No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19).
Deterministic profile computed from 176 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 6.7%Robert Johnson: 8.6% from 58Claiming: 5.8%
The read
Robert Johnson supplied 33% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.6% vs 5.7%, A/E 1.56) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Chase races (10.7%, n=56) and in Class 4 (9.2%, n=76). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 59 rides, 5.7pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.9%−0.8
n=82 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −49.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.7%+11.0
n=12 · A/E 2.02 · £1 +1.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.7%+1.0
n=30 · A/E 2.11 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 2.20 · £1 +5.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.8%+0.1
n=173 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −45.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.6%−1.1
n=65 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −24.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m0% vs 5.7% · n=59
In Chase races10.7% vs 5.7% · n=56
In Class 49.2% vs 5.7% · n=76
With horses switching code2.2% vs 5.7% · n=46
Off a 8-14-day break2.5% vs 5.7% · n=40
With Robert Johnson8.6% vs 5.7% · n=58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle9944%−20.00
Chase56610.7%−7.50
NH Flat2100%−21.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good5623.6%−35.00
Soft3738.1%+15.00
Good to Soft3625.6%−26.50
Good to Firm2528%+5.00
Heavy2214.5%−7.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Hexham2200%−22.00
Sedgefield20210%−6.50
Kelso1200%−12.00
Market Rasen11218.2%+11.00
Wetherby1000%−10.00
Newcastle9111.1%−4.00
Catterick900%−9.00
Carlisle800%−8.00
Southwell7114.3%+1.00
Cartmel7228.6%+44.00
Down Royal600%−6.00
Huntingdon500%−5.00
Musselburgh400%−4.00
Ayr4125%+11.00
Doncaster400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 47679.2%+26.00
Class 55535.5%−29.50
Class 31800%−18.00
Class 61300%−13.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite4250%2.20+5.50
2nd–3rd fav11218.2%1.62+6.00
4th–6th fav4724.3%0.59−25.00
7th+ in betting11443.5%1.38−35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f8267.3%+1.50
1m5f – 2m5900%−59.00
2m5f – 3m2428.3%−10.00
Over 3m11218.2%+19.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20085623.6%−26.00
20097279.7%+16.50
20103113.2%−22.00
20111100%−11.00
2012600%−6.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps9299.8%+27.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners5223.8%−39.50
14-16 runners5036%−9.00
8-10 runners40512.5%+34.00
5-7 runners1700%−17.00
17+ runners1500%−15.00
2-4 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 89 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
800141711000056
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
15
Archived wins
£84,316
Prize money
2009
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Toulouse Express (IRE) — Get Racing Uk In Your Pub 08703518834 Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Jan 2010 · Class 4
£4,554
Martha's Kinsman (IRE) — HRH Prince Of Wales Amateurs' Hcp Chase Ludlow · Jan 2007 · Class 4
£4,201
Kempski (GB) — Victor Chandler 08000 787878 Handicap Hurdle Ayr · Jan 2009 · Class 4
Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Toulon (GB)18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 7.1% of 168 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
April Night (FR)12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 11.9% of 614 runs since 2008 (61 horses).
Bob's Return (IRE)16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Minster Son (IRE)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.7% of 662 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 102.
Solar One (FR)16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 14.3% of 56 runs since 2008 (16 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 271 · newest first
The latest 50 of 271 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 February 2005 to 20 June 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Paul Callaghan's strike rate?
Paul Callaghan has won 10 of 176 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Paul Callaghan ride most for?
Robert Johnson, with 58 rides since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (8.6%).
What is Paul Callaghan's Fair A/E?
1.19, from 176 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Paul Callaghan·SR 5.7%·A/E 1.19
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