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Trainer profile

Clare Ellam

100 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–100
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=100
16 (16%)
Placed
0.96
Fair A/E
n=100 · 0.84 incl. margin
−45.67
£1 level stake
n=100 at SP · −45.7%
£40,244
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 100 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.3%, n=43). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 38 runners, 4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.0
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.0
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 9.3% vs 4% · n=43
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 4% · n=45
In Hurdle races 0% vs 4% · n=38
With Brendan Powell 7.3% vs 4% · n=41
On Good going 6.5% vs 4% · n=62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 43 4 9.3% +11.33
Hurdle 38 0 0% −38.00
Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 62 4 6.5% −7.67
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 16 2 12.5% +22.00
Southwell 11 1 9.1% +1.00
Fontwell 8 0 0% −8.00
Worcester 8 0 0% −8.00
Bangor-on-Dee 7 0 0% −7.00
Market Rasen 6 0 0% −6.00
Stratford 5 0 0% −5.00
Warwick 4 1 25% +0.33
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Kempton (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newton Abbot 3 0 0% −3.00
Huntingdon 3 0 0% −3.00
Bath 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 74 4 5.4% −19.67
Class 4 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 6 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.63 −4.67
4th–6th fav 26 1 3.8% 0.74 −14.00
7th+ in betting 65 2 3.1% 1.66 −27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
66.7% completed · 81 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 43 69.8% 0 1 12 0 0
Hurdle 38 63.2% 2 1 11 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Eightytwo Team (IRE)from Paul John Gilligan 27 3 9 18 Aug 25
Friends Don't Ask (GB)from Martin Smith 16 1 6 5 Jul 26
Mac's Xpress (IRE)from Paul John Gilligan 9 0 0 19 Jan 26
Captain Connor (FR)from Mark Walford 6 0 1 13 Oct 26
Lion City (IRE)from John Joseph Hanlon 6 0 0 2 Mar 26
My Boy Grizzle (IRE)from J Motherway 6 0 0 29 Aug 23
Garswood Gold (GB)from Paul John Gilligan 5 0 0 16 Jul 25
Mayday Games (IRE)from Paul John Gilligan · then Shaun Lycett 4 0 0 5 Oct 25
Eyeeye (GB)from Paul John Gilligan 3 0 0 13 Oct 26
Riffa Fort (GB)from Martin Smith 3 0 0 17 Oct 24
Noble Birth (GB)from Gavin Cromwell 2 0 0 12 Jul 26
Mount Rinjani (IRE)from G Ahern 2 0 0 17 Jul 25
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul John Gilligan (6) and Martin Smith (3); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Shaun Lycett (3); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000801800000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBrendan Powell
41% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 1.08
RiderRWSR£1
Brendan Powell 41 3 7.3% −3.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
10
Archived wins
£88,192
Prize money
2025
Best season · 2 wins
Detour Ahead (GB) — Derek Burridge Golf And Racing Novices' Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · May 2016 · Class 4
£5,198
Eightytwo Team (IRE) — Logicor Chandler Handicap Chase Warwick · May 2025 · Class 5
£4,113
Ballinalacken (IRE) — Racing Fx Online Handicap Hurdle Huntingdon · Dec 2015 · Class 4
£3,574
Notable horses
Eightytwo Team (IRE) Archie Stevens (GB) Detour Ahead (GB) Friends Don't Ask (GB) Amber Flush (GB) Wellforth (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Champs Elysees (GB) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,118 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Mount Nelson (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since 2008 (538 horses).
Brave Mansonnien (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.5% of 294 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
Dubawi (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,933 runs since 2008 (1,520 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 338 · newest first

The latest 50 of 338 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 July 2015 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Southwell Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Golf And Gallop Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 7/2
13 Oct 26 Southwell Eyeeye (GB)J: Brendan Powell Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 66/1
04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Chloe Mediumship Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 28/1
01 Oct 26 Southwell Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell 'smooth Radio - Always The Best Music' Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 20/1
20 Sep 26 Plumpton Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 20/1
07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 18/1
04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Eyeeye (GB)J: Brendan Powell Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 100/1
25 Aug 26 Stratford Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Stratford Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 33/1
20 Aug 26 Stratford Eyeeye (GB)J: Brendan Powell Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 66/1
12 Jul 26 Perth Noble Birth (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Saints In The Community Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 8th 100/1
05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Wild West Beer Fest Saturday 26th September Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 9/1
26 Jun 26 Bangor-on-Dee Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Brendan Powell Wrexham Evening Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 15/2
09 Jun 26 Southwell Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Brendan Powell Ladies Day Sunday 16th August Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 10/1
24 May 26 Fontwell Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Brendan Powell Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 7/2
16 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Ryan Mania Classic Additions Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 33/1
06 May 26 Fontwell Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Tom Cannon KSR Lighting Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 80/1
24 Apr 26 Perth Noble Birth (GB)J: Ryan Mania QuinnBet Highland National Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 30.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 80/1
02 Mar 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lion City (IRE)J: Alfie Redman Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 33/1
17 Feb 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lion City (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 2)Class 6 · 14f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 40/1
28 Jan 26 Kempton (AW) Lion City (IRE)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 12th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Clare Ellam's strike rate?
Clare Ellam has won 4 of 100 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Clare Ellam in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Clare Ellam's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 100 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).