What is Raymond O'Brien's strike rate?

Raymond O'Brien has won 36 of 442 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Raymond O'Brien do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 23 wins from 275 rides (8.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Raymond O'Brien ride most for?

F-M Cottin, with 167 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (12%).

What is Raymond O'Brien's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 422 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Raymond O'Brien

442 rides in the lifetime window · 250 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2021 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

36–442

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=442

90 (20%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=422 · 0.72 incl. margin

−204.00

£1 level stake

n=428 at SP · −47.7%

£1.31m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 14% off breaks of two months or more (113 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 442 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 14.2% F-M Cottin: 12% from 167 LTO winners: 11.9%

The read

It is weakest at Enghien (FR) (2% over 101 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 14.2% (n=113, Fair A/E 1.20), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.4% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.54). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −197.50 to a £1 stake over 250 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. F-M Cottin supplied 38% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a break of 180+ days (18.6%, n=43). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 1.9% over 54 rides, 6.2pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Hardatit at Auteuil (FR) (Jun 2011, £38,793). The standout partner of the record was General D'Anjou (FR) — 6 wins from 12 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6%−2.1

n=250 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −197.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.9%+3.8

n=42 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −25.60

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

14.2%+6.1

n=113 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

34.6%

n=26 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −3.40

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.5%−0.6

n=186 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −42.80

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.9%−4.2

n=178 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −122.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.4%−4.7

n=59 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −38.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a break of 180+ days 18.6% vs 8.1% · n=43

At Enghien (FR) 2% vs 8.1% · n=101

With C&D winners 14.7% vs 8.1% · n=68

With G Macaire 14.5% vs 8.1% · n=62

Over 1m5f – 2m 1.9% vs 8.1% · n=54

With debutants 2.9% vs 8.1% · n=68

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 244 16 6.6% −164.60

Chase 193 17 8.8% −44.60

Flat 5 3 60% +5.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 318 28 8.8% −114.80

Heavy 113 4 3.5% −96.40

Good 6 2 33.3% +4.00

Good to Soft 5 2 40% +3.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 275 23 8.4% −83.00

Enghien (FR) 101 2 2% −85.90

Compiegne (FR) 17 2 11.8% −8.10

Dieppe 10 0 0% −10.00

Pau 5 2 40% −2.00

Clairefontaine 5 2 40% −2.00

Nantes (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Nancy 3 2 66.7% −1.00

Angers (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Ffos Las 2 0 0% −2.00

Worcester 2 0 0% −2.00

Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00

Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00

Navan 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 59 2 3.4% −38.60

Class 4 6 1 16.7% +3.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 26 9 34.6% 1.15 −3.40

2nd–3rd fav 66 8 12.1% 0.82 −21.80

4th–6th fav 120 9 7.5% 1.02 −28.60

7th+ in betting 216 2 0.9% 0.32 −150.20

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

72.8% completed · 437 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 193 79.3% 15 1 20 0 4

Hurdle 244 67.6% 14 0 43 0 22

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

General D'Anjou (FR) 12 6 9 10 Jun 11

Al Bucq (FR) 11 1 6 1 Oct 13

Titane D'Ainay (FR) 9 2 2 26 Jun 12

Thilda (FR) 8 0 0 14 Jun 12

Royal Palois (FR) 7 0 1 4 Jun 12

Miss Justice (FR) 7 0 2 28 Mar 12

Morning Storm (FR) 6 1 4 21 Jun 12

Winner In Love (IRE) 6 1 2 18 Jun 12

Campero (FR) 5 0 1 30 May 20

Sunday Madrik (FR) 5 2 3 4 Aug 12

Ulla Francesca (FR) 5 0 0 21 Mar 12

Une Fois De Sivola (FR) 5 1 1 4 Nov 11

The 60 most-raced of 250 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

022487134007730

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardF-M Cottin

38% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 1.22

TrainerRWSR£1

F-M Cottin 167 20 12% −27.60

G Macaire 62 9 14.5% −26.60

T Trapenard 43 1 2.3% −25.20

P Chevillard 31 1 3.2% −21.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.31m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 13 wins

Reflexion (FR) — Prix Hardatit (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2011 · Listed

£38,793

Lucky To Be (FR) — Prix Richard et Robert Hennessy (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2012 · Listed

£38,000

Trheliga (FR) — Prix Agitato (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2021

£22,179

Notable horses

General D'Anjou (FR) Titane D'Ainay (FR) Sunday Madrik (FR) Tisane (FR) Henriquet Le Seul (FR) Al Bucq (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kapgarde (FR) 25.9% · 7–27

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,598 runs since 2008 (721 horses).

Goldneyev (USA) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 14% of 767 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18% from 183. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 118.

Assessor (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 9.3% of 952 runs since 2008 (106 horses). Weakest on Good going: 4.9% from 143.

Saint Des Saints (FR) 21.4% · 3–14

Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,337 runs since 2008 (642 horses).

Antarctique (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 12.2% of 830 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.7% from 127.

Dear Doctor (FR) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 6.6% of 137 runs since 2008 (22 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 442 · newest first

The latest 50 of 442 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 October 2009 to 7 June 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Jun 21 Nantes (FR) Tomgarry (FR)T: Pierre Raussin Prix Hugues de La Brosse (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 22/1

23 May 21 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Clondaw Cian (IRE)T: Sophie Leech Grand Steeple Alain du Breil - Prix Kauto Star (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)23f · Very Soft · 12 ran PU 11/1

17 May 21 Compiegne (FR) Royal Regard (FR)T: Tom George Prix Gacko (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)16f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 37/1

17 May 21 Compiegne (FR) Lil Rockerfeller (USA)T: Tom George Prix du Cher (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 19/1

16 May 21 Nancy (FR) Doctor Dex (IRE)T: Tom George Prix de la Place d'Alliance (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 11 ran 1st —

12 May 21 Dieppe (FR) Some Operator (IRE)T: Louisa Carberry Prix de la Ville de Rouxmesnil Bouteilles (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 7th 16/1

08 May 21 Auteuil (FR) Crealion (FR)T: Tom George Prix de Penthievre (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 19/1

08 May 21 Auteuil (FR) Kincsem Park (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Vanille (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran PU 77/1

30 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Trheliga (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Philippe Menager (Chase) () (4yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 7 ran 4th 4/1

30 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Clondaw Cian (IRE)T: Sophie Leech Grande Course de Haies de Printemps (Hurdle) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran 9th 39/1

18 Apr 21 Strasbourg (FR) Fanfan Du Seuil (FR)T: Tom George Prix des Asperges (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 13/1

15 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Gran Diose (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Rose Or No (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 4th 10/1

28 Mar 21 Auteuil (FR) Trheliga (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix le Touquet (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 7 ran 4th 7/5F

28 Mar 21 Auteuil (FR) Henryville (GB)T: Sophie Leech Prix Lutteur III (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 16 ran 10th 34/1

07 Mar 21 Auteuil (FR) Sergent Pepper'S (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Karcimont (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 16 ran PU 13/1

07 Mar 21 Auteuil (FR) Trheliga (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Agitato (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 1st 22/5

13 Jul 20 Auteuil (FR) Bubble Buck's (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Frascati (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 8th 23/1

13 Jul 20 Auteuil (FR) Gratos De L'Isle (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix la Perichole (Chase) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 7 ran 4th 31/1

13 Jun 20 Compiegne (FR) Danseur Jaguen (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Guillaume Javoy (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 1st 17/10F

13 Jun 20 Compiegne (FR) Hiper Des Mottes (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Geographie (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies Unraced Over Obstacles) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 6 ran 5th 17/5

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Raymond O'Brien's strike rate?: Raymond O'Brien has won 36 of 442 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Raymond O'Brien do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 23 wins from 275 rides (8.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Raymond O'Brien ride most for?: F-M Cottin, with 167 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (12%).
What is Raymond O'Brien's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 422 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.