3:24 Perth
This Class 4 handicap chase at Perth, a qualifier for the Go North Red Rum Series, brings together nine runners over an extended 2m7f on good ground. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched across the top half of the field, with four principals separated by only four points, signalling a competitive renewal where course knowledge and the ability to produce a late effort are likely to prove decisive. Sir Carnegie heads the KTB Fit scores on 67 and is the clear selection, while the likes of Wasdell Dundalk, Sean Og and Upfordebate all hold strong claims on their Perth records and recent form.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy on the turn and timing a run from mid-division should pay dividends. With the top four principals all registered as held-up types who produce their effort late, the race is likely to develop into a test of positioning and finishing kick rather than sustained speed from the front. The key question is whether any contender can quicken decisively off a steady gallop or whether the race will fall to the one best suited by the track's demands and the prevailing good ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Sir Carnegie KTB Selection67/100
Sir Carnegie is a smart performer with a solid record here, having won two of his four starts at Perth. He has won four times at today's trip from 11 attempts and handles good ground well with three wins and five places from 12 starts. The yard and jockey both have strong records at the track, the trainer showing a 28% strike rate at Perth with an A/E of 1.01 while James Bowen operates at 25% with an A/E of 1.27 from 111 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be well suited by the steadily-run nature of this contest. Recent form of 311651 underlines his competitiveness at this level, and as the KTB Selection he is taken to capitalise on his course-and-distance prowess.
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2Wasdell Dundalk65/100
Wasdell Dundalk is a smart performer who knows his way around here, winning four times from 21 starts at Perth. He has won at this trip and on good ground, recording five wins from 28 starts on the surface with a further ten placed efforts. His recent form has been patchy with a pulled-up effort last time, yet the overall profile retains appeal on a track where both trainer and jockey hold solid if unspectacular records. Lisa Harrison's 9% strike rate at Perth is backed by an A/E of 0.96, while Danny McMenamin sits on 11% with an A/E of 0.75. Usually held up, he is expected to come from off the pace in a race that may not be run at a strong gallop.
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3Sean Og64/100
Sean Og is a smart performer who has shown strong recent form with two wins in his last four starts. He has placed here without winning, recording a second and a fourth from two visits to Perth, and steps up in trip today having been placed at this distance without success. Dropping in class is a positive and his record on good ground reads three wins from 23 starts with eleven placed efforts. The yard holds a solid 11% strike rate at Perth with an A/E of 0.94, while Sean Quinlan is on 8% with an A/E of 0.66 from 328 rides. Usually held up, he should be suited by the tactical nature of the race and the steadily-run pace that is anticipated.
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4Upfordebate63/100
Upfordebate is a smart performer who has won over this trip and at this track, where his record reads one win from five starts. Dropping back from a stiff 3m6f last time should suit, while his record on good ground is sound with two wins from ten starts and a further two placed efforts. Both trainer and jockey have solid records at Perth, Patrick Neville showing a 17% strike rate with an A/E of 1.06 and Brian Hughes operating at 16% with an A/E of 0.9 from 898 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is well equipped for a race that looks set to be tactical and steadily-run.
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5Juke Hill59/100
Juke Hill is a smart performer who has shown consistent form in recent starts without winning. He steps up in trip today having already tried this distance twice without success and his record on good ground is modest from a small sample of two runs with no win or place. Gordon Elliott and Sean Bowen both have strong records at Perth, the trainer on 28% with an A/E of 1.00 and the jockey on 32% with an A/E of 1.1.
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6Inis Oirr57/100
Inis Oirr is a smart performer who has won over this trip and at this track, where he has scored once from six starts. Recent form is solid with three placed efforts from his last four starts and the course record adds to his appeal. Dropping in class is a positive. Lucinda Russell's modest 7% strike rate at Perth is offset by Gregor Walkingshaw's stronger 14% record from limited rides.
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7Midnight Moonshine56/100
Midnight Moonshine is a useful performer on his best days and has shown enough at this trip to stay competitive. He has been placed on good ground and has solid course connections here, though his only previous run at Perth was a modest fifth. Stepping up in class, the trainer's modest 6% strike rate at the track is offset by the jockey's stronger 12% record from limited rides.
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8Another High Five49/100
Another High Five is a smart performer who has been placed in four of his six starts and arrives here in solid form after finishing second in his last two completed runs. Lucinda Russell has a 7% strike rate from 116 runs at Perth while Derek Fox is operating at 9% from 387 rides here. He steps up in trip today for the first time and the going remains an unknown with only a light career record so far.
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9Judicial Review40/100
Judicial Review is a fair performer on his best days but has been largely out of form this year with a string of poor efforts. He has no win or place from his only run at Perth and the 7lb claimer is still looking for her first success from six rides at the track. He has won once from 11 starts on good ground and is now tried over this longer trip for the first time.
KTB verdict
Sir Carnegie is the KTB Selection and looks to hold all the aces with his strong course record, proven ability at the trip and sound record on good ground. The selection's held-up style should be ideally suited by the steadily-run, tactical affair that is anticipated, allowing him to produce his effort at the right moment. His main dangers are headed by the course veteran Wasdell Dundalk, who knows the track inside out, while Sean Og and Upfordebate, both dropping in class and with recent form to recommend them, are likely to make this a tight contest.
KTB Selection Sir Carnegie
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:04 UTC, 24 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sir Carnegie | 3/1 | Bet365 |
| Wasdell Dundalk | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Sean Og | 6/1 | 7Bet |
| Upfordebate | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Juke Hill | 6/1 | William Hill |
| Inis Oirr | 6/1 | William Hill |
| Midnight Moonshine | 30/1 | 7Bet |
| Another High Five | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Judicial Review | 20/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 3:24 Perth. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Perth racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Perth results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Perth?
Wasdell Dundalk has won four times from 21 starts at Perth.
How many wins has Sir Carnegie recorded at today's trip?
Sir Carnegie has won four times at today's trip from 11 attempts.
Which runners are dropping in class?
Sean Og, Upfordebate and Inis Oirr are dropping in class.
What is the strike rate of the trainer and jockey combination for the selection?
Mickey Bowen and James Bowen have a 28/164 (17%) record with an A/E of 0.76.
Which horse is stepping up markedly in trip for the first time?
Judicial Review is now tried over this longer trip for the first time.
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