What is Paul Moreau's strike rate?

Paul Moreau has won 15 of 92 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 16.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul Moreau do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 35 rides (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Paul Moreau's Fair A/E?

1.25, from 86 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paul Moreau

92 rides in the lifetime window · 66 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2021 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

15–92

Wins / Runs

16.3%

Strike rate

n=92

36 (39%)

Placed

1.25

Fair A/E

n=86 · 1.14 incl. margin

+5.20

£1 level stake

n=88 at SP · +5.9%

£588k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.7%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

13.6%−2.7

n=66 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −0.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

41.7%+25.4

n=12 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +7.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.9%−4.4

n=42 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −8.50

When favourite

38.9%

n=18 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +4.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.3%−8.0

n=36 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −24.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

13.8%−2.5

n=29 · A/E 1.99 · £1 +0.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.5%−5.8

n=19 · A/E 0.90 · £1 +0.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

When claiming 8.3% vs 16.3% · n=36

At Auteuil (FR) 11.4% vs 16.3% · n=35

At Compiegne (FR) 20% vs 16.3% · n=35

With Francois Nicolle 20% vs 16.3% · n=35

On Soft going 19.6% vs 16.3% · n=46

On first rides for the horse 13.6% vs 16.3% · n=66

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 62 9 14.5% +12.70

Chase 28 5 17.9% −8.80

Flat 2 1 50% +1.30

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 46 9 19.6% +1.30

Heavy 44 6 13.6% +5.90

Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Good 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 35 4 11.4% −14.60

Compiegne (FR) 35 7 20% +3.00

Pau 8 2 25% +15.90

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Saint-Brieuc (FR) 2 0 0% —

Fontainebleau 1 1 100% +2.30

Longchamp (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% —

Toulouse (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Enghien (FR) 1 1 100% +6.60

Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% —

Chateaubriant (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 19 2 10.5% +0.30

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 18 7 38.9% 1.07 +4.00

2nd–3rd fav 19 3 15.8% 1.00 −3.90

4th–6th fav 29 4 13.8% 1.82 +6.80

7th+ in betting 22 1 4.5% 1.79 −1.70

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.8% completed · 90 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 28 71.4% 4 0 4 0 0

Hurdle 62 80.6% 1 1 10 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Staunton Street (FR) 7 1 5 1 Nov 20

Celtior (FR) 5 0 2 29 Apr 21

Garkapstar (FR) 4 3 3 30 Oct 21

Polisud (FR) 4 1 2 7 Feb 21

Let Me Win (FR) 3 0 1 8 May 21

Martator (FR) 3 1 2 29 Apr 21

Pariso (FR) 3 1 3 18 Jun 20

Gergovie Allen (FR) 2 0 1 30 Apr 21

Garibal (FR) 2 0 1 12 Apr 21

Spirit Of The Bay (FR) 2 0 0 24 Dec 20

Sacre Coeur (FR) 2 1 1 11 Mar 20

Queen Doctor (FR) 1 0 0 8 May 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 66 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1002562713025·0292510

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardFrancois Nicolle

38% of all rides
20% SR · A/E 1.33

TrainerRWSR£1

Francois Nicolle 35 7 20% +9.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£588k

Prize money

2020

Best season · 6 wins

Staunton Street (FR) — Grande Course de Haies de Printemps (Hurdle) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2020 · Grade 3

£45,038

Martator (FR) — Prix Gaston Branere (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Apr 2021 · Listed

£40,179

Avenue Kennedy (FR) — Prix Virelan (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jul 2020

£23,797

Notable horses

Garkapstar (FR) Staunton Street (FR) Polisud (FR) Martator (FR) Pariso (FR) Sacre Coeur (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Martaline (GB) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Kapgarde (FR) 80% · 4–5

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,634 runs since 2008 (725 horses).

Racinger (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 10.2% of 591 runs since 2013 (75 horses).

Saint Des Saints (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 15% of 5,359 runs since 2008 (643 horses).

Lord Du Sud (FR) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,025 runs since 2011 (115 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.8% from 146.

Network (GER) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,769 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 275.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 92 · newest first

The latest 50 of 92 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 June 2015 to 30 October 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 21 Compiegne (FR) Garkapstar (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix de Besancon (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 33/10F

08 May 21 Auteuil (FR) Let Me Win (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix la Veine (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran 4th 11/5F

08 May 21 Auteuil (FR) Queen Doctor (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Burgrave II (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 8 ran 4th 37/10

07 May 21 Vichy (FR) El Makel (FR)T: L Viel Grande Course de Haies de Vichy (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th —

06 May 21 Compiegne (FR) Mandarin Basc (FR)T: P Journiac Prix Fils de Reine (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 15 ran F 9/1

06 May 21 Compiegne (FR) Golden Twig (FR)T: Mathieu Pitart Prix Quomodo (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 10 ran PU 32/1

30 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Gergovie Allen (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix des Charentes (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 12 ran UR 14/1

29 Apr 21 Compiegne (FR) Becquathunder (FR)T: N Paysan Prix de Castets (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran 1st 31/10F

29 Apr 21 Compiegne (FR) Kelklas (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix du Finistere (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)16f · Very Soft · 11 ran 6th 10/1

29 Apr 21 Compiegne (FR) Indy Du Gouet (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix de Sospel (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)16f · Very Soft · 11 ran 5th 12/5F

29 Apr 21 Compiegne (FR) Celtior (FR)T: L Viel Prix du Mont-Dore (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 7 ran 5th 16/1

29 Apr 21 Compiegne (FR) Martator (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Gaston Branere (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 1st 63/10

25 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Master Gold (FR)T: Augustin Adeline De Boisbrunet Prix Maurice de Nexon (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran 4th 20/1

25 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Garkapstar (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Andre Boingneres (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 13 ran 1st 1/5F

15 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Savoyard (IRE)T: J Boisnard Prix Rose Or No (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 6th 39/1

12 Apr 21 Compiegne (FR) Garibal (FR)T: N Paysan Prix de la Rochelle (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo ) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 16 ran 8th 23/1

10 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Martator (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix de Pepinvast (Hurdle) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 15/1

04 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Garkapstar (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Guy Hunault (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 6 ran 1st 2/1F

04 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Let Me Win (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix General de Rougemont (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran 4th 32/5

20 Mar 21 Auteuil (FR) Ironman Des Places (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Rush (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings unraced over obstacles) (Turf)15f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 17/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Moreau's strike rate?: Paul Moreau has won 15 of 92 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 16.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Moreau do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 35 rides (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Paul Moreau's Fair A/E?: 1.25, from 86 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.