Skip to content
Trainer profile

Denis Coakley

450 runners in the last 5 seasons · 43 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 96% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
38–450
Wins / Runs
8.4%
Strike rate
n=450
116 (26%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=449 · 0.72 incl. margin
−167.04
£1 level stake
n=450 at SP · −37.1%
£381k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 450 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 9.7% 29.4% when favourite George Bass: 8.6% from 162 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (14%, n=93) and Bath (14.3%, n=56) — all clear of the yard's 8.4% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (1.8% over 57 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −55.17 to a £1 stake over 119 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. George Bass rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.6%, A/E 0.96). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 3.9% over 103 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.62 across 95 runners (4.2% strike, −75.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the 7.5 Million Totescoop6 Victoria Cup Heritage Handicap at Ascot (May 2014, £62,250). The stable star of the record: Party Island (IRE) — 11 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.7%+1.3
n=93 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +14.87
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.4
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.4
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
29.4%
n=34 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −4.37
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.9%−2.5
n=119 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −55.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Kempton (AW) 1.8% vs 8.4% · n=57
At Lingfield (AW) 14% vs 8.4% · n=93
At Bath 14.3% vs 8.4% · n=56
On Good to Firm going 3.9% vs 8.4% · n=103
In Class 4 4.2% vs 8.4% · n=95
With C&D winners 12.7% vs 8.4% · n=79
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 434 38 8.8% −151.04
Hurdle 12 0 0% −12.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 189 20 10.6% −62.29
Good to Firm 103 4 3.9% −49.75
Good 91 9 9.9% −21.75
Good to Soft 29 1 3.4% −22.50
Soft 19 0 0% −19.00
Firm 13 4 30.8% +14.25
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 93 13 14% −16.42
Kempton (AW) 57 1 1.8% −47.50
Bath 56 8 14.3% −11.00
Windsor 46 4 8.7% +8.25
Newbury 29 2 6.9% +2.00
Salisbury 23 2 8.7% −12.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 20 4 20% +15.38
Lingfield 15 0 0% −15.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Leicester 12 0 0% −12.00
Goodwood 10 0 0% −10.00
Epsom 9 1 11.1% −3.00
Brighton 8 0 0% −8.00
Sandown 8 1 12.5% +1.50
Worcester 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 174 19 10.9% +16.88
Class 6 160 15 9.4% −87.92
Class 4 95 4 4.2% −75.00
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 41 11 26.8% 1.00 −7.37
2nd–3rd fav 104 14 13.5% 0.85 −35.17
4th–6th fav 143 8 5.6% 0.69 −72.50
7th+ in betting 162 5 3.1% 0.91 −52.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Party Island (IRE) 42 6 12 12 May 26
My Ambition (IRE) 32 5 10 3 Aug 26
Phoenix Moon (IRE) 27 5 10 2 Oct 26
Golden Phase (GB) 27 4 12 23 Sep 26
Barry's Boy (IRE) 18 2 6 1 Oct 26
Milvus (IRE) 18 0 3 12 Oct 24
Wonder Starelzaam (IRE)from Niall Thomas Egan 18 4 4 14 Sep 24
Miss Dubai (GB) 16 1 5 4 Aug 25
Sharma D'amour (GB) 15 1 2 27 Aug 26
Hoornblower (GB) 15 1 2 2 Dec 25
Waterloo Sunset (GB) 15 1 6 4 Apr 25
Definite Dream (IRE) 13 0 6 19 Aug 26
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
22026715116546130
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGeorge Bass
36% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 0.96
RiderRWSR£1
George Bass 162 14 8.6% −81.17
Rob Hornby 33 4 12.1% +48.50
Oisin Murphy 32 4 12.5% −19.12
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
182
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£1.72m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 16 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Gabriel's Lad (IRE) — 7.5 Million Totescoop6 Victoria Cup Heritage Handicap Ascot · May 2014 · Class 2
£62,250
Miss Marjurie (IRE) — 888sport Pinnacle Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Haydock · May 2015 · Group 3
£35,727
Steppe Dancer (IRE) — totepool September Stakes (Group 3) Kempton (AW) · Sep 2007 · Group 3
£26,687
Notable horses
Party Island (IRE) Rockfella (GB) Sirce (IRE) Rebecca Romero (GB) King Calypso (GB) My Ambition (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tagula (IRE) 14.3% · 6–42
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,557 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.
Galileo Gold (GB) 15.6% · 5–32
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,016 runs since 2008 (173 horses).
Gustav Klimt (IRE) 14.8% · 4–27
Progeny have won 6.8% of 516 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 151.
Phoenix Of Spain (IRE) 18.5% · 5–27
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,323 runs since 2008 (140 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.8% from 133.
Ulysses (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,969 runs since 2008 (293 horses).
Adaay (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,957 runs since 2008 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 497.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,956 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,956 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Blue Odyssey (IRE)J: Jack Callan Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 100/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Connie Moon (IRE)J: George Bass bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 10th 10/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Chelio (GB)J: George Bass Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 12/1
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Phoenix Moon (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 22/1
01 Oct 26 Salisbury Barry's Boy (IRE)J: George Bass Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 25/1
28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dijon Gone (GB)J: George Bass Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 9/1
27 Sep 26 Epsom Our Guy (IRE)J: George Bass Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 100/1
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Golden Phase (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier)Class 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 14th 40/1
13 Sep 26 Bath Chelio (GB)J: Rose Dawes Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 7/1
10 Sep 26 Epsom Dijon Gone (GB)J: George Bass Under Starters Orders For Fit Show 2027 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 7/1
08 Sep 26 Goodwood Connie Moon (IRE)J: George Bass Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 11/1
07 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Terranoble (GB)J: Rob Hornby Cavani Signature Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1
01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Phoenix Moon (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Racing Partnership Celebrating 10 Years Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 6/1
31 Aug 26 Epsom Uniter (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Geoff Lewis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 14/1
29 Aug 26 Windsor Dijon Gone (GB)J: George Bass Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At Matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 11/1
28 Aug 26 Sandown Golden Phase (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Killik Family Handicap StakesClass 4 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 4th 22/1
28 Aug 26 Goodwood Star Of Dubai (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell White & Brooks Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 25/1
27 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Sharma D'amour (GB)J: George Bass Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 10/1
26 Aug 26 Newbury Tribal Rhythm (GB)J: Rob Hornby Gracelands Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 80/1
22 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Dijon Gone (GB)J: Rose Dawes North Downs Hospital Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Denis Coakley's strike rate?
Denis Coakley has won 38 of 450 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Denis Coakley do best at?
Bath by strike rate: 8 wins from 56 runners (14.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Denis Coakley?
George Bass, with 162 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (8.6%).
Is Denis Coakley in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Denis Coakley's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 449 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).