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Trainer profile

Adrian Chamberlain

203 runners in the lifetime window · 32 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2012
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
10–203
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=203
30 (15%)
Placed
1.08
Fair A/E
n=201 · 0.91 incl. margin
−119.77
£1 level stake
n=203 at SP · −59.0%
£29,746
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 203 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Neil Chalmers: 7.7% from 52
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). Neil Chalmers rode 26% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.7% vs 4.9%, A/E 1.64) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well over 1m – 1m1f (11.1%, n=45) and off a 31-60-day break (10.8%, n=37). The record read poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 38 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Almahaza (IRE) — 5 wins from 23 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.9
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.9
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.9
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.9
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
57.1%
n=7 · A/E 2.12 · £1 +7.73
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.6%−0.3
n=87 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −58.27

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m – 1m1f 11.1% vs 4.9% · n=45
Off a 31-60-day break 10.8% vs 4.9% · n=37
With a new jockey booking 1% vs 4.9% · n=98
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 4.9% · n=38
On Good going 0% vs 4.9% · n=36
On Standard (AW) going 7.9% vs 4.9% · n=101
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 173 10 5.8% −89.77
Hurdle 20 0 0% −20.00
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 101 8 7.9% −36.27
Good to Firm 44 1 2.3% −32.00
Good 36 0 0% −36.00
Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Soft 7 1 14.3% −0.50
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 31 1 3.2% −25.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 29 1 3.4% −26.00
Southwell (AW) 22 5 22.7% +24.73
Lingfield (AW) 18 1 5.6% −9.00
Bath 14 1 7.1% −7.50
Chepstow 13 0 0% −13.00
Warwick 11 0 0% −11.00
Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00
Brighton 8 0 0% −8.00
Lingfield 6 0 0% −6.00
Windsor 5 1 20% +7.00
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Leicester 4 0 0% −4.00
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Newton Abbot 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 116 6 5.2% −60.27
Class 5 52 2 3.8% −36.50
Class 4 22 1 4.5% −13.00
Class 7 11 1 9.1% −8.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 4 50% 1.98 +6.73
2nd–3rd fav 11 2 18.2% 1.40 +1.50
4th–6th fav 36 2 5.6% 0.89 −18.00
7th+ in betting 148 2 1.4% 0.56 −110.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Stormburst (IRE)from Tony Newcombe 26 0 3 31 Jan 11
Warrior Nation (FR)from G M Lyons 25 0 1 4 Jan 12
Almahaza (IRE)from Amanda Perrett 21 5 11 15 Jun 11
Ledgerwood (GB)from J W Hills 12 0 0 29 Jun 11
Speagle (IRE)from Declan Carroll 11 0 1 16 Jul 09
Mr Loire (GB)from Harry Dunlop · then Milton Harris 11 1 3 14 Jul 09
Seneschal (GB)from Michael Appleby 9 1 2 19 Nov 11
Blakeshall Diamond (GB)then David Bourton 8 0 1 13 Sep 09
Genes Of A Dancer (AUS)from Michael Appleby 7 1 2 1 Nov 11
Key To Love (IRE)from Harry Dunlop 7 0 0 12 Aug 10
Lechlade Lass (GB) 6 0 1 3 Oct 11
Hold That Call (USA)from Richard Hannon Snr 6 0 0 27 Aug 08
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Appleby (4) and Harry Dunlop (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
42089000512600
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderNeil Chalmers
26% of all rides
7.7% SR · A/E 1.64
RiderRWSR£1
Neil Chalmers 52 4 7.7% −7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
£41,656
Prize money
2011
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Blakeshall Diamond (GB) — E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Nov 2007 · Class 5
£3,465
Almahaza (IRE) — Southwell Golf Club Lady Members Handicap Southwell (AW) · Apr 2011 · Class 4
£2,914
Minety Lass (GB) — digibet.com 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice Series Handicap (Part Of The Racing Excellence Initiative) Bath · Sep 2011 · Class 5
£2,264
Notable horses
Almahaza (IRE) Minety Lass (GB) Mr Loire (GB) Blakeshall Diamond (GB) Seneschal (GB) Genes Of A Dancer (AUS)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mujadil (USA) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,379 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.7% from 111.
Statue Of Liberty (USA) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 119.
Alzao (USA) 23.8% · 5–21
Progeny have won 10.2% of 381 runs since 2008 (42 horses).
Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Bertolini (USA) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Desert Sun (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,166 runs since 2008 (84 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 401 · newest first

The latest 50 of 401 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 4 January 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Jan 12 Kempton (AW) Warrior Nation (FR)J: Neil Chalmers Betdaq Multiples HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 66/1
08 Dec 11 Ludlow Hold The Bucks (USA)J: Kyle James Racing Uk Novices' Claiming HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 15 ran 8th 50/1
03 Dec 11 Aintree Sugarloaf Sarah (GB)J: Liam Treadwell Betfred Free Machine Play Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 33/1
29 Nov 11 Lingfield (AW) Warrior Nation (FR)J: Miss L Masterton Tandridge Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 16f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 100/1
24 Nov 11 Taunton Hold The Bucks (USA)J: James Davies Follow At The Races On Twitter Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 100/1
19 Nov 11 Lingfield (AW) Seneschal (GB)J: Lucy K Barry Bet In Play At ladbrokes.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 11/2C
10 Nov 11 Taunton Hold The Bucks (USA)J: James Davies Setsquare Recruitment Novices' HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 100/1
01 Nov 11 Kempton (AW) Genes Of A Dancer (AUS)J: Lucy K Barry 32 Free At 32Red.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 9/2
27 Oct 11 Lingfield (AW) Seneschal (GB)J: Lucy K Barry Plawhatch Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 7/1
22 Oct 11 Stratford Warrior Nation (FR)J: James Davies totequickpick Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 100/1
22 Oct 11 Stratford Hold The Bucks (USA)J: James Davies toteexacta Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 25/1
18 Oct 11 Lingfield (AW) Seneschal (GB)J: Racheal Kneller Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 8/1
14 Oct 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Hold The Bucks (USA)J: Neil Chalmers wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Selling StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 10/1
12 Oct 11 Kempton (AW) Genes Of A Dancer (AUS)J: Lucy K Barry Free Entry For Betdaq Members HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 9/2
10 Oct 11 Windsor Seneschal (GB)J: Racheal Kneller Ladbrokes Mobile HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 2nd 33/1
03 Oct 11 Warwick Lechlade Lass (GB)J: Danny Brock Warwick Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 14/1
29 Sep 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Seneschal (GB)J: Lucy K Barry Win A Car Every Day - Williamhillbingo HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 20/1
26 Sep 11 Bath Tetbury Lass (GB)J: Racheal Kneller British Stallion Studs E.B.F./Seddon Construction Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 80/1
26 Sep 11 Bath Minety Lass (GB)J: Lucy K Barry digibet.com 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice Series Handicap (Part Of The Racing Excellence Initiative)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 11/2
23 Sep 11 Worcester Royale Bruere (FR)J: David Bass Spiffing Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 8th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adrian Chamberlain's strike rate?
Adrian Chamberlain has won 10 of 203 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adrian Chamberlain do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 31 runners (3.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Adrian Chamberlain?
Neil Chalmers, with 52 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7.7%).
What is Adrian Chamberlain's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 201 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).