Sureness (IRE)
Sureness (IRE) is 8 from 39. Hasn't won since Jun 2016. Last raced off 72, 63lb below the career-high mark.
- 8–39Wins / Runs
- 20.5%Strike rate
- 10 (25.6%)Placed
- +25.33£1 level staken=39 at SP
- 1.92Fair A/E n=39 · 1.70 incl. margin
- 135Highest OR
- 52dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 114
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 86C | 48.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 86C | 48.5 | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 114A | 114 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 101B | 96.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 114A | 101 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 114C | 103 | — |
Of 8 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 3,152 runs since Jan 2008 (273 horses).
Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 104.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | +1.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 407 | 47 | 11.5% | +0.6 | 2 from 7 |
| Good | 836 | 84 | 10% | −0.9 | 5 from 17 |
| Good to Soft | 395 | 45 | 11.4% | +0.5 | 0 from 5 |
| Soft | 638 | 57 | 8.9% | −2 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 270 | 30 | 11.1% | +0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 595 | 80 | 13.4% | +2.5 | 1 from 5 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.9 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 216 | 22 | 10.2% | −0.7 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 499 | 65 | 13% | +2.1 | 1 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,164 | 140 | 12% | +1.1 | 3 from 14 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 808 | 86 | 10.6% | −0.3 | 3 from 11 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 345 | 27 | 7.8% | −3.1 | 1 from 10 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 104 | 5 | 4.8% | −6.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Over 3m | 13 | 0 | 0% | −10.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Mecca's Missus (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Mecca's Missus (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mecca's Missus (IRE) | 20 | 2 | 6f–7f | Class 5 |
| Billy Blue (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Top Frock (IRE) | 11 | 1 | 1m2f | Class 6 |
| Emperor Of Silk (IRE) | 16 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 17 | 5 | 29% | +6.50 |
| Good to Firm | 7 | 2 | 29% | +7.83 |
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 1 | 20% | +21.00 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 19 | 4 | 21% | +1.58 |
| Class 5 | 11 | 4 | 36% | +32.75 |
| Class 3 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Class 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.25 |
| Kempton (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | +22.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 4 | 2 | 50% | +8.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Taunton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Goodwood | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Market Rasen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fakenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Towcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +12.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.83 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 14 | 3 | 21% | +20.75 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 11 | 3 | 27% | +3.75 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 10 | 1 | 10% | +3.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.83 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheehan | 9 | 2 | 22% | +13.00 |
| Noel Fehily | 5 | 2 | 40% | +0.75 |
| Megan Nicholls | 4 | 2 | 50% | +28.50 |
| Tommy Dowling | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Neil Callan | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.08 |
| Eoin Walsh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Paolo Sirigu | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| James Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Harry Cobden | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dave Crosse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Miss Clare Robinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daryl Jacob | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Maguire | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adam Kirby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Grant | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Martin Harley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 26 | 8 | 31% | +38.33 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2017 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2016 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +24.50 |
| 2015 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2014 | 10 | 4 | 40% | +17.75 |
| 2013 | 7 | 2 | 29% | −2.92 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 19 | 4 | 21% | +8.75 |
| Flat | 15 | 4 | 27% | +21.58 |
| Chase | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Sureness (IRE) won?
- Sureness (IRE) won 8 of 39 archived starts between 2013 and 2018, a strike rate of 20.5%. Placed 10 times in total (25.6% of starts).
- Who trained Sureness (IRE)?
- Sureness (IRE) was trained by Tony Newcombe on the most recent run on record, at Kempton (AW) on 8 October 2018.
- Who is Sureness (IRE)'s sire?
- Sureness (IRE) is by Hurricane Run (IRE) out of Silk Dress (IRE), whose sire is Gulch.
- What going does Sureness (IRE) prefer?
- Sureness (IRE) has the best record on good going: 5 wins from 17 starts (29.4%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Sureness (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 72, from the run on 8 October 2018. The highest on record is 135.
- What is Sureness (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Hurricane Run (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 3,152 runs since Jan 2008 (273 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 104.
- Who are Sureness (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Silk Dress (IRE), Sureness (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Mecca's Missus (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Mecca's Missus (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.