Race Preview

1:20 Bath

Saturday 12 September 2026 ·9 runners KTB Selection: Stintino Sunset · 56/100

This Class 6 confined amateur jockeys' handicap at Bath over 1m3f137y on good ground brings together nine modest performers, all of whom are yet to win a flat race in 2026. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched between 56 and 38, reflecting a race where consistency at this level rather than star quality will decide the outcome. With no obvious front-runner in the field the pace is expected to be steady, placing a premium on tactical positioning and a well-timed run from off the pace.

How the race shapes up

The pace shape lacks a leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy on the turn could prove advantageous. Almost every runner is a hold-up type who produces their effort late, so the key question is whether the race will develop enough pace for those coming from the rear to make meaningful inroads or whether the leaders will be able to dictate matters. The draw is relatively compact, with the principals occupying the inside three stalls, which may help them conserve energy early.

The KTB Fit ranking

  1. 1Stintino Sunset KTB Selection56/100

    Form 343232 · Julia & Shelley Birkett · Mr Ross Birkett

    Stintino Sunset is a limited performer who has been consistent this year with a string of placed efforts. He has shown he handles this track and trip, finishing second here on his only visit and having won over today's distance. The yard and jockey both have above-average strike rates at Bath while the horse is proven on good ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is drawn in stall two which should allow him to track the race without using up unnecessary energy. His recent form of 343232 underlines his reliability at this level and the trainer-jockey combination adds further appeal at a venue where both operate with positive figures.

  2. 2Grey Fox54/100

    Form -66237 · Emma Lavelle · Mr Kieran Wood(7)

    Grey Fox is a modest performer with a solid recent record of consistency in lesser races. He steps up in trip today having shown no spark over 1m1f last time and with only one previous try at this distance. Trainer Emma Lavelle has a respectable 11% strike-rate at Bath while the 7lb claimer Kieran Wood is making his first visit to the track. Usually held up, he is drawn in stall one which could be an asset in a steadily-run race. His form of -66237 suggests he remains competitive at this level despite the longer distance posing a fresh question.

  3. 3Shahbaz52/100

    Form 246667 · Archie Watson · Miss Brodie Hampson

    Shahbaz is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year and showed little spark in recent starts. He has won over today's trip but is 0-4 on good ground and makes his first visit to Bath. Trainer Archie Watson has a solid 16% strike-rate here while the jockey Brodie Hampson is operating above expectations with a 25% record from just eight rides. Usually held up, he will be looking to produce his effort late from stall three. His form of 246667 reflects his current modest level though the drop in class may help him become competitive again.

  4. 4Revich51/100

    Form 663433 · Adrian Wintle · Miss Georgia King(5)

    Revich is a limited horse who has been consistent at this level lately without winning. He has shown some ability here at Bath and the trainer’s solid record at the track adds a positive. Stepping up in trip for the first time today asks a fresh question while his record on good ground is modest. Usually held up, he is drawn widest in stall nine which may not be ideal in a tactical affair. His form of 663433 shows he remains in the mix at this level despite the trip and ground uncertainties.

  5. 5The Pug50/100

    Form U65455 · Olly Murphy · Mr Josh Myers(7)

    The Pug is a limited performer who has been on the go for a long time without winning. He showed nothing at this track on his only visit and steps up in trip today having been placed but never won at the distance. First-time headgear is tried while the trainer holds a solid 17% strike rate at Bath.

  6. 6Arundel50/100

    Form 2245-3 · Ed Dunlop · Mr Henry Callan

    Arundel is a modest performer who has been consistent rather than progressive, finishing in the first four on four of his last five starts. He steps up in trip today having already placed over this distance without winning, while the good ground looks fine on his limited evidence. Ed Dunlop has a solid 16% strike rate at Bath from 76 runs, though this is the jockey's first ride at the track.

  7. 7Applejack Poet42/100

    Form 086/8- · Barry John Murphy · Miss Imogen Mathias(3)

    Applejack Poet is a limited performer on the balance of his ratings and 34-run history. He has been out of form for some time and drops back from 2m today having failed to make an impact in his only previous try at this trip. The yard has a solid 13% strike-rate at Bath but the jockey is still seeking her first winner here from eight rides.

  8. 8Three Yorkshiremen40/100

    Form 899575 · Jack Jones · Miss M Boucher

    Three Yorkshiremen is a limited performer who has struggled for consistency all season and arrives here on the back of another modest run. He has won over today's trip in the past but showed little spark when fifth on his only previous visit to Bath. The yard's modest record here adds no confidence.

  9. 9Cogital38/100

    Form 3-9538 · Bernard Llewellyn · Miss Jessica Llewellyn(5)

    Cogital is a limited performer these days but has a solid record here with two wins from four runs at Bath. He has won on good ground and at today's trip, though his recent form has been patchy and he is now an 11-year-old with 50 career runs behind him. The yard's modest strike-rate at the track is a negative while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge.

KTB verdict

Stintino Sunset stands out as the KTB Selection in a race where several hold-up horses will be looking to pounce off a steady pace. His course second, proven stamina, and the positive Bath figures for both trainer and jockey give him the strongest profile. Grey Fox, Shahbaz and Revich are the main dangers, each bringing recent consistency or yard form that keeps them in the mix, though all carry question marks over trip, ground or current spark.

KTB Selection Stintino Sunset

Questions about this race

Why does the pace shape favour being handy?

The race lacks a leader and is likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy pays.

How many of the principals are hold-up types?

All four principals are described as usually held up and producing their effort late with high confidence.

Which horse has the strongest Bath trainer-jockey combination figures?

Stintino Sunset, with the trainer showing 22% strike rate at Bath (A/E 1.16) and the jockey 17% (A/E 1.63).

Which horse has course-winning form at Bath?

Cogital, with two wins from four runs at the track.

What is the official rating of the selection?

The OR is not supplied in the data so cannot be stated.

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About the A/E figures in this preview. They are the data supplier’s: the winners a trainer or jockey had, divided by the winners the starting prices implied, over the runs in that record. Above 1.0 means more wins than the prices suggested. It is not KTB’s fair A/E, which allows for the bookmakers’ margin and the favourite–longshot bias, and the two are not comparable.

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