What is Karen Jewell's strike rate?

Karen Jewell has won 16 of 384 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Karen Jewell do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Karen Jewell?

Robert Havlin, with 56 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.4%).

Is Karen Jewell in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Karen Jewell's Fair A/E?

0.68, from 382 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Karen Jewell

384 runners in the last 5 seasons · 48 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2022

16–384

Wins / Runs

4.2%

Strike rate

n=384

77 (20%)

Placed

0.68

Fair A/E

n=382 · 0.58 incl. margin

−193.92

£1 level stake

n=384 at SP · −50.5%

£229k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

1.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.68).

Deterministic profile computed from 384 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Robert Havlin: 5.4% from 56

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (9.1%, n=33) and Fontwell (7.5%, n=53) — all clear of the yard's 4.2% baseline. Robert Havlin rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 0.68). The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.6%, n=83). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 47 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.20 across 66 runners (1.5% strike, −56.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.7%−1.5

n=75 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −54.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.3%−0.9

n=30 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −20.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.2

n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%+2.1

n=16 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −13.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−4.2

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

When favourite

40%

n=5 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +2.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.1%+2.9

n=28 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −6.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Chase races 9.6% vs 4.2% · n=83

At Lingfield 9.1% vs 4.2% · n=33

In Hurdle races 0% vs 4.2% · n=47

At Fontwell 7.5% vs 4.2% · n=53

With Marc Goldstein 7.3% vs 4.2% · n=41

Over 1m5f – 2m 1.5% vs 4.2% · n=66

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 246 8 3.3% −166.25

Chase 83 8 9.6% +27.33

Hurdle 47 0 0% −47.00

NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 159 6 3.8% −109.75

Good 100 4 4% −60.00

Good to Firm 44 1 2.3% −18.00

Good to Soft 43 1 2.3% −26.00

Soft 29 1 3.4% −24.67

Heavy 9 3 33.3% +44.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 66 3 4.5% −51.75

Kempton (AW) 57 3 5.3% −22.00

Fontwell 53 4 7.5% +22.00

Lingfield 33 3 9.1% +2.00

Plumpton 30 1 3.3% −20.50

Chelmsford (AW) 24 0 0% −24.00

Brighton 16 0 0% −16.00

Huntingdon 15 2 13.3% +6.33

Windsor 11 0 0% −11.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00

Southwell 8 0 0% −8.00

Epsom 7 0 0% −7.00

Sandown 6 0 0% −6.00

Goodwood 5 0 0% −5.00

Worcester 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 162 8 4.9% −78.67

Class 6 137 6 4.4% −74.25

Class 4 65 2 3.1% −21.00

Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 5 2 40% 1.50 +2.25

2nd–3rd fav 53 3 5.7% 0.36 −39.67

4th–6th fav 137 6 4.4% 0.68 −74.50

7th+ in betting 189 5 2.6% 0.99 −82.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pablo Prince (GB)from John Best & Karen Jewell 34 1 5 10 Sep 26

Millies Mite (IRE)from John Best & Karen Jewell 26 2 5 24 May 26

Red Flyer (IRE)from John Best & Karen Jewell 24 1 7 27 Nov 25

The Colorist (GB) 19 1 6 30 Apr 26

Manila Mist (GB)from John Best & Karen Jewell 16 1 3 14 Oct 25

Plantadream (GB)from John Best 14 0 5 10 Feb 26

Another Jack (IRE) 14 0 0 17 Sep 24

Pleasure Garden (USA)from John Best & Karen Jewell 13 1 2 9 Jun 26

Colorada Dancer (GB)from Richard Fahey 13 1 4 22 Dec 25

Uallrightharry (IRE)from John Best & Karen Jewell 13 2 4 25 Apr 25

Celtic Spirit (GB) 12 0 5 5 Nov 26

Lord Maher (IRE)from S Curling 12 0 0 2 Nov 26

All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Best & Karen Jewell (17); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

13477003611400

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Havlin

15% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.68

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Havlin 56 3 5.4% −22.75

Marc Goldstein 41 3 7.3% +19.00

Tom Cannon 35 1 2.9% −25.50

Luke Morris 31 1 3.2% −21.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

Archived wins

£229k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 9 wins

Red Flyer (IRE) — Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap Kempton (AW) · Jan 2024 · Class 4

£6,281

Pleasure Garden (USA) — South Downs Cider Novices' Handicap Chase Plumpton · Apr 2023 · Class 5

£4,821

Uallrightharry (IRE) — BetGoodwin Super Tommy Cannon Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Fontwell · Jan 2025 · Class 4

£4,700

Notable horses

Galway Mahler (IRE) Millies Mite (IRE) Uallrightharry (IRE) Pablo Prince (GB) Red Flyer (IRE) The Colorist (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Outstrip (GB) 2.6% · 1–38

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,288 runs since 2019 (240 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 635. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 264.

Time Test (GB) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 11% of 3,155 runs since 2021 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 334. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 321.

Zoffany (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,779 runs since 2015 (799 horses).

Free Eagle (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,415 runs since 2019 (190 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 131.

U S Navy Flag (USA) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,410 runs since 2022 (147 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.1% from 182.

Dragon Pulse (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,272 runs since 2016 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 572. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 384 · newest first

The latest 50 of 384 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 March 2023 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Henfield (GB)J: Charles Bishop Midnite Built Different Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 22/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Celtic Spirit (GB)J: Robert Havlin Midnite Built Different Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 11/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Lord Maher (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Southern Contract Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 5th 22/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Kill The Groove (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Southern Contract Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 28/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Irish Spring (GB)J: Joey Haynes Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 5th 200/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Celtic Spirit (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 10/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Henfield (GB)J: David Probert Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 13th 4/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Celtic Spirit (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Henfield (GB)J: Robert Havlin Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 5/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Irish Spring (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting Uk Racing Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 100/1

12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Henfield (GB)J: Luke Morris Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 5/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Pablo Prince (GB)J: Robert Havlin Follow @attheraces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 22/1

03 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Celtic Spirit (GB)J: Finley Marsh Air Ambulance Charity Kent Surrey Sussex Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 12/1

27 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Irish Spring (GB)J: Joey Haynes Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 300/1

18 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Henfield (GB)J: David Probert Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 9/2

14 Aug 26 Epsom Celtic Spirit (GB)J: David Probert Betfred 'Play Fred's £5 Million' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 8/1

04 Aug 26 Lingfield Pablo Prince (GB)J: Robert Havlin Best Betting Sites At gambling.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 25/1

25 Jul 26 Lingfield Celtic Spirit (GB)J: Robert Havlin Pristine Landscaping & Garden Maintenance Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

13 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Pablo Prince (GB)J: David Probert Free Bets On attheraces.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 28/1

13 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Henfield (GB)J: David Probert Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 7/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 2 Nov 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Karen Jewell's strike rate?: Karen Jewell has won 16 of 384 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Karen Jewell do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Karen Jewell?: Robert Havlin, with 56 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.4%).
Is Karen Jewell in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Karen Jewell's Fair A/E?: 0.68, from 382 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.