What is Giles Bravery's strike rate?

Giles Bravery has won 60 of 742 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Giles Bravery do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 74 runners (14.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Giles Bravery?

William Carson, with 139 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (15.8%).

What is Giles Bravery's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 736 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Giles Bravery

742 runners in the lifetime window · 112 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2017 94% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

60–742

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=742

185 (25%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=736 · 0.78 incl. margin

−238.20

£1 level stake

n=742 at SP · −32.1%

£375k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 742 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 35.4% when favourite William Carson: 15.8% from 139 Sent off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (14.9%, n=74), clear of the yard's 8.1% baseline. It is weakest at Chelmsford (AW) (3.2% over 62 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −38.00 to a £1 stake over 119 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. William Carson rode 19% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.8% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.45) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The stable star of the record was Subtle Knife (GB) — 8 wins from 57 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.9%−2.2

n=119 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −38.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.3%−3.8

n=46 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −21.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.1

n=54 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −54.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.7%+2.6

n=28 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −15.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.9%−5.2

n=35 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −28.50

When favourite

35.4%

n=48 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +1.80

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.8%−0.3

n=179 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −36.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.1

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With William Carson 15.8% vs 8.1% · n=139

On last-time-out winners 16.1% vs 8.1% · n=62

With debutants 0% vs 8.1% · n=54

At Wolverhampton (AW) 14.9% vs 8.1% · n=74

At Chelmsford (AW) 3.2% vs 8.1% · n=62

With headgear back on 2.9% vs 8.1% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 694 56 8.1% −256.70

NH Flat 25 3 12% +35.50

Hurdle 23 1 4.3% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 361 30 8.3% −154.12

Good to Firm 146 11 7.5% −56.83

Good 121 11 9.1% +13.75

Soft 56 4 7.1% −34.25

Good to Soft 45 3 6.7% −2.75

Heavy 11 1 9.1% −2.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton 117 11 9.4% −70.20

Wolverhampton (AW) 74 11 14.9% +39.08

Chelmsford (AW) 62 2 3.2% −52.00

Lingfield 54 4 7.4% −27.00

Southwell (AW) 50 2 4% −40.00

Yarmouth 48 6 12.5% −9.75

Newmarket 31 1 3.2% +3.00

Lingfield 27 6 22.2% +11.00

Newmarket 26 0 0% −26.00

Brighton 22 1 4.5% −13.00

Leicester 19 3 15.8% +18.00

Windsor 19 0 0% −19.00

Nottingham 14 1 7.1% −6.50

Chepstow 13 0 0% −13.00

Doncaster 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 276 27 9.8% −29.40

Class 5 232 19 8.2% −117.30

Class 4 133 10 7.5% −54.50

Class 3 38 4 10.5% +26.00

Class 7 23 0 0% −23.00

Class 1 22 0 0% −22.00

Class 2 16 0 0% −16.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 52 18 34.6% 1.15 +2.30

2nd–3rd fav 142 20 14.1% 0.86 −31.50

4th–6th fav 232 16 6.9% 0.90 −60.00

7th+ in betting 316 6 1.9% 0.63 −149.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Subtle Knife (GB) 57 8 19 13 Aug 16

Jemimaville (IRE) 43 0 4 8 Apr 14

Puzzle Time (GB) 26 5 14 3 Sep 15

Cantor (GB)from John Gosden · then Paul Morgan 21 3 9 6 Dec 13

Tigserin (IRE) 19 1 6 27 Sep 17

Darrell Rivers (GB)then Henk Grewe 19 0 5 2 Nov 16

Bison Grass (GB) 19 0 2 15 Aug 15

Patching (GB) 17 1 6 3 Oct 17

Golden Compass (GB) 16 3 11 8 Jul 13

Fire In Babylon (IRE)from Noel Quinlan 15 1 2 18 Apr 17

Bustan (IRE) 15 2 4 27 Aug 09

Duke Of Milan (IRE)from D K Weld · then Tom Dascombe 15 1 7 4 Feb 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 112 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Noel Quinlan (5) and John Gosden (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Anthony Carson (3) and Michael Squance (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

3971399995594

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderWilliam Carson

19% of all rides
15.8% SR · A/E 1.45

RiderRWSR£1

William Carson 139 22 15.8% −2.55

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£448k

Prize money

2015

Best season · 12 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Subtle Knife (GB) — EBF Stallions/32Red Fillies' Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2016 · Class 3

£10,397

Status Symbol (IRE) — Burts Chips Made In Devon Handicap Newmarket · Aug 2011 · Class 3

£8,410

Lil's Joy (IRE) — British Stallion Studs EBF Stallions Conditions Stakes (Plus 10) Musselburgh · Aug 2015 · Class 3

£8,086

Notable horses

Subtle Knife (GB) Puzzle Time (GB) Dashwood (GB) Bustan (IRE) Cantor (GB) Golden Compass (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Needwood Blade (GB) 14% · 8–57

Progeny have won 7.9% of 2,746 runs since 2008 (187 horses).

Fasliyev (USA) 0% · 0–43

Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.

Araafa (IRE) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,147 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 10.8% from 176.

Hellvelyn (GB) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,952 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.7% from 256.

Iceman (GB) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,215 runs since 2008 (119 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 206. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 137.

Approve (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,686 runs since 2008 (179 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.7% from 503. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 553.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 955 · newest first

The latest 50 of 955 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2005 to 14 November 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Nov 17 Huntingdon Avarchie (FR)J: Conor O'Farrell 188Bet 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 13.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 6/1

10 Nov 17 Newcastle (AW) Charleston Belle (GB)J: Kevin Stott 32RedSport.com Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 11/4

07 Nov 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Petit Filous (GB)J: Paul Hanagan Betway Casino Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 16/1

05 Nov 17 Carlisle Pitch Pine (IRE)J: Derek Fox Visit The All New racinguk.com 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 14f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 66/1

24 Oct 17 Kempton (AW) Elusive Bird (GB)J: William Carson racinguk.com/join NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 8th 50/1

22 Oct 17 Southwell (AW) Highland Clearance (FR)J: Kevin Stott bookies.com Free Bets HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 66/1

21 Oct 17 Market Rasen Pitch Pine (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Golden Fleece 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 13f · Good · 14 ran 12th 50/1

13 Oct 17 Kempton (AW) Elusive Bird (GB)J: Liam Jones 'El Nino 'Orses For Courses' NurseryClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 8th 50/1

10 Oct 17 Newcastle (AW) Cheeky Kiki (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Lycetts Fillies' Novice Auction Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 25/1

05 Oct 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Elusive Bird (GB)J: Liam Jones Bet toteplacepot At betfred.com NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 66/1

03 Oct 17 Kempton (AW) Patching (GB)J: J F Egan 32Red Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 11th 25/1

27 Sep 17 Kempton (AW) Tigserin (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 5th 5/1

22 Sep 17 Newcastle (AW) Elusive Bird (GB)J: Luke Morris 0800 Repair Nursery (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 33/1

22 Sep 17 Newcastle (AW) Cheeky Kiki (IRE)J: Luke Morris Baxi Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 10/1

15 Sep 17 Salisbury Charleston Belle (GB)J: Pat Dobbs Roa/racing Post Owners Jackpot HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 16/1

13 Sep 17 Doncaster Patching (GB)J: Gary Bardwell Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 16/1

27 Aug 17 Yarmouth Patching (GB)J: J F Egan Bet totePLACE At betfred.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 5/1

27 Aug 17 Yarmouth Elusive Bird (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Bet totejackpot At betfred.com EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10 Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 11th 150/1

25 Aug 17 Ffos Las Lyric Harmony (IRE)J: Ben Robinson British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 9/2

23 Aug 17 Kempton (AW) Highland Clearance (FR)J: Kevin Stott Racing Uk In Hd HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 11th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Giles Bravery's strike rate?: Giles Bravery has won 60 of 742 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Giles Bravery do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 74 runners (14.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Giles Bravery?: William Carson, with 139 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (15.8%).
What is Giles Bravery's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 736 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.