Mme E Allaire
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 22% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.20). In Group and Graded company the record reads 30% (44 runs).
It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (16.9% over 71 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 29.5% (n=44, Fair A/E 1.42), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 15.2% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.82). Theo Chevillard rides 57% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (21.1%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 1 (30.4%, n=46). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 16.2% over 37 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Haras d'Etreham - Prix Magalen Bryant at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2023, £72,876). The stable star of the record: Kamaro D'huez (FR) — 7 wins from 16 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 22% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 22% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 159 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 159 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 July 2022 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mme E Allaire's strike rate?
- Mme E Allaire has won 35 of 159 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 22% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mme E Allaire do best at?
- Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 48 runners (25%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mme E Allaire?
- Theo Chevillard, with 90 runners since 2022 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (21.1%).
- Is Mme E Allaire in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mme E Allaire's Fair A/E?
- 1.20, from 159 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.