What is Sebastian Woods's strike rate?

Sebastian Woods has won 47 of 384 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sebastian Woods do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Sebastian Woods ride most for?

Richard Fahey, with 130 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (13.1%).

What is Sebastian Woods's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 382 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Sebastian Woods

384 rides in the lifetime window · 239 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2021 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

47–384

Wins / Runs

12.2%

Strike rate

n=384

120 (31%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=382 · 0.92 incl. margin

−94.60

£1 level stake

n=384 at SP · −24.6%

£336k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (49 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 384 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 31.1% when favourite Richard Fahey: 13.1% from 130 LTO winners: 18.4% Claiming: 12.4% Rode the favourite in 12% of races

The read

It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (7.8% over 51 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.4% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.97), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.59). Richard Fahey supplied 34% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.1%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Soft going (17.1%, n=35). The record read poorly in Class 4 — 5% over 60 rides, 7.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10%−2.2

n=239 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −77.18

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.4%+6.2

n=49 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −9.04

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.3%−7.9

n=46 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −24.50

When favourite

31.1%

n=45 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +7.24

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

12.4%+0.2

n=330 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −68.68

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.8%−5.4

n=59 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −18.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 4 5% vs 12.2% · n=60

On Good to Soft going 5.1% vs 12.2% · n=39

On last-time-out winners 18.4% vs 12.2% · n=49

At trips under 6f 5.9% vs 12.2% · n=34

On Soft going 17.1% vs 12.2% · n=35

At Wolverhampton (AW) 7.8% vs 12.2% · n=51

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 161 18 11.2% −38.12

Good to Firm 88 14 15.9% −10.89

Good 52 6 11.5% −2.50

Good to Soft 39 2 5.1% −33.17

Soft 35 6 17.1% −3.42

Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Firm 4 1 25% −1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 51 4 7.8% −7.50

Newcastle (AW) 32 4 12.5% −10.50

Yarmouth 30 4 13.3% −17.39

Chelmsford City (AW) 27 3 11.1% −14.12

Southwell (AW) 22 5 22.7% +12.00

Doncaster 18 3 16.7% +0.50

Lingfield (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00

Brighton 15 4 26.7% +4.25

Kempton (AW) 14 2 14.3% −3.00

Catterick 13 0 0% −13.00

York 11 1 9.1% −5.50

Beverley 10 0 0% −10.00

Thirsk 10 1 10% +1.00

Ayr 10 0 0% −10.00

Pontefract 9 3 33.3% +2.58

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 161 24 14.9% +12.96

Class 5 122 18 14.8% −29.59

Class 4 60 3 5% −50.47

Class 2 17 2 11.8% −3.50

Class 3 17 0 0% −17.00

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 52 15 28.8% 1.14 +4.24

2nd–3rd fav 109 21 19.3% 1.22 +4.66

4th–6th fav 103 9 8.7% 1.03 −17.50

7th+ in betting 120 2 1.7% 0.43 −86.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sonnet Rose (IRE) 14 4 10 31 Aug 19

Black Caesar (IRE) 10 1 4 24 Apr 18

George Bowen (IRE) 8 2 3 30 Mar 19

Hi Ho Silver (GB) 6 2 2 27 Jul 21

Royal Connoisseur (IRE) 6 1 2 26 Apr 19

Irish Times (GB) 5 1 2 4 Aug 21

Ingleby Spring (IRE) 5 1 1 13 Feb 18

Tatlisu (IRE) 5 1 3 18 Jan 18

Sunnua (IRE) 5 1 1 1 Nov 17

Khufu (GB) 4 1 1 15 Jun 21

Busby (IRE) 4 0 3 15 Jul 19

La Sioux (IRE) 4 2 2 20 May 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 239 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8731623713111401721

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Fahey

34% of all rides
13.1% SR · A/E 1.23

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Fahey 130 17 13.1% −1.25

Chris Wall 31 5 16.1% −11.14

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

Archived wins

£336k

Prize money

2018

Best season · 15 wins

George Bowen (IRE) — Heineken Uk Scottish Stewards' Cup Handicap Hamilton · Jul 2018 · Class 2

£21,165

George Bowen (IRE) — Better Odds With Matchbook Handicap Kempton (AW) · Mar 2019 · Class 2

£15,563

In First Place (GB) — Think As One Apprentice Handicap York · Jul 2017 · Class 4

£7,763

Notable horses

Sonnet Rose (IRE) George Bowen (IRE) Hi Ho Silver (GB) La Sioux (IRE) Royal Cosmic (GB) Black Caesar (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Poet's Voice (GB) 21.1% · 4–19

Progeny have won 10% of 6,046 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.

Dandy Man (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Zebedee (GB) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2014 (435 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Camacho (GB) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,325 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 384 · newest first

The latest 50 of 384 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 February 2017 to 18 September 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Sep 21 Newmarket Caspian Queen (IRE)T: S Woods Close Brothers Premium Finance Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 12/1

15 Sep 21 Yarmouth Castana Dia (IRE)T: Chris Wall Moulton Nurseries HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 11/4

13 Sep 21 Brighton Rita The Cheetah (GB)T: Rae Guest whichbookie.co.uk Best For Football HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 50/1

01 Sep 21 Bath Golden Wattle (IRE)T: S Woods Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Firm · 5 ran 4th 7/1

30 Aug 21 Chepstow Caspian Queen (IRE)T: S Woods Irish Thoroughbred Marketing HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Firm · 2 ran 1st 6/4

30 Aug 21 Chepstow Act Naturally (GB)T: S Woods IRE-Incentive It Pays To Buy Irish Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Firm · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

29 Aug 21 Yarmouth Molly Shaw (GB)T: Chris Wall Sky Sports Racing 415 HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 11/4F

19 Aug 21 Chepstow Bahia Star (GB)T: Rae Guest Dunraven Windows Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 5th 5/1

13 Aug 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Full Moon Rising (GB)T: S Woods Ebc Group HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 25/1

11 Aug 21 Ffos Las Act Naturally (GB)T: S Woods starsports.bet Maiden Handicap Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 5 ran 1st 12/1

05 Aug 21 Yarmouth Castana Dia (IRE)T: Chris Wall Alan 'Max' Miller Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 9/4

04 Aug 21 Yarmouth Expert Opinion (GB)T: Henry Spiller Your Mortgage Solutions 20th Anniversary HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 11/4

04 Aug 21 Yarmouth Flying Standard (IRE)T: Chris Wall 4Head HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good · 8 ran 7th 11/4F

04 Aug 21 Yarmouth Irish Times (GB)T: Henry Spiller Bazuka HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 11th 16/1

03 Aug 21 Nottingham Poet's Park (GB)T: Chris Wall Nationalracehorseweek.uk HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 15 ran 15th 20/1

31 Jul 21 Goodwood Turntable (GB)T: Chris Wall Signature Apprentice HandicapClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 9/2

27 Jul 21 Yarmouth Hi Ho Silver (GB)T: Chris Wall Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 4/1

26 Jul 21 Lingfield Golden Wattle (IRE)T: S Woods Racing League On Sky Sports Racing HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 18/5

23 Jul 21 Ascot Princess Power (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Berenberg October Club Supporting Cares Family Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 4/1

22 Jul 21 Yarmouth Castana Dia (IRE)T: Chris Wall Quinnbet 2nd To The Favourite Special HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 1st 8/15F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sebastian Woods's strike rate?: Sebastian Woods has won 47 of 384 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sebastian Woods do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Sebastian Woods ride most for?: Richard Fahey, with 130 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (13.1%).
What is Sebastian Woods's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 382 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.