3:23 Pontefract
This Class 3 fillies' handicap over 6f at Pontefract on good to soft ground brings together ten runners, most of whom are dropping in class. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched between 58 and 45, indicating a competitive field where small margins and the draw could prove decisive. With the KTB Selection rated at the head of the pile on 58, the numbers point to a race that will hinge on how the pace unfolds and which of the hold-up performers can close effectively.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting one horse will secure an uncontested lead that may prove difficult for closers to reel in. Mubasimah is the only front-runner in the line-up and is expected to make the running or race prominently, while the remaining nine runners are all held-up types who produce their efforts late. This sets up a key question of whether the leader can dictate terms throughout or if the bunch of closers, including the selection, can bridge the gap on this good to soft surface.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Wor Faayth KTB Selection58/100
Wor Faayth arrives as the KTB Selection with a Fit Score of 58 and is a fair performer who has already won once over today's 6f trip from three attempts. The step back up in distance from a modest sixth over 5f last time looks a plus on the balance of his form, and he is dropping in class from an official rating of 89. The trainer records a solid 10% strike rate at Pontefract from 350 runs while the jockey's 4% from 55 rides is more modest. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is competitive but without a win on good to soft from two starts, and he has no previous course form on record.
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2Mubasimah55/100
Mubasimah is rated a useful performer with a KTB Fit Score of 55 but has been below form in recent starts and is now 0-9 for the season. Dropping in class from an official rating of 90, this represents her first visit to Pontefract and she has only one previous run on good to soft ground, both of which add an element of uncertainty. The trainer holds a solid 13% strike rate at the track from 85 runs while the jockey is operating above expectations with a 20% record from 40 rides. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, she is the lone leader in a race where an uncontested lead could be hard for closers to peg back.
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3Beaujolais Nouveau54/100
Beaujolais Nouveau is a fair performer with a KTB Fit Score of 54 who has shown consistent form at this track, finishing third and fourth in two runs here without winning. He has won at this trip though he is only 1 from 11 overall at the distance, and he has been competitive on good to soft ground without scoring. The trainer and jockey both hold a 9% strike rate at Pontefract from sizable samples. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he is dropping in class from an official rating of 83 and his recent form reads 154480.
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4Sing The Blues53/100
Sing The Blues is a useful performer with a KTB Fit Score of 53 who has won three times at this trip from seven attempts. Ran only once here when sixth and has no experience on good to soft ground so that side remains unknown, though he is dropping in class from an official rating of 90. The trainer has sent just four runners to the track with a 0% strike rate while Fallon has a solid 29 percent strike rate from 24 rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his recent form reads P-1165 and he has course form limited to that one sixth-place finish.
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5Ghisa53/100
Ghisa is a fair performer with a KTB Fit Score of 53 who has been consistent of late with three consecutive placed efforts. Dropping back to 6f having won at the trip earlier this year, the good-to-soft ground also looks ideal given a prior win on it from a single run. The trainer has a 16% strike rate at Pontefract from 31 runs while the jockey has a 22% strike rate from 23 rides. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is stepping up in class from an official rating of 79 with recent form of 873331.
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6Lady Roxby52/100
Lady Roxby is a fair performer with a KTB Fit Score of 52 who has been competitive without winning lately and arrives in reasonable form after a string of placed efforts. She has shown she handles good to soft ground and this trip, though her record at Pontefract is modest with a single third from one run, and both trainer and jockey have solid records at the track.
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7Stormy Impact51/100
Stormy Impact is a fair handicapper with a KTB Fit Score of 51 who has shown consistent placed form at Pontefract and on good to soft ground. He has won over today's trip though his overall strike rate is modest and recent efforts have been patchy, now trying first-time headgear while the yard and jockey both operate at below-average strike rates here.
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8Dandy Magic50/100
Dandy Magic is a fair performer with a KTB Fit Score of 50 who has been consistent this year with form of 132453 and holds a solid course-and-distance record at this trip. He has won on good to soft ground and drops back from 7f today which should suit him, though the trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Pontefract is a negative while the jockey has too few rides here to judge.
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9Homestrait47/100
Homestrait is a fair 3-year-old with a KTB Fit Score of 47 and a solid recent record that includes a win and two placed efforts from his last six starts. He drops back to 6f today having looked stretched over 7f last time, though his sole previous run at the trip brought no success, and the yard and jockey both have established but modest records at Pontefract while he is unproven here.
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10Powdering45/100
Powdering is a fair performer with a KTB Fit Score of 45 who has been busy this year and shown mixed form of late. He has won at this trip but only managed sixth on his one visit to Pontefract and his record on good to soft is just one win from five runs, with the trainer holding a solid 14% strike rate here while the jockey sits on 10%.
KTB verdict
Wor Faayth stands out as the KTB Selection at the head of the Fit Scores and brings the most appealing blend of proven ability at the trip, a class drop and a return to 6f that should suit. His held-up style fits the shape of a race where the lone leader may get an easy time out front, yet the selection has shown he can produce a late effort on good to soft. The main dangers are likely to come from Mubasimah if she can make the most of the uncontested lead, Beaujolais Nouveau with his course consistency, and Ghisa who is in form and well suited by the ground.
KTB Selection Wor Faayth
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:03 UTC, 19 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Wor Faayth | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Mubasimah | 10/1 | Bet Victor |
| Beaujolais Nouveau | 12/1 | LiveScore Bet |
| Sing The Blues | 5/1 | William Hill |
| Ghisa | 17/2 | Midnite |
| Lady Roxby | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Stormy Impact | 7/2 | William Hill |
| Dandy Magic | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Homestrait | 17/2 | Midnite |
| Powdering | 20/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 3:23 Pontefract. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Pontefract racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Pontefract results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Pontefract racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is the only front-runner in the field?
Mubasimah is the only front-runner, tending to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence.
How many runners are dropping in class?
Seven runners are dropping in class: Wor Faayth, Mubasimah, Beaujolais Nouveau, Sing The Blues, Lady Roxby, Powdering and one other implied by the class moves supplied.
Which horse is trying first-time headgear?
Stormy Impact is trying first-time headgear.
Who has the strongest jockey record at Pontefract among the principals?
Cieren Fallon has a 29% strike rate at Pontefract from 24 rides when riding for Sing The Blues.
Which horse has a prior win on good to soft from just one run at the surface?
Ghisa has 1 win from 1 on good to soft.
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