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Trainer profile

Robin Mathew

158 runners in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2018 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
4–158
Wins / Runs
2.5%
Strike rate
n=158
23 (15%)
Placed
0.55
Fair A/E
n=158 · 0.48 incl. margin
−114.50
£1 level stake
n=158 at SP · −72.5%
£34,779
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.55).

Deterministic profile computed from 158 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also read well in Class 5 (6.5%, n=46) and over 2m5f – 3m (5.6%, n=54). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.00 across 83 runners (0% strike, −83.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.5
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.5
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
14.3%+11.8
n=7 · A/E 3.80 · £1 +0.50
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.3%−0.2
n=87 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −68.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 6.5% vs 2.5% · n=46
Over 2m5f – 3m 5.6% vs 2.5% · n=54
In Class 4 0% vs 2.5% · n=83
On Good going 0% vs 2.5% · n=55
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2.5% · n=53
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.5% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 105 3 2.9% −67.50
Chase 42 1 2.4% −36.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 55 0 0% −55.00
Good to Soft 39 1 2.6% −31.50
Soft 36 1 2.8% −30.00
Heavy 19 2 10.5% +11.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 17 1 5.9% −4.00
Hereford 12 0 0% −12.00
Huntingdon 10 0 0% −10.00
Warwick 10 1 10% −4.00
Chepstow 9 0 0% −9.00
Towcester 9 2 22.2% +15.50
Newbury 8 0 0% −8.00
Worcester 8 0 0% −8.00
Stratford 6 0 0% −6.00
Cheltenham 6 0 0% −6.00
Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00
Taunton 5 0 0% −5.00
Ludlow 5 0 0% −5.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Kempton 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 83 0 0% −83.00
Class 5 46 3 6.5% −8.50
Class 3 14 1 7.1% −8.00
Class 6 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 8 1 12.5% 0.84 −2.00
4th–6th fav 38 2 5.3% 0.80 −13.50
7th+ in betting 107 1 0.9% 0.40 −94.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.1% completed · 147 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 42 59.5% 5 1 11 0 0
Hurdle 105 80% 2 1 17 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bally Sands (IRE) 35 2 11 31 Jul 17
Bravo Riquet (FR) 22 2 4 17 Mar 16
Emperor Commodos (GB) 18 0 2 15 May 18
Wham Bang (GB) 13 0 0 4 Jun 11
Lost Arca (FR)then David Bridgwater 12 0 3 31 Oct 13
Supralunary (GB) 11 0 0 21 Jul 13
Hum The Tune (GB)from D K Weld 9 0 0 9 Apr 09
Ergo Sum (GB)then Ben Pauling 7 0 1 17 Mar 14
Behest (GB) 7 0 1 17 Nov 11
Cunning Pursuit (GB)from Richard Ford 7 0 1 26 Jul 10
Perjury (GB) 5 0 0 1 Apr 11
Doodle Dandy (IRE)then Polly Gundry 4 0 0 26 Jan 18
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Polly Gundry (2); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
008000000008
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Lee Edwards 19 2 10.5% +5.50
Sean Quinlan 18 0 0% −18.00
Ed Cookson 14 2 14.3% +5.00
Robert Dunne 14 0 0% −14.00
Dave Crosse 12 0 0% −12.00
Jake Hodson 12 0 0% −12.00
Warren Marston 9 0 0% −9.00
Matty Roe 9 0 0% −9.00
Richard Condon 6 0 0% −6.00
George Bartlett 5 0 0% −5.00
Tommy Phelan 5 0 0% −5.00
Philip Hide 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
6
Archived wins
£43,784
Prize money
2013
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bally Sands (IRE) — racinguk.com Handicap Chase Warwick · Mar 2013 · Class 3
£9,747
Heartache (GB) — Tony Fanning Happy 75th Birthday Handicap Chase Towcester · Jan 2006 · Class 4
£4,437
Heartache (GB) — Handicap Chase Exeter · Apr 2005 · Class 4
£3,626
Notable horses
Bally Sands (IRE) Bravo Riquet (FR) Heartache (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Luso (GB) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Midnight Legend (GB) 0% · 0–34
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,309 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Laveron (GB) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,171 runs since 2008 (142 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.9% from 161. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 477.
Double Trigger (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,467 runs since 2008 (154 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.4% from 195.
Lost World (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.8% of 880 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 140.
Beat Hollow (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,030 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 195 · newest first

The latest 50 of 195 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 January 2005 to 15 May 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 May 18 Wincanton Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Mikey Hamill Smarkets 2% Commission Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 66/1
07 May 18 Warwick Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Stan Sheppard Agetur Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 16 ran 11th 33/1
26 Jan 18 Huntingdon Doodle Dandy (IRE)J: Mikey Hamill Pertemps Network Commercial Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 15 ran 11th 250/1
10 Jan 18 Ludlow Doodle Dandy (IRE)J: Richard Condon Racing UK Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 200/1
20 Dec 17 Newbury So Hoity Toity (GB)J: Richard Condon St. James's Place Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 12 ran PU 200/1
29 Nov 17 Hereford Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Richard Condon Major Philip Verdin Memorial Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 20/1
25 Nov 17 Huntingdon Doodle Dandy (IRE)J: Richard Condon Woodhurst Construction Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 250/1
20 Nov 17 Leicester So Hoity Toity (GB)J: Richard Condon Ashby Magna Fillies' Juvenile HurdleClass 3 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 100/1
17 Oct 17 Worcester Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Richard Condon Central Roofing South Wales 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 80/1
31 Jul 17 Newton Abbot Bally Sands (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Newtonabbotracing.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 22/1
02 Jul 17 Uttoxeter Bally Sands (IRE)J: Callum McKinnes Cashout At Bet365 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1
25 Jun 17 Worcester Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Robert Dunne totepool Racecourse Debit Card Betting Available Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran PU 16/1
18 Apr 17 Ludlow Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Robert Dunne J T Vobe Electrical Contracting Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 4th 11/2
06 Apr 17 Taunton Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Robert Dunne Bathwick Tyres Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 18f · Good · 8 ran 6th 8/1
30 Mar 17 Taunton Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Harrison Beswick Archer Mann Supports The RNLI Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 18f · Good · 10 ran 5th 25/1
25 Feb 17 Chepstow Doodle Dandy (IRE)J: Harrison Beswick People Network Maiden NH Flat Race (Conditionals And Amateurs)Class 6 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 50/1
22 Feb 17 Ludlow Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Jake Hodson Ludlow Racecourse Bookmakers Chase (Novices' Limited Handicap)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran F 22/1
19 Jan 17 Ludlow Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Jake Hodson Michael Nickless Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/1
31 Dec 16 Uttoxeter Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Jake Hodson Ashleigh Builders Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 8/1
10 Dec 16 Lingfield Emperor Commodos (GB)J: Jake Hodson Lisa Watson Hits The Big 40 Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robin Mathew's strike rate?
Robin Mathew has won 4 of 158 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Robin Mathew's Fair A/E?
0.55, from 158 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).