263 runners
in the last 5 seasons · 48 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 11.2% of 233 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18).
Deterministic profile computed from 263 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance51.4% when favouriteSends off the favourite in 14% of races
The read
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.7% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.37). The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (23.3%, n=30) and in Class 4 (20.8%, n=72). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 5.4% over 37 runners, 9.4pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Support The Hunt Family Fund December Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Dec 2025, £71,188).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.8%−7.0
n=51 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −29.63
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.8%−5.0
n=41 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −28.63
Debutants · first career start
42.9%+28.1
n=7 · A/E 3.93 · £1 +24.73
First-time headgear · true-first definition
40%+25.2
n=5 · A/E 5.31 · £1 +13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.7%−8.1
n=15 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −10.67
When favourite
51.4%
n=37 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +5.85
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.7%−10.1
n=43 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −36.94
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.8%−3.0
n=17 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −12.38
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Harry Cobden29.2% vs 14.8% · n=48
With claiming riders up4.7% vs 14.8% · n=43
Off a 61-180-day break5.4% vs 14.8% · n=37
On Good to Firm going23.3% vs 14.8% · n=30
In Class 420.8% vs 14.8% · n=72
In Class 29.1% vs 14.8% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat1181714.4%−7.38
Hurdle1051413.3%−29.54
Chase34720.6%+23.29
NH Flat6116.7%−4.27
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good1121917%+3.79
Good to Soft4349.3%−2.00
Standard (AW)3239.4%−11.00
Good to Firm30723.3%+13.41
Soft29413.8%−20.60
Heavy16212.5%−0.50
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Newbury22418.2%+2.00
Uttoxeter21523.8%+16.12
Cheltenham1317.7%+21.00
Chepstow1119.1%−8.00
Ffos Las10330%+8.50
Doncaster900%−9.00
Wolverhampton (AW)800%−8.00
Fontwell8225%−2.28
Aintree800%−8.00
Kempton (AW)8225%+11.00
Southwell (AW)8112.5%−6.00
Haydock6116.7%−3.62
Goodwood6116.7%+6.00
Stratford6116.7%−4.50
Nottingham6233.3%+19.33
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4721520.8%+0.34
Class 24449.1%+1.50
Class 544715.9%−19.47
Class 641717.1%+6.36
Class 33339.1%−16.25
Class 126311.5%+12.62
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite412048.8%1.35+4.73
2nd–3rd fav58712.1%0.67−30.13
4th–6th fav641015.6%2.03+58.50
7th+ in betting10022%0.70−51.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m801316.3%+10.85
2m1f – 2m4f611016.4%+16.96
1m2f – 1m4f47714.9%−21.71
1m – 1m1f27518.5%+3.83
2m5f – 3m25312%−16.83
6f – 7f1516.7%−3.00
Over 3m500%−5.00
Under 6f300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2025911516.5%+13.29
20261722414%−31.19
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1792212.3%−10.08
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners971616.5%+24.05
5-7 runners601423.3%+7.20
11-13 runners5747%−16.50
14-16 runners2100%−21.00
17+ runners1700%−17.00
2-4 runners11545.5%+5.35
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 48 horses listed, 41 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from W P Mullins (10) and Gary Brown (4); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.
4 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
2 from 13
Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
81401672721111713278
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,936 runs since 2008 (1,110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Progeny have won 12.8% of 2,203 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.9% from 497. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.1% from 495.
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 263 · newest first
The latest 50 of 263 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 March 2025 to 16 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Faye Bramley's strike rate?
Faye Bramley has won 39 of 263 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Faye Bramley in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Faye Bramley's Fair A/E?
1.18, from 262 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Faye Bramley·SR 14.8%·A/E 1.18
KTB
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