What is Chris Wall's strike rate?

Chris Wall has won 20 of 129 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

What is Chris Wall's Fair A/E?

1.20, from 128 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Chris Wall

129 runners in the last 5 seasons · 25 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2022 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

20–129

Wins / Runs

15.5%

Strike rate

n=129

43 (33%)

Placed

1.20

Fair A/E

n=128 · 1.02 incl. margin

+19.15

£1 level stake

n=129 at SP · +14.8%

£337k

Prize money (window)

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.20). With a claiming rider up the record reads 24% (33 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 129 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 20% Claiming riders: 24.2%

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 24.2% (n=33, Fair A/E 2.14). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (24.3%, n=37). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 9.8% over 51 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.83 across 59 runners (11.9% strike, −16.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 30 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tattersalls Ireland Sale Stakes at Curragh (Aug 2005, £147,000). The stable star of the record: Premio Loco (USA) — 13 wins from 44 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

20%+4.5

n=30 · A/E 1.83 · £1 +29.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−15.5

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−15.5

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

25%+9.5

n=4 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +9.00

When favourite

11.8%

n=17 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −10.60

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

24.2%+8.7

n=33 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +59.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

25%+9.5

n=8 · A/E 2.94 · £1 +0.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 31-60-day break 24.3% vs 15.5% · n=37

With claiming riders up 24.2% vs 15.5% · n=33

With Kaiya Fraser 23.5% vs 15.5% · n=34

Off a 15-30-day break 9.8% vs 15.5% · n=51

Over 6f – 7f 10% vs 15.5% · n=30

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 11.9% vs 15.5% · n=59

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 36 5 13.9% +9.00

Good 36 5 13.9% −6.50

Standard (AW) 31 5 16.1% +16.50

Good to Soft 15 3 20% +1.25

Soft 10 2 20% −0.10

Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Yarmouth 20 1 5% −18.60

Kempton (AW) 13 3 23.1% +13.00

Windsor 10 0 0% −10.00

Newmarket 9 3 33.3% +13.00

Newmarket 9 1 11.1% −4.50

Haydock 7 4 57.1% +13.75

Chelmsford City (AW) 7 1 14.3% +8.00

Newcastle (AW) 7 1 14.3% −0.50

Nottingham 6 0 0% −6.00

Doncaster 5 0 0% −5.00

Leicester 4 1 25% +19.00

Pontefract 4 0 0% −4.00

Salisbury 3 1 33.3% +5.50

Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00

Goodwood 3 1 33.3% +0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 53 9 17% +4.65

Class 4 29 2 6.9% −1.50

Class 6 25 4 16% +7.50

Class 1 8 2 25% +0.00

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 3 7 3 42.9% +15.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 3 13.6% 0.50 −11.85

2nd–3rd fav 39 10 25.6% 1.54 +12.00

4th–6th fav 41 6 14.6% 1.81 +23.00

7th+ in betting 27 1 3.7% 1.12 −4.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Spit Spot (GB)then James Fanshawe 7 1 2 10 Nov 22

Flying Standard (IRE)then Amy Murphy 7 2 2 28 Sep 22

Savrola (IRE)then James Ferguson 7 1 3 28 Sep 22

Free Step (IRE)then Harry Eustace 6 1 1 30 Nov 22

Castana Dia (IRE) 6 1 3 5 Nov 22

Kingmania (IRE)then James Ferguson 6 0 0 29 Oct 22

Commander Hector (GB) 6 1 2 18 Oct 22

Double Or Bubble (IRE) 6 2 2 15 Oct 22

The Thunderer (IRE)from Marco Botti · then Sean Curran 6 1 2 5 Oct 22

Oh It's Saucepot (GB) 6 1 1 15 Sep 22

Turntable (GB)from Simon Crisford · then Harry Eustace 5 2 3 28 Oct 22

Glen Esk (GB)then John O'Shea 5 1 2 17 Oct 22

All 25 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 25 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Harry Eustace (5) and James Ferguson (3); 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

···441010171416190·

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Mitchell

28% of all rides
16.7% SR · A/E 1.18

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Mitchell 36 6 16.7% −3.50

Kaiya Fraser 34 8 23.5% +58.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

477

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.24m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 37 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Wake Up Maggie (IRE) — Tattersalls Ireland Sale Stakes Curragh · Aug 2005

£147,000

Expensive (GB) — Watership Down Stud Sales Race Newbury · Sep 2005 · Class 2

£142,700

Ace of Hearts (GB) — Totescoop6 Heritage Handicap Sandown · Jul 2005 · Class 2

£58,000

Notable horses

Premio Loco (USA) Royal Rock (GB) Syrian Pearl (GB) Grand Vizier (IRE) Habshan (USA) Oh It's Saucepot (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sir Percy (GB) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 11.2% of 7,146 runs since 2008 (473 horses).

Churchill (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 11.1% of 4,760 runs since 2008 (458 horses).

Golden Horn (GB) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 13.9% of 3,725 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,101 runs since 2008 (658 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,182.

Dandy Man (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,899 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 33.3% · 2–6

Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,019 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,496 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,496 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 30 November 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Nov 22 Kempton (AW) Free Step (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Racing TV Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 12th 11/4F

10 Nov 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Spit Spot (GB)J: Hayley Turner Betsi HandicapClass 2 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 33/1

05 Nov 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Castana Dia (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser 2023 CCR Membership Available HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 13/2

29 Oct 22 Newmarket Kingmania (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Christmas Parties at Newmarket HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 17 ran 5th 18/1

28 Oct 22 Newmarket Turntable (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Newmarket Beacon Thanks Mark Kirby HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 9/2

21 Oct 22 Doncaster Mustazeed (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Think Smart At Vertem HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 7/4F

20 Oct 22 Southwell (AW) Spit Spot (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Fallon's Fancies Expert Tips By BetUK HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 13/2

19 Oct 22 Kempton (AW) Castana Dia (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 5th 40/1

18 Oct 22 Yarmouth Commander Hector (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Cazoo Search Drive Smile HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

17 Oct 22 Windsor Chips And Rice (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Breeders' Cup On Sky Sports Racing HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/1

17 Oct 22 Windsor Glen Esk (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Ultimate Jumps Guide On attheraces.com/jumps HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 18/1

15 Oct 22 Ascot Double Or Bubble (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 15th 100/1

14 Oct 22 Redcar Divine Comedy (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Sam Hall Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 6/1

09 Oct 22 Southwell (AW) Free Step (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 11/2

08 Oct 22 York Mustazeed (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Coral Gets You Closer To The Action Finale HandicapClass 3 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 7/1

08 Oct 22 Newmarket Kingmania (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Blue Point British EBF Boadicea Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 10th 150/1

05 Oct 22 Kempton (AW) The Thunderer (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 1st 15/2

04 Oct 22 Brighton Rodolfo (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Leigh Armstrong 60th Racing With Pride Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 5/1

04 Oct 22 Leicester Angel Amadea (GB)J: Ryan Moore Best Ticket Prices Online At leicester-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 4th 7/2F

28 Sep 22 Kempton (AW) Flying Standard (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 4th 7/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chris Wall's strike rate?: Chris Wall has won 20 of 129 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Chris Wall's Fair A/E?: 1.20, from 128 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.