Andreas Lowe
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87). Debutants are a strength: 9% on first career starts (59 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.44). The yard also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (13.9%, n=36). The market has also underrated the yard in Class 1: Fair A/E 1.25 across 55 runners (5.5% strike, +18.60 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly on Standard (AW) going — 0% over 32 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.39 across 50 runners (4% strike, −18.40 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Perth at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Nov 2013, £32,520).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 147 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 147 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2005 to 18 November 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Andreas Lowe's strike rate?
- Andreas Lowe has won 8 of 121 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Andreas Lowe's Fair A/E?
- 0.87, from 105 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.