3:59 Perth

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Al Sayah KTB Selection72/100

   Form 41-343 · Neil Mulholland · Jack Tudor

   Al Sayah is a high-class performer with solid recent form that includes a win at this trip. He drops back from 3m1f and will sport first-time headgear, while he has won five times from 16 starts on good ground. The Neil Mulholland yard posts a 20% strike rate at Perth with an A/E of 1.03 from 90 runs, and Jack Tudor is even stronger here with a 25% strike rate and A/E of 1.46 from 24 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is expected to relish the strong pace that is likely to materialise. Overall the KTB Fit of 72 marks him out as the one to beat.

2. 2Letterston Lily70/100

   Form /1-812 · Mickey Bowen · James Bowen

   Letterston Lily is a high-class performer with a strong record at Perth, where she has won one of her two starts. She has shown consistent form this year with two wins from her last four outings and handles good ground well, recording four victories from ten attempts. The Mickey Bowen stable strikes at 28% here with an A/E of 1.01 from 36 runs, while James Bowen operates at 25% with an A/E of 1.27 from 111 rides. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she steps up in class and in trip, the latter posing a fresh question. Her KTB Fit of 70 nevertheless keeps her firmly in the picture.

3. 3Lord Accord63/100

   Form 412P3- · Neil Mulholland · Conor O'Farrell

   Lord Accord is a high-class performer on his day who possesses a solid record on good ground and a win at today’s trip. He arrives with mixed recent form and makes his first start at Perth. The Neil Mulholland yard has a 20% strike rate at the course with an A/E of 1.03 from 90 runs, while Conor O’Farrell is on 11% with an A/E of 0.94 from 196 rides. Usually held up, though with medium confidence attached to that read, he has won six times from 21 starts on good going. His KTB Fit of 63 leaves him with plenty to find but he cannot be entirely dismissed.

4. 4Letterston Lady62/100

   Form 13/11- · Mickey Bowen · Sean Bowen

   Letterston Lady is a smart performer who has won five times on good ground from only seven attempts. She returns from a break and showed little spark when finishing only fourth on her sole previous visit to Perth. The Mickey Bowen yard posts a 28% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.01 from 36 runs, and Sean Bowen is operating at 32% with an A/E of 1.1 from 346 rides. Usually held up though with limited evidence and low confidence in that assessment, she steps up markedly in trip for the first time. Her KTB Fit of 62 keeps her competitive on pure ability.

5. 5Divilabother61/100

   Form 611121 · Tristan Davidson · Harry Reed

   Divilabother is a high-class performer boasting a strong recent record of 611121 and clear ability on good ground, where he has four wins from 15 starts. He drops back from 3m1f to a trip he has won at before, though this is his first run at Perth. The Tristan Davidson stable is on a 5% strike rate at the course from 22 runs, while Harry Reed posts a 12% record from 91 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he looks sure to appreciate the strong pace on offer. The KTB Fit of 61 confirms he merits close attention.

6. 6Medieval Gold59/100

   Form 132-79 · Patrick Neville · Brian Hughes

   Medieval Gold is a smart performer with solid course form, having won one of his two starts at Perth. He has been out of sorts on his last two runs, steps up markedly in trip for the first time and is also going up in class; the yard and jockey both have established records at the track.

7. 7My Chiquita59/100

   Form 2-3174 · James Moffatt · Leah Noreci(7)

   My Chiquita is a high-class performer on the balance of her ratings and recent placed efforts. She steps up markedly in trip having last run over 2m1f, which asks a fresh question of her stamina, while the yard holds a solid 9% strike rate at Perth from 111 runs and the jockey is still seeking her first winner here from six rides.

8. 8Idem57/100

   Form 5825P- · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · Patrick Wadge

   Idem is high-class on his day and has solid course form with a second here last season. He drops back in trip from 3m, a fair question given he has been placed three times at this distance without winning; trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at Perth and the yard has been quiet of late.

9. 9Marsiac55/100

   Form 41140- · Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls · Ciaran Gethings

   Marsiac is a high-class performer on the back of strong ratings and race history. He showed useful form last season with two wins from five starts, has already won on good ground from limited attempts, but the step up in trip is an unknown and the trainer has only had two runners at Perth.

10. 10Lets Mingle51/100

    Form -35157 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · Jack Power(5)

    Lets Mingle is a smart performer who has won twice here from six runs and looks well suited by this longer trip on pedigree and recent efforts. Lucinda Russell has a modest 7% strike-rate at Perth from a big sample while Jack Power is operating above that at 19%, and solid placed efforts on good ground add to the positives.

11. 11The G Wizard47/100

    Form 22239- · N. W. Alexander · Bruce Lynn

    The G Wizard is a smart performer who has finished second in three of his last four starts and looks well treated on that form. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question, while his only run here was a modest fourth and both trainer and jockey operate at a modest strike rate around Perth.

12. 12Spit Spot43/100

    Form 47P-F5 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · Derek Fox

    Spit Spot is a smart performer who has won twice here and knows his way around the Perth track. He steps up in trip having last run over 2m4f though he has won twice at this distance in the past; the trainer’s modest 7% strike rate at the course is a negative while the jockey’s 9% record is more respectable.