Lingfield (AW) 21 1 4.8% −4.00
Leicester 21 0 0% −21.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 19 1 5.3% +2.00
Newmarket 15 0 0% −15.00
Kempton (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Chelmsford (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Windsor 9 0 0% −9.00
Brighton 8 1 12.5% +1.00
Newmarket 7 0 0% −7.00
Doncaster 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Nottingham 7 0 0% −7.00
Chester 6 0 0% −6.00
Redcar 5 1 20% −1.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 72 5 6.9% −24.45
Class 6 70 6 8.6% −16.00
Class 4 28 1 3.6% −22.00
Class 2 18 0 0% −18.00
Class 3 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 1.21 +0.30
2nd–3rd fav 27 4 14.8% 0.93 −4.75
4th–6th fav 80 5 6.3% 0.91 −2.00
7th+ in betting 92 0 0% 0.00 −92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Refuse Colette (IRE) 14 5 6 4 Oct 16
Anfield (GB) 9 0 1 19 Sep 15
Catapult (GB) 5 0 0 26 Sep 17
Rockie Road (IRE) 5 1 2 21 May 15
Miakora (GB) 5 1 1 13 Aug 14
Craftsmanship (FR) 4 0 0 10 Jul 17
Suegioo (FR) 4 0 2 23 Aug 14
Ross Raith Rover (GB) 3 1 2 4 Aug 17
Birchfield Lady (GB) 3 0 0 20 Jul 16
Imaginary Diva (GB) 3 0 1 13 Dec 14
Mobhirr (GB) 3 0 0 27 Oct 14
Astrelle (IRE) 3 1 2 25 Oct 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 123 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
14000538658250
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMarco Botti
37% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 0.64
TrainerRWSR£1
Marco Botti 76 4 5.3% −28.25
Mick Quinn 40 7 17.5% +14.30
Robert Eddery 38 1 2.6% −32.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
12
Archived wins
£103k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Astrelle (IRE) — Unison Fighting For Better Pay Maiden Auction Stakes (Div 1) Doncaster · Aug 2014 · Class 4
£5,175
Refuse Colette (IRE) — Danny Wright Memorial Fillies' Handicap (For The Challenge Trophy) Yarmouth · Sep 2014 · Class 5
£3,235
Crystalin (IRE) — 32red Casino Claiming Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2015 · Class 5
£3,105
Notable horses
Refuse Colette (IRE) Rockie Road (IRE) Miakora (GB) Ross Raith Rover (GB) Astrelle (IRE) Latin Charm (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Refuse To Bend (IRE) 35.7% · 5–14
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,868 runs since 2008 (320 horses).
Captain Gerrard (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,054 runs since 2013 (175 horses).
Compton Place (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Equiano (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,542 runs since 2014 (549 horses).
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,036 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,809 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 207 · newest first

The latest 50 of 207 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 October 2005 to 2 June 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Jun 18 Epsom Downs Lucky Beggar (IRE)T: David C Griffiths Investec Corporate Banking 'dash' HandicapClass 2 · 5f · Good · 20 ran 7th 33/1
16 May 18 Bath Celerity (IRE)T: Lisa Williamson Derek Shergold HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Firm · 15 ran 11th 20/1
11 May 18 Nottingham Caledonian Gold (GB)T: Lisa Williamson Castle Rock Screech Owl HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 8th 20/1
06 Oct 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Pretty Pearl (GB)T: Robert Eddery Bet toteplacepot At betfred.com Novice Auction StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 25/1
28 Sep 17 Newmarket Boniface (IRE)T: Robert Eddery British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 16th 100/1
26 Sep 17 Lingfield (AW) Catapult (GB)T: Robert Eddery E.B.F. NurseryClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 20/1
19 Sep 17 Yarmouth Equilibrium (GB)T: Robert Eddery British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 100/1
31 Aug 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Seventii (GB)T: Robert Eddery London Glory Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 10/1
31 Aug 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Charlie Chaplin (GER)T: Robert Eddery London Glory Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 16/1
28 Aug 17 Southwell (AW) Tynecastle Park (GB)T: Robert Eddery Notts County News On nottinghampost.com HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 9/1
25 Aug 17 Newmarket Fiery Breath (GB)T: Robert Eddery Farm & Stable TRM Distribution EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 9th 100/1
09 Aug 17 Yarmouth Halinka (IRE)T: Roger Varian Premier League Football At 188bet Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 10/1
04 Aug 17 Newmarket Ross Raith Rover (GB)T: Robert Eddery Fly London Southend Airport To Budapest HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 25/1
01 Aug 17 Yarmouth Charlie Chaplin (GER)T: Robert Eddery Galway Festival Betting At 188Bet Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 20/1
29 Jul 17 York Catapult (GB)T: Robert Eddery Sky Bet Supporting Yorkshire Air Ambulance NurseryClass 3 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 16/1
22 Jul 17 Newbury Hello Girl (GB)T: Dean Ivory Weatherbys Super Sprint StakesClass 2 · 5f · Soft · 23 ran 15th 25/1
14 Jul 17 Newmarket Boniface (IRE)T: Robert Eddery Weatherbys EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 66/1
10 Jul 17 Windsor Craftsmanship (FR)T: Robert Eddery starspreads.com HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 6th 12/1
10 Jul 17 Windsor Catapult (GB)T: Robert Eddery starsportsbet.co.uk EBF Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 10/1
03 Jul 17 Windsor Craftsmanship (FR)T: Robert Eddery Strategic Proposals 30th Anniversary HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 5th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paolo Sirigu's strike rate?
Paolo Sirigu has won 12 of 206 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Paolo Sirigu ride most for?
Marco Botti, with 76 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.3%).
What is Paolo Sirigu's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 206 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).