What is John Dunlop's strike rate?

John Dunlop has won 194 of 1,708 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Dunlop do best at?

Folkestone by strike rate: 12 wins from 54 runners (22.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Dunlop?

Eddie Ahern, with 307 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 41 (13.4%).

What is John Dunlop's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 1,690 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Dunlop

1,708 runners in the lifetime window · 242 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2012 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

194–1,708

Wins / Runs

11.4%

Strike rate

n=1,708

517 (30%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=1,690 · 0.79 incl. margin

−484.29

£1 level stake

n=1,707 at SP · −28.4%

£2.61m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 340 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). In Group and Graded company the record reads 13% (155 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,708 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 25.4% when favourite Eddie Ahern: 13.4% from 307 Sent off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at York (29.3%, n=41), Folkestone (22.2%, n=54) and Haydock (21.4%, n=42) — all clear of the yard's 11.4% baseline. Debutants struggle at 3.6% (n=193, Fair A/E 0.64). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 8.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −125.47 to a £1 stake over 291 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Eddie Ahern rode 18% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.4% vs 11.4%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly on Firm going — 2.9% over 35 runners, 8.5pts below the baseline. 40 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ribblesdale Stakes at York (Jun 2005, £81,252). The stable star of the record was Times Up (GB) — 9 wins from 28 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.6%−2.8

n=291 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −125.47

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−11.4

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Debutants · first career start

3.6%−7.8

n=193 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −127.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.5%+1.1

n=56 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −5.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−11.4

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

25.4%

n=228 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −69.14

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.3%+2.9

n=28 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +1.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.9%+1.5

n=155 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −32.59

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At York 29.3% vs 11.4% · n=41

At Folkestone 22.2% vs 11.4% · n=54

With debutants 3.6% vs 11.4% · n=193

At Haydock 21.4% vs 11.4% · n=42

On Firm going 2.9% vs 11.4% · n=35

With Richard Mullen 5.5% vs 11.4% · n=55

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 589 80 13.6% −114.45

Good 496 52 10.5% −137.80

Good to Soft 225 25 11.1% −43.03

Soft 183 17 9.3% −80.71

Standard (AW) 163 13 8% −89.38

Firm 35 1 2.9% −30.00

Heavy 17 6 35.3% +11.08

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Goodwood 158 22 13.9% −4.50

Newbury 140 11 7.9% −77.09

Newmarket 136 13 9.6% −56.00

Newmarket 125 12 9.6% −40.34

Salisbury 123 13 10.6% +11.00

Kempton (AW) 97 9 9.3% −51.13

Sandown 85 8 9.4% −17.64

Leicester 69 11 15.9% −11.79

Ascot 67 4 6% −41.50

Nottingham 60 8 13.3% −17.00

Doncaster 59 7 11.9% −3.49

Windsor 58 4 6.9% −28.38

Folkestone 54 12 22.2% −1.37

Brighton 52 4 7.7% −35.75

Lingfield 47 6 12.8% −24.99

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 538 52 9.7% −158.23

Class 5 533 73 13.7% −121.17

Class 6 170 16 9.4% −70.04

Class 2 164 18 11% −43.51

Class 1 155 20 12.9% −32.59

Class 3 147 15 10.2% −58.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 270 66 24.4% 0.88 −72.76

2nd–3rd fav 471 74 15.7% 0.96 −106.03

4th–6th fav 518 41 7.9% 1.00 −109.50

7th+ in betting 448 13 2.9% 0.80 −196.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Times Up (GB)then Ed Dunlop 28 9 18 14 Sep 12

Swingkeel (IRE) 28 4 9 1 Aug 12

Akmal (GB) 26 8 11 27 Aug 11

Spanish Duke (IRE)then Brian Ellison 25 5 9 29 Sep 12

Perfect Shot (IRE)then Jim Best 21 3 7 11 Oct 10

Berling (IRE)then Jessica Long 20 4 6 27 Sep 12

Mountain Range (IRE)then Willie Musson 19 3 5 10 Oct 12

Yair Hill (IRE)then Kevin Ryan 18 3 5 29 Sep 12

Warlu Way (GB)then Michael Easterby 18 3 6 21 Sep 12

Anton Dolin (IRE)then Dr Richard Newland 17 3 5 16 Oct 12

Downhiller (IRE) 17 3 7 7 Sep 12

Harlestone Times (IRE)then Jim Best 17 3 7 4 Aug 12

The 60 most-raced of 242 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

30 have since run for another yard, most often for Ed Dunlop (3) and Michael Easterby (3); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

··1711141211111110110

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderEddie Ahern

18% of all rides
13.4% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

Eddie Ahern 307 41 13.4% −72.28

Ted Durcan 234 25 10.7% −47.55

Richard Hills 212 31 14.6% −70.73

Tadhg O'Shea 149 17 11.4% −37.87

Jimmy Quinn 62 7 11.3% +1.41

Dane O'Neill 60 5 8.3% −3.50

Richard Mullen 55 3 5.5% −43.14

Jimmy Fortune 53 3 5.7% −43.50

Paul Hanagan 46 6 13% −15.13

Martin Dwyer 45 6 13.3% −15.82

Ian Mongan 43 5 11.6% −6.00

Tom Queally 36 6 16.7% +40.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

377

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.41m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 70 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Thakafaat (IRE) — Ribblesdale Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) York · Jun 2005 · Group 2

£81,252

Times Up (GB) — Weatherbys Insurance Lonsdale Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) York · Aug 2012 · Group 2

£79,394

Millenary (GB) — Weatherbys Insurance Lonsdale Cup York · Aug 2005 · Group 2

£72,500

Notable horses

Times Up (GB) Akmal (GB) Spanish Duke (IRE) Double Banded (IRE) Swingkeel (IRE) Jedburgh (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Selkirk (USA) 21.6% · 16–74

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.

Nayef (USA) 17.6% · 12–68

Progeny have won 10% of 5,633 runs since 2008 (518 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.

Olden Times (GB) 18.2% · 12–66

Progeny have won 9.2% of 736 runs since 2008 (67 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.6% from 108. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.7% from 117.

Red Ransom (USA) 10.2% · 6–59

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,290 runs since 2008 (303 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 13% from 687.

Sakhee (USA) 10.7% · 6–56

Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,981 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 611. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.2% from 139.

High Chaparral (IRE) 14.8% · 8–54

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,145 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,145 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2005 to 3 November 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 12 Newmarket Omoor (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 3/1

03 Nov 12 Newmarket Endura (GB)J: Ted Durcan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 8/1

26 Oct 12 Newbury Mombasa (GB)J: Ian Mongan Christal Maiden Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 13/2

24 Oct 12 Newmarket Adeem (USA)J: Dane O'Neill British Stallion Studs E.B.F. TBA Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 22/1

24 Oct 12 Newmarket Dairam (USA)J: Dane O'Neill Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 17 ran 11th 33/1

24 Oct 12 Newmarket Goodwood Mirage (IRE)J: Frankie Dettori Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 17 ran 1st 12/1

21 Oct 12 Bath Caphene (GB)J: Dane O'Neill Profab Windows HandicapClass 5 · 17f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 25/1

21 Oct 12 Bath Misk Khitaam (USA)J: Liam Keniry Bath Luxury Toilet Hire HandicapClass 5 · 13f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 50/1

18 Oct 12 Kempton (AW) Joyful Spirit (IRE)J: Ted Durcan 32RedBet.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 20/1

18 Oct 12 Kempton (AW) Aazif (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan 32RedBet.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 4/1

17 Oct 12 Kempton (AW) Alraased (USA)J: Paul Hanagan Come Jump Racing Here On Sunday HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 11/8F

17 Oct 12 Nottingham Big Johnny D (IRE)J: Ted Durcan Roseland Business Park Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 5/2

16 Oct 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Anton Dolin (IRE)J: Eddie Ahern 32 Bonus At 32Red.com HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 12/1

15 Oct 12 Salisbury Noble Gift (GB)J: William Buick Bathwick Tyres Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 7/2

14 Oct 12 Goodwood Estebsaal (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan Lavant House School Diamond Jubilee HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 12/1

14 Oct 12 Goodwood Shebebi (USA)J: Paul Hanagan Betfred Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. NurseryClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 11/2

13 Oct 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Better Be Mine (IRE)J: Hayley Turner Betfred Mobile Lotto HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 7/1

12 Oct 12 Bath Korngold (GB)J: Dane O'Neill 32Red Supporting British Racing HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 12/1

10 Oct 12 Kempton (AW) Alraased (USA)J: Paul Hanagan Betdaq Casino Games HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 9/4F

10 Oct 12 Nottingham Mountain Range (IRE)J: Ryan Moore BDN Construction HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Dunlop's strike rate?: John Dunlop has won 194 of 1,708 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Dunlop do best at?: Folkestone by strike rate: 12 wins from 54 runners (22.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Dunlop?: Eddie Ahern, with 307 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 41 (13.4%).
What is John Dunlop's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 1,690 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.