Simon Whitworth
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 150 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.67).
The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (12.8%, n=78), clear of the rider's 4.6% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.3% (n=76, Fair A/E 0.26). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 1.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.38 and −184.50 to a £1 stake over 211 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. J R Jenkins supplied 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.5%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (12.5%, n=40). The record read poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 67 rides, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 56 rides (0% strike, −56.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the parquedafloresta.com Chester City Wall Stakes at Chester (Jul 2005, £17,400). The standout partner of the record was Benllech (GB) — 5 wins from 9 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,180 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,180 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 6 October 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Simon Whitworth's strike rate?
- Simon Whitworth has won 21 of 453 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Simon Whitworth do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 78 rides (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Simon Whitworth ride most for?
- J R Jenkins, with 73 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.5%).
- What is Simon Whitworth's Fair A/E?
- 0.67, from 449 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.