What is Tony Forbes's strike rate?

Tony Forbes has won 8 of 99 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tony Forbes do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 42 runners (7.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Tony Forbes in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tony Forbes's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 99 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tony Forbes

99 runners in the last 5 seasons · 11 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

8–99

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=99

26 (26%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=99 · 1.00 incl. margin

−16.68

£1 level stake

n=99 at SP · −16.8%

£60,043

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20%

KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 10.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.3%−2.8

n=19 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −8.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

20%+11.9

n=10 · A/E 1.93 · £1 +2.57

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−8.1

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−8.1

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

When favourite

100%

n=2 · A/E 2.07 · £1 +1.82

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.5%+2.4

n=57 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +7.82

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With claiming riders up 10.5% vs 8.1% · n=57

Off a 15-30-day break 5.9% vs 8.1% · n=51

On Standard (AW) going 9% vs 8.1% · n=67 · A/E 1.33

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 79 6 7.6% −19.68

Hurdle 20 2 10% +3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 67 6 9% −7.68

Good 17 1 5.9% −13.00

Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00

Soft 4 1 25% +15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 42 3 7.1% −2.43

Southwell (AW) 25 3 12% −5.25

Uttoxeter 17 1 5.9% +2.00

Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00

Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00

Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00

Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00

Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00

Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00

Huntingdon 1 1 100% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 64 5 7.8% −6.25

Class 5 27 2 7.4% −21.43

Class 4 8 1 12.5% +11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2 2 100% 2.07 +1.82

2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.72 −5.00

4th–6th fav 33 3 9.1% 1.07 +3.50

7th+ in betting 55 2 3.6% 1.15 −17.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Chef De Troupe (FR)from Dr Richard Newland 27 4 10 22 Jul 25

Fashionelle (IRE)from Fergal O'Brien 16 1 7 28 Apr 26

Fleursals (GB)from Tom Symonds 14 0 2 25 Apr 23

Rose Light (GB)from Gemma Tutty · then Jennie Candlish 12 0 2 2 Sep 25

Sweet Dime (GB)from Jedd O'Keeffe 11 0 0 20 Nov 22

Spec Of Light (GB)from David Loughnane 9 2 4 19 Oct 26

Kingson (IRE)from Jake Thomas Coulson 3 0 0 19 Sep 23

Edwardtheninth (GB)from Ruth Jefferson 2 1 1 8 Oct 26

Ella's Angel (GB)from Syd Hosie 2 0 0 2 Apr 24

Autolycus (GB)from Amanda Perrett 2 0 0 10 Oct 23

Hiccups (GB)from John Berry 1 0 0 30 Apr 26

All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive.

1 has since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

3300025001702500

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

William Cox 24 1 4.2% −1.00

Chris Ward 18 2 11.1% +5.00

Gina Mangan 10 2 20% +7.50

Joe Leavy 8 1 12.5% −6.43

Mr Cameron Hillhouse 5 0 0% −5.00

Rob Hornby 5 0 0% −5.00

Josephine Gordon 5 0 0% −5.00

Finlay Bassett 2 0 0% −2.00

Callum Hutchinson 2 0 0% −2.00

Robert Havlin 2 0 0% −2.00

Philip Armson 2 0 0% −2.00

Isobel Francis 2 0 0% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£137k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 3 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Chef De Troupe (FR) — Scott Mills Race Night 15th June Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · May 2024 · Class 4

£4,066

Fashionelle (IRE) — Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Fillies' Novice Stakes Wolverhampton (AW) · Jan 2025 · Class 5

£3,942

Hollins (GB) — Quicksilver Slots Play 500 Roulette Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Dec 2013 · Class 4

£3,925

Notable horses

Nolecce (GB) Chef De Troupe (FR) Tingo In The Tale (IRE) Spec Of Light (GB) Medieval Bishop (IRE) Hollins (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Air Chief Marshal (IRE) 14.8% · 4–27

Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,982 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 672. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.3% from 266. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.3% from 565.

Champs Elysees (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,118 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Poet's Voice (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 10.1% of 6,038 runs since 2008 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 263. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.

Nathaniel (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,062 runs since 2008 (634 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.

Toronado (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,848 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.

Muhaarar (GB) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,781 runs since 2008 (411 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 368 · newest first

The latest 50 of 368 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Spec Of Light (GB)J: Rose Dawes bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 5/4F

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Edwardtheninth (GB)J: William Cox Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 11/2

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Spec Of Light (GB)J: Gina Mangan bettingsites.co.uk Each Way Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 11/2

17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Spec Of Light (GB)J: Mr Cameron Hillhouse Download The At The Races App Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Who Have Ridden 3 Winners Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 9/2

31 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Edwardtheninth (GB)J: Gina Mangan Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 10/1

14 Jul 26 Leicester Spec Of Light (GB)J: Rob Hornby Nelson Restaurant For Classic Raceday Dining Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 12/1

02 Jul 26 Nottingham Spec Of Light (GB)J: Finlay Bassett Wildwest Beer Festival 4th July HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 28/1

11 May 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Spec Of Light (GB)J: Rob Hornby Advance Price Monday Racing For 13 HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 25/1

30 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Hiccups (GB)J: Mr Cameron Hillhouse Download The At The Races App Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 11/1

28 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Fashionelle (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Conference & Events At Southwell Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 5/1

28 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Spec Of Light (GB)J: Gina Mangan Come Racing For Free 18th June HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 16/1

15 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Fashionelle (IRE)J: Finlay Bassett Book The Bistro In Sherwood Restaurant HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 18/1

02 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Spec Of Light (GB)J: Gina Mangan Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 11/1

31 Mar 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fashionelle (IRE)J: William Cox Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1

28 Feb 26 Southwell (AW) Spec Of Light (GB)J: Gina Mangan Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 18/1

20 Nov 25 Southwell (AW) Fashionelle (IRE)J: William Cox Midnite Building The Future Of Betting HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 8/1

03 Nov 25 Southwell (AW) Fashionelle (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 4/1

18 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Fashionelle (IRE)J: William Cox Genting Casino Wolverhampton HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 8/1

06 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Fashionelle (IRE)J: William Cox Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 16/1

16 Sep 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Fashionelle (IRE)J: William Cox Arc 1 MILLION Bonus Has 150K Increase! HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tony Forbes's strike rate?: Tony Forbes has won 8 of 99 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tony Forbes do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 42 runners (7.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Tony Forbes in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tony Forbes's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 99 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.