What is Paul Doe's strike rate?

Paul Doe has won 92 of 882 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul Doe do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 14 wins from 58 rides (24.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paul Doe ride most for?

David Evans, with 206 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (15.5%).

What is Paul Doe's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 875 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paul Doe

882 rides in the lifetime window · 364 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2011 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

92–882

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=882

245 (28%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=875 · 0.98 incl. margin

−213.02

£1 level stake

n=882 at SP · −24.2%

£464k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 220 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (72 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 882 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Jan Fresh horses: 10.9% 42.6% when favourite David Evans: 15.5% from 206 LTO winners: 22.2% Rode the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (24.1%, n=58), clear of the rider's 10.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.2% (n=72, Fair A/E 1.39), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6% (n=149, Fair A/E 1.17). David Evans supplied 23% of the rides and beats the rider's average (15.5% vs 10.4%, A/E 1.32) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 6 (15.1%, n=331). The record read poorly in Class 2 — 0% over 35 rides, 10.4pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Martin Collins Enterprises Handicap at Kempton (AW) (Sep 2006, £61,660). The standout partner of the record was Illustrious Blue (GB) — 5 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.3%−1.1

n=313 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −83.05

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.2%+11.8

n=72 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +6.46

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.9%+0.5

n=101 · A/E 1.54 · £1 −37.77

When favourite

42.6%

n=61 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +14.40

Big fields · 14+ runners

6%−4.4

n=149 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −47.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.4

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With new recruits 24.5% vs 10.4% · n=53

At Brighton 24.1% vs 10.4% · n=58

On last-time-out winners 22.2% vs 10.4% · n=72

With Jim Best 21.3% vs 10.4% · n=94

In Class 2 0% vs 10.4% · n=35

In Class 6 15.1% vs 10.4% · n=331

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 880 91 10.3% −216.52

Chase 2 1 50% +3.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 504 57 11.3% −97.12

Good to Firm 159 18 11.3% −9.03

Good 122 7 5.7% −60.75

Good to Soft 39 4 10.3% −16.62

Soft 32 1 3.1% −28.00

Firm 24 5 20.8% +0.50

Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 213 24 11.3% −55.92

Kempton (AW) 180 15 8.3% −58.28

Wolverhampton (AW) 79 13 16.5% +17.33

Brighton 58 14 24.1% +56.38

Lingfield 41 3 7.3% −13.50

Windsor 39 3 7.7% −14.00

Goodwood 32 2 6.3% −11.50

Newbury 19 0 0% −19.00

Chepstow 19 4 21.1% +8.62

Southwell (AW) 18 4 22.2% +7.75

Folkestone 18 1 5.6% −14.00

Bath 17 0 0% −17.00

Sandown 17 0 0% −17.00

Salisbury 15 1 6.7% −2.00

Chelmsford (AW) 14 1 7.1% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 331 50 15.1% +45.40

Class 5 295 27 9.2% −120.77

Class 4 153 11 7.2% −61.40

Class 2 35 0 0% −35.00

Class 3 33 2 6.1% −17.75

Class 7 21 2 9.5% −9.50

Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 70 29 41.4% 1.50 +19.73

2nd–3rd fav 167 29 17.4% 1.11 −5.25

4th–6th fav 268 25 9.3% 1.15 +3.50

7th+ in betting 377 9 2.4% 0.70 −231.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Prince Of Thebes (IRE) 23 2 8 28 Apr 11

Salient (GB) 13 0 3 9 Sep 11

Goodbye Cash (IRE) 13 2 8 23 Feb 10

L'Hirondelle (IRE) 12 3 3 22 Jun 11

Dvinsky (USA) 11 3 6 28 Apr 11

Just Jimmy (IRE) 11 4 5 29 Jan 10

Grizedale (IRE) 10 0 1 13 Jan 10

Grandmas Dream (GB) 9 1 3 4 Aug 11

Ain't Talkin' (GB) 9 1 1 24 Feb 11

Baba Ghanoush (GB) 9 0 1 24 Feb 09

Bennelong (GB) 8 0 2 3 Sep 11

Jiggalong (GB) 8 2 2 28 May 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 364 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

13101668139110141012

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDavid Evans

23% of all rides
15.5% SR · A/E 1.32

TrainerRWSR£1

David Evans 206 32 15.5% −1.42

Michael Attwater 113 6 5.3% −62.00

William Knight 104 12 11.5% −16.28

Jim Best 94 20 21.3% +51.60

Sean Curran 57 6 10.5% −9.17

Paul Howling 32 3 9.4% −13.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

166

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.11m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 45 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Killena Boy (IRE) — Martin Collins Enterprises Handicap Kempton (AW) · Sep 2006 · Class 2

£61,660

Land 'n Stars (GB) — Toteexacta Fenwolf Stakes (Listed) Newmarket · Sep 2005 · Listed

£17,400

Land 'n Stars (GB) — Addleshaw Goddard Stakes (Listed) Sandown · Jul 2006 · Listed

£15,898

Notable horses

Illustrious Blue (GB) Dvinsky (USA) Night Wolf (IRE) Just Jimmy (IRE) Salient (GB) Nikki Bea (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Zaha (CAN) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 5.9% of 627 runs since 2008 (72 horses).

Desert Prince (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.

Danetime (IRE) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.

Dansili (GB) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Mark of Esteem (IRE) 22.7% · 5–22

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,657 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 128.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,899 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,899 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 12 September 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Sep 11 Brighton Steady Gaze (GB)T: Richard Rowe Percy Cunliffe HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 10/1

09 Sep 11 Sandown Salient (GB)T: Michael Attwater London Business Centres Supporting The Racehorse Sanctuary HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 33/1

06 Sep 11 Lingfield (AW) Steely (GB)T: Jim Best Play Roulette At ladbrokes.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes (AW)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 20/1

03 Sep 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Bennelong (GB)T: Richard Rowe Event Management Catering HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 14/1

26 Aug 11 Brighton Pocket's Pick (IRE)T: Jim Best Bet Totepool On All Uk Racing HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 9/1

24 Aug 11 Kempton (AW) Fresteem (GB)T: Luke Dace Betdaq.com Exchange Price Multiples Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 125/1

22 Aug 11 Windsor Moynahan (USA)T: Paul Cole Sportingbet.com HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 7th 11/1

21 Aug 11 Folkestone Bennelong (GB)T: Richard Rowe toteexacta Selling Stakes (Str)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 12/1

16 Aug 11 Kempton (AW) Steely (GB)T: Jim Best 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran F 16/1

08 Aug 11 Lingfield (AW) Sudden Wish (IRE)T: Jim Best Lingfield Park Europro PGA Golf Tournament Median Auction Maiden Stakes (AW)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 40/1

08 Aug 11 Lingfield Carlton Scroop (FR)T: Jim Best Lingfieldpark.co.uk Selling StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 4 ran 3rd 7/2

05 Aug 11 Brighton Deerslayer (USA)T: Jim Best iInsure365.co.uk Commercial Property Insurance Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 4 ran 1st 9/4

05 Aug 11 Brighton Pocket's Pick (IRE)T: Jim Best iInsure365.co.uk Landlord Buildings Insurance HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 13/2

04 Aug 11 Sandown Grandmas Dream (GB)T: Jim Best Rewards4Racing And Racing Lottery HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 2nd 5/2

03 Aug 11 Brighton Bobby Dazzler (IRE)T: Jim Best Toby Strickland Selling HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 16/1

23 Jul 11 Lingfield Until The Man (IRE)T: Jim Best Virgin Holidays Ask For World HandicapClass 6 · 7.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 33/1

23 Jul 11 Lingfield My Ruby (IRE)T: Jim Best Beautiful Barbados HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 10th 14/1

23 Jul 11 Lingfield L'Homme de Nuit (GER)T: Jim Best It Doesn't Get Better Than Barbados HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 16/1

23 Jul 11 Lingfield Jinto (GB)T: David Elsworth Almond Resorts, Barbados HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 4th 10/1

21 Jul 11 Folkestone Serial Sinner (IRE)T: Paul Cole Anna Busbridge Memorial Handicap (Str)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 7th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Doe's strike rate?: Paul Doe has won 92 of 882 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Doe do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 14 wins from 58 rides (24.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paul Doe ride most for?: David Evans, with 206 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (15.5%).
What is Paul Doe's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 875 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.